作业名层次化聚类算法预测作业运行时间

预测作业的运行时间有益于提升系统的调度性能,而聚类有助于训练出更好的预测模型。传统的聚类算法很难将相似的作业名聚类,为了将相似的作业更好地聚类,通过分析其组成成分的语义重要性,构建字母-结构-数字的作业名层次化聚类算法。以两台超级计算机的真实数据为例,实验结果发现,应用此算法聚类后的数据训练模型的预测精度相较传统方法有一定的提升,整体预测精度为70%～80%。     

带挠性附件双自旋卫星的 Liapunov 稳定准则

本文研究了带挠性附件双自旋卫星的姿态稳定性问题。假定挠性双自旋卫星由无内部活动部件的半刚性平台、半刚性转子以及固连于平台的挠性附件构成,选择姿态角和模态坐标表示的相对能量函数为Liapunov 函数,建立了挠性双自旋卫星姿态稳定性判据。     

温升热源条件油气热着火关键因素探究

通过对影响油气受热着火的关键因素进行研究,为发展主动防护技术提供理论依据。基于系统的实验和分析,探究了快速氧化现象、热源加热速度、热源面积与爆燃空间比例对热着火发生时临界浓度、着火概率和着火延迟期的影响,提出了温升热源条件受限空间能否发生热着火的综合判据。该判据认为：如果油气体积分数低于2.4％,受限空间体积与热源面积比值小于0．64m,那么即使温度达到873K,湿度降低到18％～21％,着火也不会发生。     

膨润土-砂混合型缓冲／回填材料液塑限试验

为研究掺砂率对高庙子膨润土一砂混合型缓冲／回填材料液塑限的影响,利用液塑限联合测定仪进行了试验研究,并运用最小二乘法对混合物液塑限试验数据进行了分析。试验结果表明膨润土一砂混合物的可塑性、液塑限值和塑性指数均随掺砂率的增大而降低。对试验结果进行分析,得到了考虑掺砂率影响的混合物液塑限经验公式。混合物的液塑限并不是随掺砂率增大成比例降低,而是液限的实测值小于理论值,塑限的实测值大于理论值。得到的不同掺砂率的膨润土一砂混合型缓冲／回填材料液塑限试验数据可为高放废物深地质处置库建设提供科学依据。     

系统仿真中的模型校核问题

分析了由模型到仿真程序的问题的基本原因,指出了模型校核的必要性。对模型校核中的稳定性问题、系统状态不连贯问题和代数环问题进行了阐述和分析。针对一个二阶线性连续系统模型的离散化,通过模型校核,发现了隐含其中的稳定性问题,进而指出了相关稳定性理论在应用上的局限性,给出了解决此稳定性问题的方法,并最终通过模型校核,确认了该解决方法的有效,从而保证了对该二阶连续系统的精确的离散化。     

基于HLA装备保障仿真训练系统研究

采用HLA技术的装备保障仿真训练系统是通过网络将分散在各地的仿真器、计算机生成兵力以及其他设备联合为一个整体,形成一个可以在时间和空间上互相耦合的虚拟战场环境.分析了装备保障仿真训练的功能和特点,并依据HLA的基本概念、方法和原理对分布式装备保障仿真训练系统进行方案设计,建立了系统体系结构,并介绍了其方案组成.     

外廊及室外平台作为安全出口的可行性分析

以大型商业综合体为例,对大型商场内建筑中部的疏散楼梯难以直接通向室外这一问题进行分析,提出将通向外廊和室外平台的出口计入安全出口,并对其可行性、设计方案及采用该设计方案时应注意的问题进行了探讨.结果表明,当外廊和室外平台满足一定的条件时,可将其计入安全出口.     

EDITOR'S NOTE

This article offers a survey of risks that might arise for strategic stability (defined as a situation with a low probability of major-power war) with the reduction of US and Russian nuclear arsenals to “low numbers” (defined as 1,000 or fewer nuclear weapons on each side). These risks might include US anti-cities targeting strategies that are harmful to the credibility of extended deterrence; renewed European anxiety about a US-Russian condominium; greater vulnerability to Russian noncompliance with agreed obligations; incentives to adopt destabilizing “launch-on-warning” strategies; a potential stimulus to nuclear proliferation; perceptions of a US disengagement from extended deterrence; increased likelihood of non-nuclear arms competitions and conflicts; and controversial pressures on the UK and French nuclear forces. Observers in North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) states who consider such risks significant have cited four possible measures that might help to contain them: sustained basing of US nonstrategic nuclear weapons in Europe; maintaining a balanced US strategic nuclear force posture; high-readiness means to reconstitute US nuclear forces; and enhanced US and allied non-nuclear military capabilities. These concrete measures might complement the consultations with the NATO allies that the United States would in all likelihood seek with respect to such important adjustments in its deterrence and defense posture.     

US Advanced Conventional Systems and Conventional Prompt Global Strike Ambitions:

ABSTRACT

The dangers and risks of employing a Conventional Prompt Global Strike (CPGS) capability greatly exceed the benefits. More suitable, if less prompt, alternatives exist to deal with fleeting targets. Even a niche CPGS capability—consisting of approximately twenty systems—carries risks, to say nothing of proposals to develop hundreds or more. Most dangerously, CPGS could stir the pre-emption pot, particularly vis-à-vis states that correctly perceive to be within the gunsights of US CPGS weapons; other states, too, may feel emboldened to emulate this US precedent and undertake their own form of prompt, long-range strike capability. Compressed circumstances surrounding such a scenario could foster unwanted erratic behavior, including the misperception that the threatening missile carries a nuclear weapon. But the true Achilles's heel of the CPGS concept is the unprecedented demands it places on the intelligence community to provide decision makers with “exquisite” intelligence within an hour timeframe. Such compressed conditions leave decision makers with virtually no time to appraise the direct—and potentially unintended—consequences of their actions.