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Thomas H. Johnson 《Small Wars & Insurgencies》2013,24(1):3-31
This article describes and analyzes a little understood Afghan Taliban propaganda tool: chants or taranas . These melodic refrains effectively use historical narratives, symbology, and iconic portraits. The chants are engendered in emotions of sorrow, pride, desperation, hope, and complaints to mobilize and convince the Afghan population of the Taliban's worldview. The chants represent culturally relevant and simple messages that are communicated in a narrative and poetic form that is familiar to and resonates with the local people. They are virtually impossible for the United States and NATO to counter because of Western sensitivities concerning religious themes that dominate the Taliban narrative space, not to mention the lack of Western linguistic capabilities, including the understanding and mastering the poetic nature of local dialects. 相似文献
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研究卫星侦察信息精度对导弹打击海上移动目标命中概率的影响,对于提高导弹作战效能具有重要意义。根据导弹打击海上移动目标的原理,描述了其作战过程,分析了导弹命中概率影响因素,建立了基于卫星侦察信息精度的导弹命中概率计算模型,并通过蒙特卡洛方法分析了卫星侦察信息精度对导弹命中概率的影响。分析结果表明:在可接受区间内,卫星侦察信息精度对导弹命中概率的影响可以忽略,在可接受区间外,导弹命中概率随着信息精度降低而下降。 相似文献
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针对通信电台的测试诊断问题,通过建立“故障一测试”相关性矩阵,提出了一种GADPSO算法与最大诊断信息量准则结合进行通信电台故障诊断的方法.GADPSO算法收敛速度快、计算精度高,既避免了陷入局部最优和早熟收敛,又提高了优化效率;最大诊断信息量准则能全面评判测试点,快速有效地获得测试顺序.该方法为通信电台故障诊断提供了一种高效诊断策略. 相似文献
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We study a stochastic interdiction model of Morton et al. IIE Transactions, 39 (2007):3–14 that locates radiation sensors at border crossings to detect and prevent the smuggling of nuclear material. In this model, an interdictor places sensors at customs checkpoints to minimize a potential smuggler's maximum probability of crossing a border undetected. We focus on a model variant in which the interdictor has different, and likely more accurate, perceptions of the system's parameters than the smuggler does. We introduce a model that is tighter and uses fewer constraints than that of Morton et al. We also develop a class of valid inequalities along with a corresponding separation procedure that can be used within a cutting‐plane approach to reduce computational effort. Computational results demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach.Copyright © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 91–100, 2014 相似文献
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This article introduces two new maximum entropy (ME) methods for modeling the distribution of time to an event. One method is within the classical ME framework and provides characterizations of change point models such as the piecewise exponential distribution. The second method uses the entropy of the equilibrium distribution (ED) for the objective function and provides new characterizations of the exponential, Weibull, Pareto, and uniform distributions. With the same moment constraints, the classical ME and the maximum ED entropy algorithms generate different models for the interarrival time. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 427–434, 2014 相似文献