蒙特卡洛优化法在机组组合问题中的应用

机组组合(UC)是电力系统经济运行的重要内容之一。根据UC约束特点将机组组合问题分解为单机多时段和多机单时段问题。基于蒙特卡洛(MC)优化法原理,解决单机多时段的启停问题及最后过滤比较找出最优可行解;利用运行费用可导性,解决了爬坡约束并得出多机单时段下的最优解。最后在Madab 6.1下通过算例验证了该方法的可行性。     

大学生问题行为及对策浅析

本文从心理学的角度分析了大学生常见的问题行为,对问题行为的性质、外部表现、心理特征及应对措施作了详尽分析,集中讨论了人格不适、失恋、考试焦虑及人格障碍等方面的问题,以期有助于大学生问题行为的处理。     

Equilibrium customer strategies and social–profit maximization in the single‐server constant retrial queue

We consider the single‐server constant retrial queue with a Poisson arrival process and exponential service and retrial times. This system has not waiting space, so the customers that find the server busy are forced to abandon the system, but they can leave their contact details. Hence, after a service completion, the server seeks for a customer among those that have unsuccessfully applied for service but left their contact details, at a constant retrial rate. We assume that the arriving customers that find the server busy decide whether to leave their contact details or to balk based on a natural reward‐cost structure, which incorporates their desire for service as well as their unwillingness to wait. We examine the customers' behavior, and we identify the Nash equilibrium joining strategies. We also study the corresponding social and profit maximization problems. We consider separately the observable case where the customers get informed about the number of customers waiting for service and the unobservable case where they do not receive this information. Several extensions of the model are also discussed. © 2011 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2011     

Annealing adaptive search,cross‐entropy,and stochastic approximation in global optimization

The Annealing Adaptive Search (AAS) algorithm for global optimization searches the solution space by sampling from a sequence of Boltzmann distributions. For a class of optimization problems, it has been shown that the complexity of AAS increases at most linearly in the problem dimension. However, despite its desirable property, sampling from a Boltzmann distribution at each iteration of the algorithm remains a practical challenge. Prior work to address this issue has focused on embedding Markov chain‐based sampling techniques within the AAS framework. In this article, based on ideas from the recent Cross‐Entropy method and Model Reference Adaptive Search, we propose an algorithm, called Model‐based Annealing Random Search (MARS), that complements prior work by sampling solutions from a sequence of surrogate distributions that iteratively approximate the target Boltzmann distributions. We establish a novel connection between MARS and the well‐known Stochastic Approximation method. By exploiting this connection, we prove the global convergence of MARS and characterize its asymptotic convergence rate behavior. Our empirical results indicate promising performance of the algorithm in comparison with some of the existing methods. © 2011 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2011     

循环经济与可持续发展

循环经济和知识经济并称为21世纪发展新亮点,也是世纪之交人类社会可持续发展的两大趋势。人类社会在经历了漫长的发展历史之后,正处于一种大量的资源、能量的耗费,大量的废物进入生存环境的状态,自然环境一次又一次向人类敲响警钟。本文试从循环经济这一视角来对其与可持续发展的问题进行探讨。     

超远程火炮安全装药多指标优化分析

通过计算分别建立了超远程火炮全装药和小号装药内弹道多目标(指标)优化模型,采用基于空间测度为标准的TOPSIS方法对方案进行了综合优化、排序,从而获得确保发射安全的满意装药方案。计算实例表明:TOPSIS方法是一种解多指标优化问题的有效方法,多指标优化模型可作为内弹道设计方案优化工具。     

系统突变理论的战场描述终态条件及模型

分析经典的基于兰切斯特方程描述的作战过程,在此基础上,把数理战术学中的最优决策理论和系统学中的系统突变理论相结合,通过对作战双方微分方程的毁伤率引入士气参数,建立数学模型,提出系统突变条件下描述战场的终态条件,并利用此条件探讨最优控制条件下的策略,为进一步研究战争的形态提供理论参考。     

单一来源装备采办下定价策略的博弈分析

单一来源装备采办下,由于供应商在装备的定价与装备的升级改造上都存在 相对的比较优势,军方引入渐进式采办来改变自身的不利地位 应用博弈论的观点来对单 一来源装备采办下军方与供应商定价问题进行比较,实现了对单一来源装备采办与竞争策 略下各自收益分析,并用不定次重复博弈对渐进式采办进行了定量分析,对在实际采办过程 中如何实现激励合同和防止腐败问题也进行了理论上的论述。     

战略决策模拟中的态势表现

战略决策模拟中,态势表现是实现模拟可视化的关键,具有举足轻重的作用,其研究与实现是一项具有相当难度的课题.首先分析战略态势表现所要解决的两个基本问题,即态势数据和可视化表现;其次着眼于两者的分离,按照面向对象的设计思想,提出了一种面向对象的战略态势表现实现思路;最后,给出了开发战略态势表现系统的基本工作思路.在决胜系列战略决策模拟系统的开发中,按照该思路实现了态势表现子系统,较好的满足了模拟需求.     

粒子群优化算法在无人机设计中的应用

介绍了基本粒子群优化算法的思想、步骤,针对其有时会出现粒子在最优解附近“振荡”的现象,使用加入惯性权重因子的复合粒子群优化算法来对无人机(UAV)进行优化设计。最后以意大利研制成功的喷气无人机(米拉奇-100)为例对该算法进行了验算和仿真。由结果可知,该机的实际起飞重量与优化结果十分相似,证明了优化计算的可行性和高精度。