The impact of military expenditures on economic growth in the less developed countries∗

This paper presents the results of empirical research on the economic impact of military expenditure — milex — on the less developed countries. The hypothesis is that the impact on growth is a combination of three effects: (1) increased security — positive impact; (2) diversion of resources from productive investment — negative impact; and (3) pressure for more efficient government policies in response to the external threat — positive impact. The combination of these effects would produce a non‐linear relationship with the growth rate at first increasing as milex increased and then decreasing. For the full sample of 71 countries, we found the predicted relationship, however, it is not robust to changes in the sample. The robust conclusion is that there was no evidence of a negative impact of military spending on economic growth.     

TERRORISM AND TOURISM: THE CASE OF TURKEY

Using a time series method called ‘transfer function’, this paper examines the effect of terrorism on tourism in Turkey. The results indicate that there exists a negative but small impact of terrorism, which is observed within approximately one year. However, terrorist attacks in Turkey have accounted for a reduction of six million foreign tourists over the last nine years. Moreover, the economic cost of terrorism in the tourism industry was more than $700 million in 2006. However, terrorist attacks in continental Europe and America, and an active war involving a neighboring country, had no effects on tourism in Turkey.     

着陆冲击试验系统设计及大型橡胶容器试验验证

为确保大型橡胶容器的运输适航性,依据中国民用航空局对运输类飞机的应急着陆过载要求,开展着陆冲击试验系统设计。通过冲击平台仿真设计与校核、波形发生器仿真设计、摆锤系统与导向机构设计,构建了着陆冲击试验系统,有效负载约达20 t,最大冲击载荷达到400 t。选取大型橡胶容器作为典型空运物资进行应急着陆实装试验验证,结果表明:冲击波形均近似为三角波,与仿真曲线波形相似,过载峰值分别为侧向1.54g、航向3.06g、9.02g、16.20g,与目标峰值最大相对误差小于3%,峰值对应时间大于50 ms,试验系统符合设计要求。该试验系统可用于空运平台的研制,对于确保飞行安全、降低研制风险、提高空运适航性具有重要的意义。     

某型铜材料动态力学性能的数值模拟研究

采用一种高效的应力更新算法,运用Fortran语言编写Johnson—Cook本构模型的Vuamt子程序,模拟材料在高速冲击工况下的动态力学性能,研究塑性大应变、高应变率以及温度软化作用对材料力学性能的影响。     

大型舰艇箔条质心干扰防御反舰导弹仿真

箔条质心干扰是大型舰艇防御反舰导弹的重要手段。基于干扰机理分析,建立了以箔条云、舰艇切割效应模型为核心的干扰仿真模型,并利用仿真实例验证了该模型的正确性和合理性。在此基础上,通过典型场景下的仿真分析,揭示了大型舰艇箔条质心干扰运用的特殊性,为大型舰艇箔条质心干扰效果评估和运用方法研究提供模型支撑和定量依据。     

小波域非加性失真函数设计

在最小化嵌入失真隐写算法框架的基础上,提出了一种基于小波域的非加性失真函数图像隐写算法。首先在离散小波域设计了加性失真函数,主要考虑了亮度、频率和纹理掩蔽因子对载体失真的影响;然后结合模型矫正的方法对设计的加性失真函数进行了非加性矫正;最后结合网格码设计了隐写算法,将嵌入信息对载体的修改最小化,并且集中在人眼不敏感区域。实验结果显示,方案具有良好的视觉不可见性,且能抵抗空域SPAM特征隐写分析的攻击。     

单脉冲雷达导引头角度跟踪环路半实物仿真

单脉冲雷达导引头具有全天候的自动搜捕及跟踪能力,对作战平台的威胁极大,也是平台自卫式干扰的重点。根据平台自卫式干扰效果仿真试验的需求,以单脉冲雷达导引头半实物仿真为立足点,重点介绍了比幅和差单脉冲雷达导引头角度跟踪环路半实物仿真工程实现的关键技术,最后结合具体试验对单脉冲雷达导引头角度跟踪环路性能进行了验证分析。     

系缆龙须角对筒型基础拖航影响试验

系缆龙须角是影响气浮筒型基础拖航的主要因素之一。通过模型试验对顺浪拖航时结构在横向、纵向以及垂向振荡的加速度、筒内气压力和水压力以及拖缆力进行测量。试验结果表明：拖航加速度随着系缆龙须角从0°增大到90°呈先减小后增大的趋势;龙须角为0°时,拖航的加速度、筒内气压力和水压力以及拖缆力变化均明显大于有角度拖航;拖缆力呈脉冲变化,且在45°时取得较小值。因此对于该结构的拖航,为了保证在拖航中既具有较小的拖缆力,又具有较小的横向和垂向振荡,建议选取系缆龙须角为45°。     

In pursuit of accountability during and after war

ABSTRACT

This article aims to identify and elaborate the causes and ramifications of applying transitional justice, in particular accountability measures, to situations of war. It focuses on the correlations between peace and justice – and hence an important perspective on the question ‘how do wars end’. The article seeks to understand some of the main challenges associated with pursuing accountability for crimes committed in contemporary forms of conflict, including civil wars and abuses committed by major powers in armed conflict.     

地下工程非爆破开挖机械破碎法机理及应用

针对非爆破法开挖工序中的关键问题——导向孔布置方案优化,结合非爆破施工实作流程及工艺,利用波动理论探索了破碎锤冲击破岩机理。破碎锤通过钎杆冲击导向孔产生孔间贯穿裂缝进而破岩掘进,破碎锤冲击破岩的过程是岩石被拉坏的过程,孔间岩石中的切向应力是提高破岩效率的关键因素。基于岩石断裂力学理论,总结得出导向孔间裂缝产生、扩展、贯通的判据,并依托实际工程进行验算,理论计算结果与现场试验结果吻合良好,同时提出了导向孔布置优化方案的改进建议。