低功率霍尔推力器阳极供气环工程设计关键参数仿真

为了提高低功率霍尔推力器放电通道内中性原子分布均匀性,采用有限元方法对阳极供气环关键结构参数进行优化研究。针对双腔式阳极供气环结构,重点分析了缓冲腔容积比以及缓冲腔隔板导流小孔数量等关键参数对阳极供气均匀性的影响。研究结果表明:随着缓冲腔容积比的增大,阳极供气环出气孔差异率先快速减小后趋于稳定,其中当容积率k=1.0时,平均差异率和最大差异率分别为1.77%和3.79%;隔板间导流小孔数量从8增加到14时,出气孔差异率呈现浴盆曲线特性,其中导流孔数量为10时,平均差异率和最大差异率分别为1.8%和3.8%。研究结果可为霍尔推力器阳极供气环工程设计提供理论支撑。     

预燃室内气氢气氧射流燃烧过程数值分析

建立了液体火箭发动机预燃室内气氢气氧射流燃烧过程的数学模型,包括燃烧过程控制守恒方程、湍流流动方程和湍流燃烧模型,以及求解控制方程所需的辅助关系式;给出了模拟射流燃烧过程的数值方法。对于给定的预燃室结构型式和尺寸,研究了喷嘴构型和氧的喷射方式对化学反应流场和燃烧性能的影响规律。结果表明,喷嘴构型和氧的喷射方式对流动过程和燃烧性能都有影响,且喷嘴结构的影响较为明显。     

激光PIV流场显示与测量系统

利用课题组自行设计研制的一套粒子图像测速(PIV)系统对高速水洞中流场进行了测试研究.测试系统中,光源使用Nd:YAG调Q双激光器,其波长532 nm,脉冲时间8 ns,脉冲能量100 mJ;示踪粒子则采用直径200 μm的镀银聚苯乙烯微球.无模型空流场测试结果表明,该系统对无模型空流场的测试误差小于1.3％;而通过圆球模型绕流流场测试结果与其理论值的对比发现,大部分测试流场区域的测试误差小于2％.     

Using a birth‐and‐death process to estimate the steady‐state distribution of a periodic queue

If the number of customers in a queueing system as a function of time has a proper limiting steady‐state distribution, then that steady‐state distribution can be estimated from system data by fitting a general stationary birth‐and‐death (BD) process model to the data and solving for its steady‐state distribution using the familiar local‐balance steady‐state equation for BD processes, even if the actual process is not a BD process. We show that this indirect way to estimate the steady‐state distribution can be effective for periodic queues, because the fitted birth and death rates often have special structure allowing them to be estimated efficiently by fitting parametric functions with only a few parameters, for example, 2. We focus on the multiserver M_t/GI/s queue with a nonhomogeneous Poisson arrival process having a periodic time‐varying rate function. We establish properties of its steady‐state distribution and fitted BD rates. We also show that the fitted BD rates can be a useful diagnostic tool to see if an M_t/GI/s model is appropriate for a complex queueing system. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 664–685, 2015     

基于空间约束的舰载机出库调度

舰载机在航母上的调度问题是制约舰载机出动和回收的重要因素,以往研究主要集中在飞行甲板调度方面。针对舰载机在航母上的出入库问题进行研究,着力解决舰载机在航母上二、三波次的出动能力。首先对舰载机出库的流程进行分析,梳理制约因素。其次,应用柔性流水车间调度理论对空间约束条件下的舰载机出库调度问题进行建模。再次,对智能粒子群算法应用于舰载机出库调度问题进行分析,对编码进行设计,并给出算法流程。最后,对出库流程进行仿真,计算出最优出库方案及时间,验证了模型的准确性。     

FORECASTING SERIES CONTAINING OFFSETTING BREAKS: OLD SCHOOL AND NEW SCHOOL METHODS OF FORECASTING TRANSNATIONAL TERRORISM

Transnational terrorism data are difficult to forecast because they contain an unknown number of structural breaks of unknown functional form. The rise of religious fundamentalism, the demise of the Soviet Union, and the rise of al Qaeda have changed the nature of transnational terrorism. ‘Old School’ forecasting methods simply smooth or difference the data. ‘New School’ methods use estimated break dates to control for regime shifts when forecasting. We compare the various forecasting methods using a Monte Carlo study with data containing different types of breaks. The study's results are used to forecast various types of transnational terrorist incidents.     

The impact of defense and non‐defense public spending on growth in Asia and Latin America∗

For a three‐sector Feder‐Ram framework, we present time‐series, cross‐sectional estimates for two cohorts, consisting of Asian and Latin American countries. The estimates indicate that private investment, and defense and non‐defense public spending are growth promoting for alternative error components representations. For the best error components representation, greater growth enhancement is associated with the two forms of public spending in Asia than in Latin America, while the opposite comparison characterizes private investment. Although defense is growth promoting, an opportunity cost exists insofar as non‐defense spending, financed by defense spending, appears to give a small net boost to growth in Latin America.     

机动管线水顶油排空油水混合物切割工艺研究

排空是机动管线的一项经常性作业。在水顶油排空过程中,不可避免地会产生混油,因此混油的切割工艺尤为关键。通过对机动管线水顶油排空作业终端混油切割流程、设备操作的分析,提出了采用1个三通球阀代替2个闸阀的切割流程,自行搭建了实验平台,测量了三通球阀的流动特性,论证了三通球阀作为机动管线混油切割阀的可行性。实验表明,新流程的使用降低了切割操作难度,提高了切割作业的快速性和准确性。     

超声速转弯流道内的迟滞现象

采用特征线法,通过预先给定中心线马赫数分布,设计了消波的二维超声速转弯流道。研究了不同反压作用下转弯流道内的激波串结构、壁面沿程静压分布和壁面分离区演化等特征,分析了流道内激波串波结构与反压的关系,发现了激波串波头很难稳定在流道拐点附近。当激波串波头靠近流道拐点时,流场具有双解。流动双解区向单解区演化过程中,伴随有大分离区在上、下壁面之间的迅速转换和激波串结构的快速演化。     

相对静止气氛下硼颗粒着火过程

针对相对静止气氛下单颗粒硼的着火过程展开了系统研究,考虑硼颗粒周围径向气相流动以及硼颗粒与周围环境间的传热和传质过程,建立了一维硼颗粒着火模型。分析了硼颗粒在实现着火和未能实现着火两种典型情形下的颗粒相、气相组分参数以及颗粒外表面上Stefan流的变化规律,并对其成因展开了分析。研究表明,在实现着火和未能实现着火两种典型情形下,硼颗粒外表面的Stefan流都会经历先由周围空间流向颗粒表面,而后变为由颗粒表面流向周围空间的过程;考虑颗粒外表面处气相Stefan流作用后,硼颗粒的着火延迟时间减少,且压力越大,影响越大。