基于生命周期理论的军事环境安全策略

探讨了军事环境安全概念,并运用生命周期理论对国家军事环境安全的保障措施和宏观策略进行了初步研讨。军事活动一般可分为计划规划、具体实施和事后评价3个阶段。为了在新形势下更加经济、高效地保障国家军事环境安全,首先要加大军事活动环境影响评价力度、采用对环境破坏小的战法并在军购中推行环境准入制,即尽量从源头上控制重大环境问题出现。考虑到战争的特殊性,需要在战前预先储备必要的生态环境修复技术。     

THE REGIONAL ECONOMIC EFFECTS OF MILITARY BASE REALIGNMENTS AND CLOSURES IN GERMANY

We identify the causal effect of a reduction in military personnel on a number of socioeconomic indicators within the peripheries of military bases. The base realignments and closures in Germany are used as an exogenous source of variation that allows us to identify the effect of a demand shock on household income, output, unemployment, and tax revenue within a specified buffer zone around each base. The analysis covers 298 communities for the period 2003–2007. Consistent with evidence found elsewhere, we find that these base adjustments have only a marginal impact on the local community in which the bases are located.     

对策理论的防空作战决策级融合模型

随着防空C3I系统的发展,防空作战决策的过程较以往更为自动化,用于生成各种作战辅助决策方案的计算机模型也具备随着作战环境改变所表现出一定的自适应调整的特征.影响防空作战决策结果正确性的因素众多,表现这些因素的信息有些是冲突的,为得到更为准确、有效的决策方案,各类冲突信息的处理成为防空作战的核心问题.构造了一种在冲突信息环境下基于对策理论的融合模型,以对策理论的相关算法实现了融合中心各类信息的交互决策.实践表明,这一融合模型能有效地解决防空作战决策中各类信息的综合处理问题,具有一定的实用价值.     

系统动力学的C~4ISR系统信息优势价值链模型仿真

实现信息优势是网络中心战的核心,C4ISR系统是打赢网络中心战、夺取信息优势、决策优势和行动优势的客观基础。从C4ISR系统的工作流程出发,分析了C4ISR系统信息优势价值链,围绕战场态势感知信息优势价值链的生成过程,运用系统动力学方法建立了对抗条件下C4ISR系统信息优势价值链的SD模型,并结合作战背景对试验结果进行了仿真分析,验证了该方法研究复杂军事信息系统的可行性。     

基于网络中心战的C2BMC信息分发模型研究

美军导弹防御的C2BMC系统是应用网络中心战思想较为成功的案例之一.旨在通过建立其信息分发模型探索其成功原因,达到加深对网络中心战思想理解的目的.首先介绍了C2BMC系统的发展现状,然后对导弹防御系统信息流的类型、特点进行深入分析,提出了导弹防御作战信息分发系统的概念,并在此基础上建立了概念级、指挥结构级和描述级的C2BMC系统信息分发模型,为获取信息优势、建设信息化装备提供理论支持.     

IF YOU WANT IT DONE RIGHT,DO IT YOURSELF

Some have argued that the transatlantic rancor over the Iraq war made cooperation, especially on nonproliferation, unlikely. In contrast, this article, documents post-invasion instances of nonproliferation cooperation, with particular emphasis on the Proliferation Security Initiative and the EU-3 Initiative—the British, French, and German negotiations with Iran over its suspected nuclear activities. In addition to documenting French and British participation in these initiatives, the article analyzes why they have chosen to participate and argues that France and Britain have participated in both efforts because they are committed to avoiding future Iraq-like preventive wars.     

基于最优Morlet小波的全信息能量熵提取及其在滚动轴承状态监测中的应用

为利用振动信号中隐含的冲击特征成分来反映轴承性能退化趋势,综合利用小波变换技术和全信息技术,提出一种基于最优Morlet小波变换的全信息能量熵提取方法．以最小Shannon熵优化Morlet小波形状参数,通过多源振动数据的小波变换系数,利用信息熵综合反映冲击特征能量在不同频带分布差异．滚动轴承全寿命数据的应用结果表明,全信息能量熵的变化趋势能够监测轴承状态的劣化过程,而伴随的早期故障检测可以提高轴承使用的安全性．     

FOOD AID

Abstract

This paper seeks to critically appraise Africa's position within the United Nations Security Council from the inception of the UN in 1945 until the end of 2010, spanning the entire history of the world body. A few factors make such an appraisal a useful exercise. These include the ongoing debates about the reform of the Council in particular and the UN as a whole, and the growing interest that many African students and observers of and actors in international relations seem to have developed in recent years in the working of the world body. In this appraisal, emphasis will be placed on the origin and rationale behind the establishment of the Security Council as well as the use of the veto power by its permanent members, with a special reference to Africa.     

Insurgency by the numbers I: A reconsideration of the ecology of communist success in jiangxi province,China

Theorizing about Taliban operations in Afghanistan has its limits and it is possible that Kabul-centric strategies do not adequately address the unique circumstances of each region in the country. How exactly has the Taliban gone about attaining its objectives in Kandahar province and how have those approaches evolved since 2002? And how have the Taliban adapted to coalition forces' attempts to compete with the insurgency and stamp it out? The answers to these questions are critical in the formulation of any counterinsurgency approach to Afghanistan.     

演化排列优化拉丁超立方设计方法

拉丁超立方设计是最常用的计算机试验设计方法之一,针对现有拉丁超立方设计方法采样一次性且难以兼顾设计的空间均匀性和计算效率的问题,提出了一种演化排列拉丁超立方试验设计方法。通过对小样本设计的演化、排列信息继承和扩充等操作,以较小的计算量实现了样本的扩充与优化。此外,所提方法可以兼顾现有样本和新增采样点之间的关系,实现样本的序列扩充,这在实际近似建模过程中十分方便。通过多组数值试验,验证了本文方法在空间均匀性和计算效率等方面的优越性。