空降兵师(团)登岛作战兵力分配模型

通过结合空降兵师(团)级登岛作战的战术特点,确立了遮断点的单点和联合价值的指标体系,建立了以联盟博弈为基础的兵力分配初步模型,然后以Shapley值作为此联盟博弈的解,结合投放过程中的兵力损耗,得到一个合理的兵力分配方案,从而建立了师(团)级空降登岛作战的兵力分配模型和算法.     

均匀分布集群目标射击火力分配优化数值仿真方法

基于所提出的火力分配方案,使用数值积分方法将对均匀分布集群目标射击的火力分配优化问题转化为由多变量初等函数表示的积分和函数在单位多面正方体内的最小值求解问题,火力分配优化的瞄准点坐标可以尝试利用成熟的Matlab优化计算软件来直接求解,算例说明所给出方法对于火力分配优化问题的深入研究是有裨益的.     

基于多分辨分析的舰船噪声能量特征提取方法

以离散小波变换入手,利用小波分析的恒Q特性,提取了舰船噪声信号的子带能量分布特征。结果表明,由于各子带能量参数并不相互独立,基于离散小波变换的舰船噪声子带能量分布特征并不明显。因此,依据多分辨分析理论,对舰船辐射噪声信号进行了正交多分辨分解,并提取了舰船噪声子带能量分布特征。结果表明特征是显著的,该方法从整体上反映了舰船噪声信号能量分布特征。为了从细节上对噪声信号能量特征进行分析,提出了基于多分辨分析的子带能量密度特征提取方法。采用两类共8个噪声样本对噪声子带能量分布和能量密度特征提取方法进行检验,取得了比较理想的结果。     

贝叶斯参数估计在雷区范围估计中的应用

提出了以发现水雷位置信息为抽样点,在给定估计误差的条件下,使用贝叶斯参数估计方法进行雷区范围估计的思路。详细讨论了水雷服从均匀分布时使用贝叶斯参数估计方法估计雷区范围的问题,给出了相关公式的推导过程,并设法解决仿真中存在的中间数值过大的问题。仿真结果均在允许误差范围之内,这验证了算法的可行性。     

Statistical analysis of exponential lifetimes under an adaptive Type‐II progressive censoring scheme

In this article, a mixture of Type‐I censoring and Type‐II progressive censoring schemes, called an adaptive Type‐II progressive censoring scheme, is introduced for life testing or reliability experiments. For this censoring scheme, the effective sample size m is fixed in advance, and the progressive censoring scheme is provided but the number of items progressively removed from the experiment upon failure may change during the experiment. If the experimental time exceeds a prefixed time T but the number of observed failures does not reach m, we terminate the experiment as soon as possible by adjusting the number of items progressively removed from the experiment upon failure. Computational formulae for the expected total test time are provided. Point and interval estimation of the failure rate for exponentially distributed failure times are discussed for this censoring scheme. The various methods are compared using Monte Carlo simulation. © 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2009     

对失控翻滚目标任意位置悬停的模糊控制

针对失控翻滚目标任意位置悬停的控制问题进行研究。在目标器轨道坐标系下建立任意偏心率的三维相对运动方程,并分析失控翻滚目标的姿态运动特性。将悬停问题解耦为三个通道的二维模糊控制问题,并以x通道为例进行Mamdani型模糊控制器设计。确定相应的模糊子集、隶属度函数以及模糊控制规则表,采用面积中心法解模糊化。通过数值仿真验证了模糊控制器的控制性能。     

Optimal staffing in nonstationary service centers with constraints

This paper considers optimal staffing in service centers. We construct models for profit and cost centers using dynamic rate queues. To allow for practical optimal controls, we approximate the queueing process using a Gaussian random variable with equal mean and variance. We then appeal to the Pontryagin's maximum principle to derive a closed form square root staffing (SRS) rule for optimal staffing. Unlike most traditional SRS formulas, the main parameter in our formula is not the probability of delay but rather a cost‐to‐benefit ratio that depends on the shadow price. We show that the delay experienced by customers can be interpreted in terms of this ratio. Throughout the article, we provide theoretical support of our analysis and conduct extensive numerical experiments to reinforce our findings. To this end, various scenarios are considered to evaluate the change in the staffing levels as the cost‐to‐benefit ratio changes. We also assess the change in the service grade and the effects of a service‐level agreement constraint. Our analysis indicates that the variation in the ratio of customer abandonment over service rate particularly influences staffing levels and can lead to drastically different policies between profit and cost service centers. Our main contribution is the introduction of new analysis and managerial insights into the nonstationary optimal staffing of service centers, especially when the objective is to maximize profitability. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 63: 615–630, 2017     

GNSS自适应天线相位中心评估方法

自适应天线在波束形成过程中会引起天线相位中心变化,针对这一问题,提出一种基于可用波束的自适应天线相位中心评估方法。该方法分为三步:设置天线的可用波束门限;在干扰来向均匀分布下,得到天线可用波束门限内相位方向图集合;利用最小二乘法对相位方向图集合进行拟合得到自适应天线的平均相位中心变化量。运用该方法对四种典型的四元阵相位中心进行对比仿真,结果表明,算法可以快速有效地对自适应天线相位中心性能进行评估。另外,通过设置适当的可用波束门限,可以提高自适应天线的相位中心性能。算法的评估结果可以作为GNSS高精度自适应天线阵型选择依据。     

War Size Distribution: Empirical Regularities Behind Conflicts

This paper analyses the statistical distribution of war sizes. Using a new methodology we find moderate support for a Pareto-type distribution (power law), considering data from different sources (COW and UCDP) and periods. A power law is a plausible model for the size distribution of a pool of all wars and a sample of wars in many years, although the log-normal distribution is a plausible alternative model that we cannot reject. The random growth of conflicts could generate both types of distribution. We study the growth rates of battle deaths and random growth cannot be rejected for most of the distribution, although the results also reveal a clear decreasing pattern; the growth of deaths declines faster if the number of initial deaths is greater.     

弹炮结合防空武器系统火力分配模型

火力分配是弹炮结合武器系统射击指挥中的重要环节。论文针对弹炮结合武器系统中防空导弹分系统和高炮分系统战术技术性能与作战特点,在具体分析火力分配考虑的主要因素——防空导弹分系统和高炮分系统的杀伤区与毁伤概率的基础上,确立了相应的火力优化分配原则,构建了实用的临近航路和过航点处火力分配模型,通过仿真表明该模型实时性好,能满足实际应用需要,对进一步研究提供了有益的参考。