Bayesian enhanced decision making for deteriorating repairable systems with preventive maintenance

Since a system and its components usually deteriorate with age, preventive maintenance (PM) is often performed to restore or keep the function of a system in a good state. Furthermore, PM is capable of improving the health condition of the system and thus prolongs its effective age. There has been a vast amount of research to find optimal PM policies for deteriorating repairable systems. However, such decisions involve numerous uncertainties and the analyses are typically difficult to perform because of the scarcity of data. It is therefore important to make use of all information in an efficient way. In this article, a Bayesian decision model is developed to determine the optimal number of PM actions for systems which are maintained according to a periodic PM policy. A non‐homogeneous Poisson process with a power law failure intensity is used to describe the deteriorating behavior of the repairable system. It is assumed that the status of the system after a PM is somewhere between as good as new for a perfect repair and as good as old for a minimal repair, and for failures between two preventive maintenances, the system undergoes minimal repairs. Finally, a numerical example is given and the results of the proposed approach are discussed after performing sensitivity analysis. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

基于粒子群优化的稀疏分解最优匹配原子搜索算法

信号的稀疏分解能得到信号的稀疏表示形式,便于进一步处理,但其计算非常复杂,是一个NP问题.粒子群优化是群体智能优化算法,算法简单,易于实现,且搜索效果好.把粒子群优化算法用于稀疏分解的最优匹配原子的搜索,能降低稀疏分解复杂度,同时减少稀疏分解的超完备字典对存储空间的占用,以提高用稀疏分解理论进行信号处理的计算效率,满足或接近实时性的要求.实验证明,此方法切实可行.     

信息网络作战技术

信息战是现代战争中重要作战样式,网络战是信息战的重要组成部分,分布式、网络化的计算机系统是信息作战中实施攻击与防护首要作战目标。根据网络作战的需求,从技术角度出发,首先对网络战的要素组成进行了分析,在此基础上将网络战划分为两个阶段,并对此进行了深入研究,最后提出了实施网络战的方法与步骤。     

AHP及其在潜艇作战指挥上的应用

层次分析法(AHP)是一种简便的、实用的多准则决策分析方法.在对传统的AHP进行概述的基础上,针对其在实际应用中存在的问题,介绍了国内外几种经典的综合及改进的层次分析法,并建立了较为完备的潜艇作战指挥效能的评价体系和模糊综合评价模型,对潜艇的作战指挥效能进行了综合的定量分析和计算.最后展望了AHP在潜艇作战指挥上的应用前景,并对各种AHP进行了比较.     

C4ISR系统信息融合模型研究

首先阐明了信息融合系统中的几个容易混淆的基本概念,介绍并分析了现有的几种信息融合系统模型及其优缺点.然后在分析C4ISR系统中信息融合处理特点的基础上,提出C4ISR系统动态信息融合的概念,并在此基础上提出一种C4ISR动态信息融合模型.最后简要介绍了基于该模型的C4ISR信息融合系统设计.     

理想气体绝热过程的微观实质

从分子动理论出发,建立理想气体绝热过程的微观模型,用麦克斯韦速度分布函数导出其过程方程.     

用混沌运动生成伪自然图像

混沌运动的确定性与随机性规律反映了现实世界中有序与无序相伴、简单与复杂一致的规律 ,利用混沌运动的方式控制像素色彩 ,可以生成反映现实世界混沌本质的伪自然图像 .通过改变动力学系统的参数 ,可以改变系统的运动形态 ,从而得到不同的伪自然图像 .     

一种综合评估方法在军队院校教学工作评估中的应用

在分析军队院校教学工作评估特点的基础上,通过对几种典型评估方法的比较分析,结合该类评估的特点,提出了一种综合评估方法.最后,利用某次实际评估的数据进行了实例计算和分析,验证了这种综合评估方法的有效性.     

起步过程中离合器半接合点的试验研究

离合器接合过程半接合点的确定和控制参数的选取是提高自动变速车辆起步品质的关键。在试验的基础上 ,得出了离合器半接合点的变化特点 ,选择以离合器主、被动轴转速差Δnec作为控制参数使车辆的起步过程具有一定的自适应性。     

Designing a screening experiment for highly reliable products

Within a reasonable life‐testing time, how to improve the reliability of highly reliable products is one of the great challenges to today's manufacturers. By using a resolution III experiment together with degradation test, Tseng, Hamada, and Chiao (1995) presented an interesting case study of improving the reliability of fluorescent lamps. However, in conducting such an experiment, they did not address the problem of how to choose the optimal settings of variables, such as sample size, inspection frequency, and termination time for each run, which are influential to the correct identification of significant factors and the experimental cost. Assuming that the product's degradation paths satisfy Wiener processes, this paper proposes a systematic approach to the aforementioned problem. First, an intuitively appealing identification rule is proposed. Next, under the constraints of a minimum probability of correct decision and a maximum probability of incorrect decision of the proposed identification rule, the optimum test plan (including the determinations of inspection frequency, sample size, and termination time for each run) can be obtained by minimizing the total experimental cost. An example is provided to illustrate the proposed method. © 2002 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 49: 514–526, 2002; Published online in Wiley InterScience (www.interscience.wiley.com). DOI 10.1002/nav.10024