便携式米波、分米波雷达天馈线故障快速检测仪研制

调查分析了雷达天馈线检修现状和存在的诸多影响作战训练的弊病, 采用逆向思维的方式, 论证、设计了便携式米波和分米波雷达天馈线故障快速检测仪, 解决了天馈线检修的“老大难”问题, 带来了较好的军事、经济效益。     

车辆液力机械传动系统建模及动态特性仿真

建立了具有液力传动的履带车辆动力传动系统及整车的仿真模型,对车辆的加速性进行了仿真研究并与试验结果进行了比较,应用该仿真模型,分析了履带车辆换挡过程中发动机与涡轮转速、系统元件转速等的变化规律,结果表明该仿真模型能够方便的应用于车辆的性能分析与预测.     

先进无人战斗机(UCAV)系统概念

先进无人战斗机系统是指正在发展和将要发展的无人战斗机系统。无人战斗机系统主要由携带武器的无人飞机、用于人工控制无人飞机的控制站和将系统连接起来保持与战术环境相联系的数据网络组成。在未来战争中,无人战斗机系统的主要作战使命是空防压制、纵深打击和"空中占领"。在研制过程中需要解决自主飞行、信息传输与处理等关键技术。     

地球静止轨道粗定位的北斗系统接收机快速定位方法

传统全球导航卫星系统信号发射时间的整毫秒恢复算法,在接收机概略位置未知时存在计算量剧增而无法应用的问题。利用北斗系统混合星座中GEO卫星电文速率高的这一特点,提出一种基于GEO粗定位的北斗接收机快速定位的方法。在接收机概略位置完全未知的情况下,使用已获取完整信号发射时刻的纯GEO星座进行粗定位,根据解算获得的概略位置对非GEO卫星发射时刻毫秒整数时间进行恢复,利用所有可见卫星进行精确定位。使用国际全球连续监测评估系统测站观测伪距对算法进行验证,国内测站可100%实现伪距恢复,完成快速定位。仿真遍历中国区域用户,在仿真伪距增加均值为0,标准差为6m噪声,截止仰角为0°时,中国附近区域实现快速定位概率均大于98.68%,其中约80%的中国附近区域可以100%实现卫星信号传输时间恢复并完成快速定位。     

铁路区间信号系统测试评估平台——信息传输通道的建模及仿真研究

铁路区间信号系统测试评估平台的研究是为了实现对信号系统的功能、可靠性及安全性的自动测试和评估,并为区间信号系统的研发或维护提供测试手段.铁路区间信号系统信息传输通道,作为铁路区间信号传输的途径,是铁路区间信号系统测试评估平台的重要研究对象,因此,信息传输通道仿真子系统是测试平台的一个关键子系统.针对移频自动闭塞系统信息传输通道的仿真,提出一种新的差分方程建模方法,并进行了仿真实现.     

A standardized scan statistic for detecting spatial clusters with estimated parameters

The scan statistic based on likelihood ratios (LRs) have been widely discussed for detecting spatial clusters. When developing the scan statistic, it uses the maximum likelihood estimates of the incidence rates inside and outside candidate clusters to substitute the true values in the LR statistic. However, the parameter estimation has a significant impact on the sensitivity of the scan statistic, which favors the detection of clusters in areas with large population sizes. By presenting the effects of parameter estimation on Kulldorff's scan statistic, we suggest a standardized scan statistic for spatial cluster detection. Compared to the traditional scan statistic, the standardized scan statistic can account for the varying mean and variance of the LR statistic due to inhomogeneous background population sizes. Extensive simulations have been performed to compare the power of the two cluster detection methods with known or/and estimated parameters. The simulation results show that the standardization can help alleviate the effects of parameter estimation and improve the detection of localized clusters. © 2012 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2012     

军民融合制度变迁分析

军民融合制度变迁属于强制性的制度变迁,必须由国家来主导。从国家的角度对军民融合制度变迁进行成本收益分析,认为政府是推动制度变迁的最主要力量;通过构建国家效用函数,对国家推行军民融合制度变迁动力产生过程进行探析,认为国家效用的降低是推行制度变迁的诱因。     

基于DRFM的机载PD雷达干扰研究

针对传统干扰技术对PD雷达干扰的不足,噪声干扰对干扰机功率要求高,欺骗干扰产生的干扰数目单一,基于当前对抗先进体制雷达的手段——DRFM,对PD雷达干扰进行研究。通过将截获的雷达信号存储、处理,按程序设定的转发间隔重复读出当前采样信号并转发,产生了多个距离欺骗假目标;通过对每次转发干扰进行频率调制,产生了包含距离速度欺骗的一系列假目标;并经过Matable仿真验证了在PD雷达窄带滤波器中,出现多个距离或速度欺骗假目标。并通过仿真验证了干扰的有效性。     

排列熵算法的应用与发展

重点阐述了排列熵算法的基本原理,总结归纳了该算法在医学、生物和机械等领域的国内外研究和应用现状,最后展望了排列熵算法的未来发展趋势。研究表明：排列熵算法能够有效放大时间序列的微弱变化,且计算简单、实时性高,已在信号突变检测方面显示出良好的应用前景。     

A drive to regime change through nonviolent economic warfare: The post-Mugabe era, 2017–2019

ABSTRACT

This article examines efforts made by the Movement for Democratic Change Alliance to bring about regime change through nonviolent economic warfare including its subsequent failure. The 30 July 2018 harmonised elections in Zimbabwe led to a victory by Emmerson Mnangagwa but it was disputed by Nelson Chamisa. Since August 2018, the political opposition led by Chamisa sought to make the country ungovernable by waging a nonviolent economic war nicknamed Kuzvidira jecha (pouring sand) against the Mnangagwa administration. This was punctuated by price hikes, fluctuation of the local currency, artificial food stuff price hikes and fuel shortages which caused serious challenges for most Zimbabweans. This was primarily intended to bring about regime change via public unrest against the Mnangagwa regime. On the contrary, the anticipated public uproar failed to foster regime change in Zimbabwe despite widespread adverse socio-economic effects. This led to the nonviolent participants resorting to violent tactics instead of adhering to nonviolence. Consequently, it was the failure to adhere to nonviolent principles by opposition advocates which forced the Mnangagwa regime to deploy its own instruments of violence in an effort to protect lives and property.