系统效能分析在武器装备论证中的应用

论述了系统效能分析与武器装备论证的内在联系,分析探讨了系统效能分析在武器装备论证中的各种应用,提出了具体运用的方法步骤,对如何使装备论证工作更具科学性与可靠性进行了探索。     

可复用构件模型探讨

针对软件复用中构件模型的建立,介绍了构件模型的基本概念,分析了几个现存的构件模型,并对构件模型技术提出了一些展望。     

Dichotomous categorical variable formation in mathematical programming discriminant analysis models

Classification models, whether generated by statistical techniques or mathematical programming (MP) discriminant analysis methods, are often simplified by ad hoc formation of dichotomous categorical variables from the original variables with, for example, a dichotomous variable taking value 1 if the original variable is above a threshold level and 0 otherwise. In this paper an MP discriminant analysis method is developed for forming dichotomous categorical variables in problems with discriminant functions that are monotone in the original variables. For each of the original variables from which dichotomous variables may be formed, a set of possible threshold levels for dichotomous variable formation is defined. An MP model is then used to determine both the threshold level for forming each dichotomous variable and the associated discriminant function coefficient. The proposed MP approach is applied to a published problem and a number of simulated problem sets. It is shown that the discriminant functions in dichotomous categorical variables generated by this new MP approach can in some cases outperform the functions generated by standard MP discriminant analysis models using the original variables. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004.     

Network routing for insurgency: An adversarial risk analysis framework

Problems in counterterrorism and corporate competition have prompted research that attempts to combine statistical risk analysis with game theory in ways that support practical decision making. This article applies these methods of adversarial risk analysis to the problem of selecting a route through a network in which an opponent chooses vertices for ambush. The motivating application is convoy routing across a road network when there may be improvised explosive devices and imperfect intelligence about their locations. © 2011 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2011     

基于统计能量分析法的船艇机舱舱室噪声仿真

以某一船艇机舱为例,从机舱发动机表面振动声辐射着手,建立了机舱的统计能量分析(SEA)模型,对船艇机舱的进行了仿真计算。结果表明,统计能量分析法与实际测量值吻合,SEA模型的计算值与舱内声压水平实测值误差在主要频带达到3dB以内。     

回归分析在漏磁定量检测中的应用

通过分析漏磁场,选取法向分量的峰峰值和峰峰值间距作为漏磁通信号的特征量。重点介绍了多元回归分析模型理论、参数估计方法和回归模型的假设检验,得到缺陷宽度、深度与峰峰值和峰峰值间距之间的回归模型,最后利用漏磁数据对回归模型进行了检验,结果表明预测缺陷宽度和深度的误差不超过10%,利用回归分析能够实现漏磁检测的定量化。     

Research on the intermediate phase of 40CrMnSiB steel shell under different heat treatments

In this study, 40CrMnSiB steel cylindrical shells were tempered at 350, 500 and 600 ℃ to study the effect of tempering temperature on the dynamic process of expansion and fracture of the metal shell. A mid-explosion recovery experiment for the metal cylinder under internal explosive loading was designed, and the wreckage of the casings at the intermediate phase was obtained. The effects of different tempering temperatures on the macroscopic and microscopic fracture characteristics of 40CrMnSiB steel were studied. The influence of tempering temperatures on the fracture characteristic parameters of the recovered wreckage were measured and analyzed, including the circumferential divide size, the thick-ness and the number of the circumferential divisions. The results show that as the tempering temper-ature was increased from 350 to 600 ℃, at first, the degree of fragmentation and the fracture characteristic parameters of the recovered wreckage changed significantly and then became essentially consistent. Scanning electron microscopy analysis revealed flow-like structure characteristics caused by adiabatic shear on different fracture surfaces. At the detonation initiation end of the casing, fracturing was formed by tearing along the crack, which existed a distance from the initiation end and propagated along the axis direction. In contrast, the fracturing near the middle position consists of a plurality of radial shear fracture units. The amount of alloy carbide that was precipitated during the tempering process increased continuously with tempering temperature, leading to an increasing number of spherical carbide particles scattered around the fracture surface.     

Thermal and combustion behavior of Al-MnO2 nanothermite with poly(vinylidene fluoride -co- hexafluoropropylene) energetic binder

Fluoropolymers get increasing attention in energetic materials application due to the high fluorine content. To explore the effect of poly(vinylidene fluoride-co-hexafluoropropylene) (P(VDF-HFP)) on Al/MnO2 nanothermite, the samples with different contents are prepared and characterized by SEM, TG-DSC, XRD, and their ignition and combustion behavior are tested and recorded. The results show that P(VDF-HFP) as an energetic binder can combine the nanothermite components together, even exist in the gaps. The integrity of energetic materials has been improved. Thermal analysis shows that the addition of P(VDF-HFP) greatly changes the thermal reaction processes, and the exothermic peaks appear early, but the utilization of fuel and oxidizer is not efficient from the XRD results. Furthermore, the appropriate addition of P(VDF-HFP) can directly reduce the ignition energy threshold and increase the combustion time, which is necessary for the potential ignition charge application. The possible reasons for above phenomena are discussed and analyzed. This research provides a reference for improvement of thermite-based ignition charge formulation.     

Sensitivity analysis on responsive pricing and production under imperfect demand updating

This paper examines three types of sensitivity analysis on a firm's responsive pricing and responsive production strategies under imperfect demand updating. Demand has a multiplicative form where the market size updates according to a bivariate normal model. First, we show that both responsive production and responsive pricing resemble the classical pricing newsvendor with posterior demand uncertainty in terms of the optimal performance and first‐stage decision. Second, we show that the performance of responsive production is sensitive to the first‐stage decision, but responsive pricing is insensitive. This suggests that a “posterior rationale” (ie, using the optimal production decision from the classical pricing newsvendor with expected posterior uncertainty) allows a simple and near‐optimal first‐stage production heuristic for responsive pricing. However, responsive production obtains higher expected profits than responsive pricing under certain conditions. This implies that the firm's ability to calculate the first‐stage decision correctly can help determine which responsive strategy to use. Lastly, we find that the firm's performance is not sensitive to the parameter uncertainty coming from the market size, total uncertainty level and information quality, but is sensitive to uncertainty originating from the procurement cost and price‐elasticity.     

基于经典控制理论的制导系统校正方法研究

针对空空导弹抗目标大机动时,制导系统持续增加的快速性需求,利用反馈/前馈控制信号可提高瞬态和频率响应的经典控制思想,以及在制导算法中引入导弹的实际加速度补偿量以改善制导回路性能的方法,设计了制导系统校正算法.然后,通过线性化模型对制导系统校正算法的性能进行了数字仿真,仿真结果表明系统校正算法能够降低目标机动时所产生的脱...