From show of force to naval presence,and back again: the U.S. Navy in the Baltic, 1982–2017

This article discusses roles and missions of the United States Navy with a particular focus on the Baltic Sea. That particular sea has gained renewed political and military attention following Russia's resurgent and increasingly hybrid-offensive foreign policy. Baltic nations, uncertain of what the future holds, ought to look at sea power and maritime missions in the Baltic, as well as US naval presence in Europe, to draw lessons for future posture.     

Spaghetti: systems thinking and the US Army

In the mid-2000s, the United States Army was embroiled in counterinsurgency missions in Iraq and Afghanistan that required deeper understanding of local social systems. The Army turned to systems thinking and design thinking to model and understand the world, define problems, and develop approaches to strategic and operational challenges. However, the Army’s approach as expressed in publications and doctrine encourages the development of complicated, unsupported, and unfalsifiable hypotheses. The risk is that the Army will act on incorrect assumptions and develop plans that are fragile.     

War,vagueness and hybrid war

It has frequently been observed in the literature on hybrid wars that there is a grey zone between peace and war, and that hybrid wars are conflicts which are not clear cases of war. In this paper, I attempt to illuminate this grey zone and the concept and nature of war from the philosophical discussions of vagueness and institutional facts. Vague terms are characterized by the fact that there is no non-arbitrary boundary between entities which lie in their extension, and entities which do not lie in their extension. I apply a theory of vagueness to notions such as “war” and “peace” and go on to suggest that the exact boundary for what counts as a war or not is arbitrary. However, the context in which the conflict occurs determines a range of possible locations for this boundary. The most important contextual parameter is in this respect how the parties to the conflict themselves conceptualize the conflict. I suggest that this can in various ways help us understand grey-zone conflicts.     

C2组织鲁棒性信息交互结构设计及分析

介绍了C2组织的信息交互结构及其设计约束,讨论了C2组织鲁棒性信息交互结构的设计问题。提出了基于启发式嵌套遗传算法的鲁棒性信息交互结构设计方法:外层遗传算法对信息交互结构的拓扑及链路容量进行优化搜索;内层嵌套遗传算法依据对路由的搜索优化出多个使命邻域下最小延时集合,将其依概率平均化后返回外层来对链路容量的鲁棒性进行评价。案例分析和对比试验表明该方法可以实现鲁棒性较强的组织信息交互结构。     

Adaptive random search for continuous simulation optimization

We present, analyze, and compare three random search methods for solving stochastic optimization problems with uncountable feasible regions. Our adaptive search with resampling (ASR) approach is a framework for designing provably convergent algorithms that are adaptive and may consequently involve local search. The deterministic and stochastic shrinking ball (DSB and SSB) approaches are also convergent, but they are based on pure random search with the only difference being the estimator of the optimal solution [the DSB method was originally proposed and analyzed by Baumert and Smith]. The three methods use different techniques to reduce the effects of noise in the estimated objective function values. Our ASR method achieves this goal through resampling of already sampled points, whereas the DSB and SSB approaches address it by averaging observations in balls that shrink with time. We present conditions under which the three methods are convergent, both in probability and almost surely, and provide a limited computational study aimed at comparing the methods. Although further investigation is needed, our numerical results suggest that the ASR approach is promising, especially for difficult problems where the probability of identifying good solutions using pure random search is small. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010     

A stochastic gradual cover location problem

Covering models assume that a point is covered if it is within a certain distance from a facility and not covered beyond that distance. In gradual cover models it is assumed that a point is fully covered within a given distance from a facility, then cover gradually declines, and the point is not covered beyond a larger distance. Gradual cover models address the discontinuity in cover which may not be the correct approach in many situations. In the stochastic gradual cover model presented in this article it is assumed that the short and long distances employed in gradual cover models are random variables. This refinement of gradual cover models provides yet a more realistic depiction of actual behavior in many situations. The maximal cover model based on the new concept is analyzed and the single facility location cover problem in the plane is solved. Computational results illustrating the effectiveness of the solution procedures are presented. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010     

天地测控资源调度的两阶段递进遗传算法

为对天地测控资源调度进行高效求解,设计了两阶段递进遗传算法对其进行优化调度。鉴于问题的目标具有一定的可分性,以时间为依据将被调度弧段划分成两个部分,在对第一部分形成种群并作进化求解的基础上,将其最优解与第二部分弧段组合,并作进一步的进化求解。为了缓解两阶段优化的局部搜索特性,在第一阶段个体适应度计算中,以一定概率设定虚拟弧段,保留具有潜在全局优势的个体。仿真表明该方法能在确保求解质量的前提下明显减少运算时间。     

装备维修资源优化中的模拟退火遗传算法

在对模拟退火遗传算法改进的基础上,结合建立的通信装备维修资源分配模型,给出了该算法的实现过程,并利用此算法对模型进行了最优化求解。实例的计算结果表明该算法对于模型的求解具有较好的收敛性。     

混合隔振系统中电磁作动器的优化设计

由于混合隔振系统中的电磁作动器对电磁力、体积重量、损耗等指标有着严格的限制,因此电磁作动器的优化设计显得十分重要。为此,提出了电磁作动器系统参数(包括几何尺寸参数和电参数)的优化设计方法,推导了电磁作动器总损耗与系统参数间的关系。通过有限元分析软件ANSYS中的优化设计模块,使用ANSYS参数化设计语言建立了在保证电磁力及体积限制条件下,以总损耗最小为目标函数的三维参数化分析模型,多次循环迭代求解后得到了较为优化的系统参数。仿真及实验结果表明:按照该方法设计的电磁作动器能够满足各项设计指标要求,且性能比其他参数下更为优化。     

装甲装备使用可用度与维修保障费用的优化模型

维修保障费用是影响装甲装备使用可用度的重要因素之一。要在有限的保障经费下实现高可用度要求,就必须建立装甲装备的使用可用度与维修保障费用的优化模型。根据装甲装备实际维修特点,在分析装甲装备预防性维修过程中故障类型多样的基础上,构建了装甲装备在给定维修周期内的使用可用度模型和维修保障费用模型,进而建立了使用可用度与维修保障费用的优化模型,提出了模型的解法和模型的改进建议。