Analysis of production lines with Coxian service times and no intermediate buffers

This paper uses the holding time model (HTM) method to derive an approximate analytic formula for the calculation of the mean throughput of a K-station production line with no buffers between any two successive stations. Service times follow the two-stage Coxian (C²) distribution at all stations. The paper provides a formula that relates the third moment of the service completion (or virtual service) time with the respective parameters of the service time, the repair time and the time to breakdown (the latter is assumed to follow the exponential distribution). In this way, it concludes that under certain conditions the two-stage Coxian distribution can be used to approximate any general distribution matching the first three moments of the service completion time distribution. The mean holding times (consisting of the service and blocking periods) of all stations of the line are obtained in an analytical form. Numerical results are provided for the mean throughput of lines with up to 20 stations. These results are shown to have a good accuracy compared against results obtained from the Markovian state method (for short lines) and results from simulation (for longer lines). © 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 45: 669–685, 1998     

改进分块局部最佳维纳滤波算法的干涉相位滤波

针对合成孔径雷达干涉相位滤波问题,提出了一种改进的分块局部最佳维纳滤波算法。该算法是加性高斯白噪声下的线性最小均方误差估计,利用目前图像滤波最前沿的技术——非局部技术,来联合估计图像的一、二阶矩。针对干涉相位中噪声的空变性,在应用中提出了两点改进:估计噪声的标准差时,用均值代替中值;根据噪声标准差的最大值和均值的比值,自适应地确定类的数量。仿真和实测数据表明,改进后的分块局部最佳维纳滤波算法是有效的,并优于其他三种算法。     

输入分机核心板的改造方案

提出关于输入分机两种电路的改造方案,即绝对值和正切函数发生器电路的工程实现方法,从而解决修理中备件替换问题．经实验证明,电路具有很高的精度,且容易实现．     

视频监视前景图像估计的盲源提取方法

在视频图像运动检测的背景消减方法中,场景图像或帧可建模为前景图像和背景图像的叠加或线性混合。然而,实际中图像的背景和前景往往相关,常用的主成分分析和独立分量分析等方法难以实现准确提取。为此,将视频图像的前景提取建模为盲源提取问题,提出了一种基于均方交叉预测误差的盲源提取方法,可以从相关的源视频图像中提取期望的前景图像,并将该方法扩展应用于基于基本模型和特征背景模型的背景消减方案中。基于人工和实际视频的实验验证了盲源提取背景消减方法的可行性和有效性。     

弹性轨道磁悬浮控制系统模型降阶研究

在磁悬浮控制系统中,常常忽略轨道的弹性来设计控制算法。在这种控制算法作用下,当轨道刚度较小时,系统容易产生振动。为解决该问题,可以将轨道弹性加入悬浮模型,然后设计控制算法。考虑轨道弹性之后,悬浮系统的模型会比较复杂,控制算法难以在工程实现。为此,采用Hankel范数近似法对考虑轨道弹性后的模型进行降阶,并且在降阶模型的基础上设计控制算法,解决了轨道弹性引发的系统振动问题。并且,这种方法容易在工程中实现。文章最后利用仿真结果验证了降阶方法的可行性。     

异构混合存储的软硬件协同数据放置策略

分析比较当前大数据中心典型混合存储架构,针对其不能综合运用存储管理系统和存储设备优势的问题,提出软硬件协同的数据放置策略,同时考虑软件层混合存储管理系统和硬件层混合存储设备的特点,根据应用特性为数据选择合适的存储管理系统和设备。面向不同应用场景,提出运行前规划存储路径的静态放置模式和运行中规划存储路径的动态放置模式。基于存储管理系统和设备性能参数建模,采用仿真方法实现各数据放置策略,并运行实际应用中的三类负载进行实验测试,结果表明采用软硬件协同的数据放置策略相比只考虑存储管理系统和存储设备的数据放置策略,性能可以提高近30%。     

From Westphalian Failure to Heterarchic Governance in MENA: The Case of Syria

Abstract

The problematic export of the Westphalian system to MENA is examined, taking Syria as exemplar. The export model is juxtaposed to actual non-lineal trajectories, semi-sovereignty and hybrid or failing states. This is manifested in post-uprising Syria in failing statehood, fragmented and overlapping governance, permeable and collapsing borders, the loss of sovereignty to trans-state movements, “competitive regime-building” between the Asad regime and jihadist warlords, and “competitive interventionism” by external powers filling the governance vacuum with their own proxies. The result is heterarchic zones of limited statehood in which state sovereignty is contested by both international (supra-state) penetration and sub-state fragmentation.     

集中控制混合网络中基于流的资源分配算法

集中控制混合网络中,异构化网络内部的流量具有一定的规律和特性,如果使用原有的单一的离散式最大极值和无状态的网络资源调度算法,忽略了异构网络规律,会造成网络利用率较低、易震荡、部分网络流延迟等问题。通过分析由集中控制网络和普通网络组成的混合网络的拓扑结构,对混合网络结构中常见问题如流闪现、不能估计的流、路径堵塞或连接震荡场景进行分析,并提出基于期望和状态的流量评价资源规划算法POS和POS-FME。算法考虑混合网络的运行状态,对系统可用资源进行评估,为系统中各种流匹配对应可用资源,并具有一定的预测作用,从而避免混合网络出现运行效率低下的场景。通过实验,POS算法和POS-FME算法相对传统算法,利用率提高了10%～30%,并降低了震荡和平均延迟。     

A cost–benefit analysis of terrorist attacks

A cost–benefit analysis of terrorist attacks is developed and placed within a systematic theoretical structure. For the target or object of the attack, we consider the lost value of human lives, lost economic value, and lost influence value, counted as benefits for the terrorist. The corresponding losses for the terrorist are counted as costs. The terrorist attacks if benefits outweigh costs. Bounded rationality is enabled where the three kinds of benefits and costs can be weighted differently. We account for two ex ante probabilities of successful planning and attack, and enable the terrorist to assign different weights to its multiple stakeholders. We introduce multiple time periods, time discounting, attitudes towards risk, and subcategories for the benefits and costs. The cost–benefit analysis is illustrated with the 11 September 2001 attack, and 53 incidents in the Global Terrorism Database yielding both positive and negative expected utilities. The paper is intended as a tool for scientists and policy-makers, as a way of thinking about costs and benefits of terrorist attacks.     

The subversion of the Bulgarian defence system – the Russian way

Russia has long been pursuing an intended and calculated policy of keeping enough influence in Bulgaria in order to have control over national decisions. Together with the economic, energy, political and information tools used by Russia in its hybrid war against Bulgaria and in its bid to achieve an enduring “state capture,” defence is also a distinct target of Russian subversion now. A list of noticeable subversive actions with tangible effects can be summarised, ranging from fuelling division and manipulating public opinion, preventing the strengthening of the NATO position in the Black Sea, sabotaging defence reform to various options of subverting the modernisation of the Bulgarian Armed Forces and seeking new ways to keep legacy Soviet military equipment in operation as long as possible. This issue must be urgently addressed both nationally and in NATO.