国外经典核爆炸放射性沉降模式概述

介绍了国外经典的核爆炸放射性沉降模式,包含了DELFIC、WSEG系列、KDFOC系列、SEER系列、DNAF系列和EM-1。同时列举了各种模式在主要物理过程中的区别,包括了云的初始化、粒子分布、沉降机制,放射性活度和剂量率的转化、放射性衰变和传输过程。最后简述了目前核爆炸放射性沉降模式研究的发展趋势。     

Structured maintenance policies on interior sample paths

We examine the problem of adaptively scheduling perfect observations and preventive replacements for a multi‐state, Markovian deterioration system with silent failures such that total expected discounted cost is minimized. We model this problem as a partially observed Markov decision process and show that the structural properties of the optimal policy hold for certain non‐extreme sample paths. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

System reliability based on diffusion models for fatigue crack growth

Diffusion processes are commonly used to describe the dynamics of complex systems arising in a wide range of application fields. In this paper we propose, on the basis of diffusion processes, two models concerned with the stochastic behavior of fatigue cracks in a system. They are then used to get the distribution of the failure time, the first time the crack size of at least one of the cracks exceeds a given value. Several properties of our proposed models are presented, and the unknown parameters are estimated by the method of maximum likelihood. From these an estimate of failure time distribution is obtained. In this part, contrary to common practice, we do not assume availability of failure data. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2005     

Properties of the geometric and related processes

Some properties of the geometric process are studied along with those of a related process which we propose to call the α‐series process. It is shown that the expected number of counts at an arbitrary time does not exist for the decreasing geometric process. The decreasing version of the α‐series process does have a finite expected number of counts, under certain conditions. This process also has the same advantages of tractability as the geometric process; it exhibits some properties which may make it a useful complement to the increasing geometric process. In addition, it may be fit to observed data as easily as the geometric process. Applications in reliability and stochastic scheduling are considered in order to demonstrate the versatility of the alternative model. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2005     

信息化方式与人类社会形态

通过人类社会的几种基本形态组成形式与信息化方式的关系分析信息化方式对社会的影响问题,认为人类社会形态的具体表现形式与信息化方式的速度密切相关,社会形态单元的空间大小可以通过定量的方法给出;另外,还讨论了光速信息化方式对社会的影响、人工智能与信息化技术的关系、人类社会与机器网络社会的关系等问题。     

战术移动Ad Hoc网络下的分布式位置辅助功率控制算法

针对战术移动自组(AdHoc)网络提出一种分布式位置辅助的功率控制算法(LAPCA),它通过位置预测来推算节点的邻节点数目,进而调整信号发射功率,以保持最佳的网络连通性,由此提高整个网络的有效流量。该算法作为一个独立模块可以方便地与已有的移动自组网络路由协议相结合。采用较为适合战术环境的参考点群组移动(RPGM)模型来产生网络仿真场景,从仿真实验结果来看,几乎在所有的RPGM场景下采用该算法后的网络有效流量相对于纯粹的AODV路由协议都得到了提高。     

基于HLA的弹道导弹突防仿真系统开发研究

随着反导防御系统的发展,弹道导弹突防将受到更大的威胁。HLA以其可重用性、互操作性好的特点,逐渐成为仿真的主流体系结构。介绍了HLA的系统组成和联邦开发的过程,提出了一个基于HLA的弹道导弹突防仿真系统仿真框架,为后续的仿真系统开发奠定了必要的基础。     

法律漏洞及其补充——由手机短信侵权民事责任引发的深层思考

目前,利用手机短信交往成为时尚。它虽然便利、快捷、廉价,但由此造成的侵权事件却越来越多,严重地损害了人们的人身和财产安全。可现行法律对之无明确、具体、直接的规定,以至于难以很好地维护手机用户的利益。本文结合法律漏洞及其补充,从立法的必要性、可行性、立法技术上的可能性论述对手机短信侵权进行民事立法,以保护手机用户合法权益的合理性和科学性。同时也表明采用立法的形式弥补法律漏洞的观点,以求教于学界同仁。     

多元先验信息的融合问题

在多元先验信息条件下,运用Bayes理论讨论问题时,必然会遇到先验信息融合问题.文中提出了几种简化形式,并针对产品失效率的多个先验信息情形,结合实例与熵度量的拟合优度说明了该方法的合理性.     

装备采购中的信息不对称问题及其对策研究

装备采购中存在着严重的信息不对称,减少装备采购中的信息不对称问题是一项重要的工作,在介绍装备采购中非对称信息的基础上,运用博弈论的数学工具建立起装备采购中非对称信息博弈的模型图,并给出了减少非对称信息问题的博弈模型,提高了装备采购的效益.