武器系统研制进度风险分析方法研究

首先对大型武器系统研制进度风险分析的一般特点进行了讨论 ,然后根据工期要求紧迫项目的特点 ,利用瑞利分布对进度风险分析的方法进行了研究 ,并结合实例对某系统研制进度风险进行了定量分析     

地地弹道导弹落点计算简化数学模型

在分析地地弹道导弹射击弹道的基础上 ,建立了其落点计算的简化数学模型。针对某型号导弹飞行弹道仿真数据进行落点计算 ,结果与仿真结果一致 ,达到精度要求。     

寿命试验持续时间的预测

工程界中诸多电子元器件的寿命都可以看作或近似看作是服从指数分布的,只有经寿命试验掌握各类电子元器件寿命的分布情况,才能对整个电子系统的可靠度有较充分的认识,从而对整个电子系统中的电子设备进行合理布局,优化控制,使其在实际应用中最大程度地发挥其作用。分别给出服从单参数指数分布的样本在寿命试验的早期结果上预测寿命试验的总持续时间的精确与近似方法的证明,并对两种预测方法在不同情况下的预测结果进行比较。     

基于似然比检验的橡胶密封件加速试验机理一致性判别方法

加速退化试验广泛应用于橡胶密封件等长寿命产品的可靠性评估,试验过程中需要将高应力水平下的试验结果外推到正常应力水平。要获得准确的产品可靠性评估结果,需要保证加速应力下的退化失效机理与正常应力下的退化失效机理一致。基于似然比检验原理,提出加速退化试验机理一致性判别方法及流程。针对失效机理一致与失效机理变化两种场合,提出对数线性及非对数线性两类加速模型,并结合混合效应模型描述产品退化过程。利用似然比检验判断加速模型参数是否变化,完成失效机理一致性判别。仿真算例和应用实例表明,该方法能够有效判别橡胶密封件失效机理是否变化,并找到失效机理不变的应力水平边界。     

多种服役环境下航空铝合金疲劳裂纹扩展行为

通过收集机场环境数据并依据环境谱编谱流程,编制出试验室环境下航空铝合金加速腐蚀试验谱,并依据该谱开展LD2CS铝合金预腐蚀疲劳试验。统计分析试验数据,利用影响平均值方法,筛选出三个重要腐蚀损伤表征量,即最大蚀坑深度、最大蚀坑宽度、点蚀率。通过归一化无量纲处理和加权平均方法,计算出腐蚀损伤综合指标α。对比不同损伤程度下预制裂纹疲劳扩展行为特点,定义腐蚀加速系数Ω(α)。利用加速腐蚀第18—20a的试验数据验证Ω(α)表达式的有效性,得到预测值相对误差均小于10%,这说明修正后的疲劳裂纹扩展公式适用于表示腐蚀损伤对长裂纹扩展的加速作用,为航空铝合金的损伤容限设计提供新的思路。     

便携式自寻的反坦克导弹攻顶弹道研究

便携式反坦克导弹在通过击顶方式打击目标时,要同时满足落角和精度的要求,以达到对目标的毁伤效能。首先推导带落角约束的最优比例导引律;然后设计携式反坦克导弹击顶弹道方案,导弹先出筒无控,以指数规律完成爬升,采用定攻角进行滑翔飞行,弹道末端运用推导的导引律来满足对落点和落角的约束。仿真结果表明,当反坦克导弹攻击不同距离的目标时,该弹道方案具有较强的有效性。     

多体动力学仿真车辆传动齿轮疲劳寿命灵敏度分析

齿轮是机械传动中重要的传力构件,由于测试手段和试验方法的限制,齿轮设计的时候多采用静强度设计理论,无法准确地反应实际情况下的动态特性,导致齿轮的实际寿命和设计寿命有较大的差距。基于多体动力学仿真分析方法建立履带式车辆传动系统虚拟行驶试验平台,获得齿轮在不同工况下的动载荷谱。基于疲劳分析软件MSC.Fatigue获得了齿轮的疲劳寿命,进而改变齿轮的结构参数分析不同结构齿轮的疲劳寿命,得到其疲劳寿命随不同结构参数变化的规律,进行齿轮疲劳寿命的灵敏度分析,为齿轮的结构优化作了一定的探索。     

基于ANSYSLS-DYNA的固体食品包装袋空投着陆过程仿真

基于ANSYS/LS-DYNA软件平台,采用双层高强度聚丙烯材料的包装方案,以盛装20 kg大米的包装袋为例,采用数值模拟的方法,研究包装袋从200 m高空着陆冲击过程中包装袋主要力学参数的微观变化过程,主要包括形状变化及应力的变化过程,找出了可能对包装袋造成破坏的原因和最容易破坏的部位,并验证了双层高强度聚丙烯材料包装方案的可行性。为实现固体食品的高空无伞空投提供了参考。     

Defence Spending and Income Inequality in Taiwan

The rising trend in income inequality has recently attracted a renewed interest in the determinants of this growing trend across many countries. This article adds to the debate by investigating the impact of defence expenditure as a possible determinant of inequality in Taiwan, a country once was considered to be a poster child of an equitable growth, but now income inequality has become one of the Taiwan’s growing challenges. Applying the bounds test approach to cointegration and four long-run estimators for the period from 1976–2011, we found a long-run relationship between the various measures of inequality and defence expenditure where defence expenditure exerts a positive and a statistically significant impact on the worse income inequality in Taiwan. Further application of the lag-augmented causality test procedure also reveals a unidirectional causality running from defence expenditure to income inequality with defence expenditure causing income inequality to rise.     

The mechanical performance and a rate-dependent constitutive model for Al3Ti compound

The Al₃Ti compound has potential application in the high temperature structure materials due to its low density, high strength and stiffness. The mechanical behaviors of the material under different loading rates were studied using compression tests. The results indicate that Al₃Ti is a typical brittle material and its compressive strength is dependent on the strain rate. Therefore, a series of rate-dependent constitutive equations are needed to describe its mechanical behaviors accurately. However, it is still short of professional research on the material model for Al₃Ti. In this study, the material model was developed on the basis of JH-2 constitutive equations using the experimental data. The model was then applied in simulating the impact process of Ti/Al₃Ti metal-intermetallic laminate composites so as to validate the established model. Good agreement between simulation and experiment results shows the constitutive model predict the material responses under high rate and large deformation accurately. This work provides more support for the theoretical and numerical research on the intermetallic.