The Organization of the Defense Support System: An Economic Geography Perspective

In the context of restricted budgetary resources and the growing cost of maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) activities, a major issue for modern armed forces is to sustain defense platforms. A possible method consists of realizing economies of scale through the concentration of maintenance activities, which involves the spatial reorganization of existing industrial sites dedicated to MRO. This article provides a formalized framework to discuss the optimal organization for the MRO of defense platforms in space. The public planner organizes the maintenance of defense platforms with only two possible spatial configurations. In the dispersed configuration, two industrial production units in charge of the maintenance optimally cover space, whereas in the concentrated configuration, a unique industrial unit covers space. Focusing on the tipping point between the two configurations, the balance of forces between agglomeration and dispersion in defense support activities is described and discussed. On the one hand, economies of scale provide an opportunity to optimize defense support costs, favoring concentration in a unique industrial unit. On the other hand, space causes dispersion to reduce both transport costs and operational social costs. This trade-off illustrates a general principle in spatial economics with an application to MRO production in the French case.     

Humanitarians at sea: Selective emulation across migrant rescue NGOs in the Mediterranean sea

Between 2014 and 2017, no less than 10 different non-governmental organizations (NGOs) conducted maritime Search and Rescue (SAR) operations off the coast of Libya. By rescuing over 100,000 migrants in three years, these NGOs became the largest provider of SAR in the Mediterranean. The theory of institutionalism suggests that organizations conducting similar activities are likely to converge in a process of mimetic isomorphism, deliberately imitating one another to increase their effectiveness and cope with uncertainty. These 10 SAR NGOs, however, developed two different rescue models: While some rescued migrants and disembarked them in Italian ports, others only simply assisted those in distress until the arrival of another ship transporting them to land. They also cooperated with Italian and European authorities to different degrees. Why did SAR NGOs imitated many elements of existing non-governmental rescue models, but discarded some others? This article argues that differences in material capabilities and organizational role conceptions are crucial to explain why newer SAR NGOs have imitated most but not all of their predecessors’ policies, engaging in a process of “selective emulation.”     

Geopolitical Risks and Movements in Islamic Bond and Equity Markets: A Note

This study applies a non-parametric causality-in-quantiles test to examine the causal effect of geopolitical risks on return and volatility dynamics of Islamic equity and bond markets. Geopolitical risks are generally found to impact Islamic equity market volatility measures, rather than returns. However, geopolitical risks tend to predict both returns and volatility measures of Islamic bonds. Interestingly, causality, when it exists for returns and/or volatility of Islamic equities and bonds, is found to hold over entire conditional distributions of returns and volatilities, barring the extreme ends of the same.     

采用遗传算法的弹托迎风窝结构设计

针对一体化弹丸弹托易分离性和轻质化的设计要求,构建弹托迎风窝参数化外形模型,基于激波和膨胀波理论建立弹托气动力计算模型;以弹托分离加速度和弹托质量综合最优为目标函数,采用遗传算法对弹托迎风窝的外形参数进行优化设计,从而得到弹托迎风窝的优化外形。以中口径尾翼稳定脱壳穿甲弹的弹托设计为例,采用提出的优化设计模型对其迎风窝结构进行优化设计,并采用基于动网格技术的弹托分离仿真模型验证其最优性。仿真结果表明：所提优化模型能够得到最优的弹托迎风窝结构;针对现有的中口径尾翼稳定脱壳穿甲弹,可进一步对其弹托结构进行优化,以提高其分离快速性。     

新体制导航信号下I/Q幅相不一致对接收机测距零值的影响分析

随着现代化导航信号带宽的增大,由于可以大幅降低采样率,复信号采样的优势日趋明显。由于存在I/Q幅相误差,复信号采样对导航接收机伪距测量造成了一定影响。改进了信道非理想与I/Q幅相误差共同影响BPSK/QPSK信号零值测量的分析模型;在该模型基础上,推导得到了任意I/Q误差和信道非理想特性影响BOC信号伪距零值的模型;探讨了二者在频域抗干扰应用场景下引起的零值变化;理论分析与软件接收机仿真结果高度吻合,误差在1.5×10^-4码片内,证明了分析模型的精确性。该分析方法可用于对高性能导航接收机信道特性进行事先约束及筛选,以确保干扰场景下的零值变化满足要求。     

系统仿真技术初探

为了对系统仿真技术有一个总体认识,采用归纳和分析的方法,对系统仿真技术的体系进行了初步探讨.     

基于卷积神经网络的卫星网络协调态势评估方法

为充分发掘利用海量卫星网络数据,提高决策效率,加强空间频轨资源获取与储备的分析手段,尤其是对地球静止轨道资源的协调获取问题,提出基于机器学习算法的卫星网络态势评估策略。通过对卫星网络协调因素进行特征分析,选择卷积神经网络(Convolution Neural Network, CNN)为目标算法模型,并建立算法模型的训练数据集及Label规则,采用分裂信息增益度量方法对数据进行降维处理,建立CNN评估模型,并进行了验证分析。结果表明,CNN模型对卫星网络协调态势评估问题测试的正确率高达80%以上,具有较高的评估效能。随着数据量的增多,CNN评估效果逐步提升,是一种在卫星网络协调态势分析、资源储备的有效评估方法。     

基于改进遗传算法的舰载机保障调度方法

舰载机保障作业过程受到多资源约束,同时可能存在着突发事件的干扰;针对此特点,分析并制定干扰情况下的模型修正策略。在遗传算法中引入禁忌搜索算子改进传统遗传算法的变异操作,并通过具体实例进行仿真验证,其结果证明改进后的遗传算法在优化含干扰事件的多机保障问题时效率更高,并通过甘特图直观地反映重调度方案。为真实情况下有效处理舰载机保障过程中的干扰事件奠定理论基础。     

Holonic-C2组织决策分配及演化方法

为了有效发挥指挥控制(Command and Control, C2)组织集中式决策和协作式决策的决策优势,对具有决策权限动态变化能力的Holonic-C2组织的决策分配问题进行研究。针对群决策中专家固定权重的主观性太强的缺点,提出基于专家权威性和意见一致性相结合的专家组选择方法,提高了决策分配过程中多属性决策的客观合理性;针对决策分配的动态演化问题,提出基于多阶段决策的决策模式演化机制,在考虑属性前后阶段的变化的基础上,给出相邻阶段决策模式跃迁方法。仿真结果表明,所提方法能够给出相对客观的决策模式的优劣排序以及多阶段的演化路线,从而证明了方法的可行性和有效性。     

突破美对华信息与通信技术封锁的思考

信息与通信技术是影响国家政治、经济和军事等重要领域的高精尖技术。本文认为,美国政府通过启动"301调查"和建立出口管制实体清单等多种方式对中国信息与通信领域实施技术封锁和产品禁运,将延缓中国信息与通信技术的发展进度,加大全球信息与通信技术产业发展的成本消耗,但同时也刺激并加快了中国信息与通信技术自主可控的转型步伐。据此,本文提出加强顶层设计和统筹谋划、营造自主可控的产业生态环境、加强专业化人才队伍培养、构建合作共赢的命运共同体,努力突破信息与通信技术封锁等几项措施,以期为我国信息与通信技术领域的发展提供一定的借鉴意义。