激光——等离子弧复合焊铝锂合金熔化过程的分析

为了研究激光-等离子弧复合焊熔化过程中的传热和流动特性,建立了针对1420铝锂合金的数值分析模型。在同时考虑表面张力、电磁力和热浮力作用的情况下,利用有限控制容积法求解该模型,得到熔池流场和温度场的数值解,从而直观地反映熔池形状的变化过程,并采用无量纲分析法对不同作用力对熔池传热和流动过程的影响进行定量化研究。分析结果表明：熔深的增长快于熔宽,因为熔深增加的主要机理是小孔效应,而熔宽增加的机理为对流传热作用;表面张力对熔池流动的影响最大,比电磁力的作用大1个数量级,比热浮力的作用大3个数量级;在熔化过程中,对流传热的作用大于热传导作用,心数最大值达7．6。     

基于遗传算法优化网络权值的装箱问题研究

通过对Hopfield网络模型的研究,把一种类型的装箱问题转化成Hopfield网络模型,再利用遗传算法优化Hopfield网络中的连接权值,形成混合优化算法求解装箱问题,最后通过实例验证了该算法的有效性。     

基于多时刻目标运动模式分布的多模型算法

在机动目标跟踪过程中,传感器在利用量测数据计算目标状态的同时,需要完成对目标运动模式的估计,并根据估计结果对传感器滤波方程的参数或结构进行调整,以减小滤波方程与目标运动模式之间的差异,提高对机动目标的跟踪精度.针对已有多模型算法的不足,利用多个时刻的目标运动模式分布来解决混合估计问题,提出一种新的次优多模型(MTMM)算法.仿真结果证明了MTMM算法的有效性.     

Inducing coordination in supply chains through linear reward schemes

Decentralized decision‐making in supply chain management is quite common, and often inevitable, due to the magnitude of the chain, its geographical dispersion, and the number of agents that play a role in it. But, decentralized decision‐making is known to result in inefficient Nash equilibrium outcomes, and optimal outcomes that maximize the sum of the utilities of all agents need not be Nash equilibria. In this paper we demonstrate through several examples of supply chain models how linear reward/penalty schemes can be implemented so that a given optimal solution becomes a Nash equilibrium. The examples represent both vertical and horizontal coordination issues. The techniques we employ build on a general framework for the use of linear reward/penalty schemes to induce stability in given optimal solutions and should be useful to other multi‐agent operations management settings. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006     

混合电推进能源管理系统模糊逻辑控制

针对混合电推进能源管理方法开展研究,设计了一种基于模糊逻辑控制的混合电推进能源管理系统。通过设置垂直起降飞行器的功率要求、内燃机-发电机输出功率和储能电池荷电状态的模糊隶属度函数,动态最优分配发电机与储能电池的功率输出,从而提升系统的燃油经济性与飞行器的航程。结合模型设置,对100 kg级的垂直起降转平飞的飞行器能源系统变化进行仿真计算,验证了能源控制算法的可行性。结果表明：基于模糊逻辑控制的能源管理方法,在总时长约为1.2 h的飞行过程中,内燃机约有1 h的时间工作在比油耗最低的区域,从而提升了混合电推进系统的能量利用效率。研究为后续混合电推进系统的能源高效控制与管理提供了设计思路和分析方法。     

The danger of “hybrid warfare” from a sophisticated adversary: the Russian “hybridity” in the Ukrainian conflict

The term “hybrid warfare” is a new one that the West began to use to explain its failure to cope with asymmetric threats. Focusing on the war on global terrorism, the West temporarily withdrew its attention from traditional adversaries, such as Russia, which has used this gap and has audaciously returned to the stage as a global actor. Until the Russian annexation of the Crimean Peninsula in 2014 and inflaming the Ukrainian crisis, most Western authors attributed “hybrid threats” mostly to non-state actors. But the Ukrainian scenario showed the true face of “hybridity” in the modern battlefield when practised by a powerful state actor. Russian “hybrid warfare” in Ukraine has already been seen as a combination of conventional and unconventional methods, that have been complemented with other instruments of national power – diplomatic, economic and information. The purpose of this article is, through an analysis of the Ukrainian scenario, to demonstrate that although the term “hybrid” is new, the concept itself is old and is a continuation of already seen doctrine from the Cold War era. Although “hybrid threats” can come both from state and non-state actors, the Russian interference in Ukraine is proof that they are especially dangerous for the West if, or when, they are initiated from a traditional, sophisticated adversary that has the capacity to use all forms of warfare.     

基于Pareto排序法的战时装备维修任务多目标调度方法

针对战时武器装备维修保障问题,建立了包括最大完工时间、延迟时间和维修单元负荷在内的多目标优化调度模型。为提高解的多样性和收敛性,构建了一种基于Pareto排序法和小生境技术相结合的遗传算法用于模型求解,引入Pareto排序和拥挤距离进行适应度计算,通过混沌系统随机生成权重系数,并使用小生境技术改进选择方式。通过实例验证表明,该方法能够有效地解决装备维修多目标调度问题。     

广义逆指数分布元件的可靠性分析

在II型混合截尾样本下,得到了广义逆指数分布未知参数的最大似然估计。利用最大似然估计的渐近正态性构造了参数的渐近置信区间,运用Lindley's逼近方法和TierneyKadane's逼近方法计算出了参数的Bayes估计。最后,运用Monte-Carlo方法对上述估计方法结果作了模拟比较。     

混合遗传算法及其在运载火箭最优上升轨道设计中的应用

运载火箭最优上升轨道设计问题是一类终端时刻未定、终端约束苛刻的最优控制问题,经典算法求解这类问题时收敛性差、局部收敛等问题表现得比较突出。针对上述问题,将具有良好全局收敛性的遗传算法应用到运载火箭最优上升段设计问题求解中,为了提高遗传算法的收敛速度和克服早熟问题,结合遗传算法和单纯型算法的优点,设计了两种混合遗传算法。计算结果表明,所设计的混合遗传算法是求解复杂问题的有效全局优化方法,可以成功地解决一类终端时刻可变飞行器最优控制问题。     

建立战损舰艇拖带方案的优化决策模型

对战损舰艇拖带方案的优化决策作了一些探讨,包括优化决策理论的选择,影响舰艇拖带安全的相关指标及指标权重的计算方法,并根据多目标决策理论建立了衡量拖带方案优劣的综合指标,从而建立了战损舰艇拖带的方案的优化决策模型,并进行了实例验证,证明了该模型可行性较好,并已编程实现。该决策模型能根据实际情况选定更多的供决策的相关指标,进行扩展,对实施战损舰艇拖带方案的优化选择有一定的参考价值。