基于SNA参数的网络舆论系统状态差分分析

近年来,互联网在我国快速发展,网络舆论起着越来越重要的作用,对国家安全和社会稳定产生了重大的冲击和影响。针对网络舆论系统的状态进行研究,借助SNA方法,提出了可作为序参量的一些特征参数。在此基础上,设计了基于时间序列的SNA参数差分算法,实现对网络舆论系统的状态进行观测与分析。同时,对一个真实网络舆论进行实验仿真,验证了这种方法。     

增强网络技术在教学中的辅助作用

网络技术在教育教学当中的应用是深化教育体制改革、扎实推进教育公平的重要措施,也是对适应我国教育教学活动实际的教学模式的研究和重要探索。分析了网络技术辅助教学相比传统教学所具有的优势,并从开发和应用两方面对网络辅助教学进行阐述,同时展望了网络技术的发展前景及其对未来教育的影响。     

计算思维的培养与实践

计算思维着眼于问题求解和机器实现,强调运用计算机解决问题的能力。从培养军校学员计算思维能力出发,对“计算机网络”课程教学进行了探讨和研究,采用内容重组、创新教法与学科融合相结合的方式,将思维训练融入教学实践。统计结果显示,新的教学模式能使学员更高效、更深入地理解和掌握计算机网络的基本概念、原理和体系结构,提升学员的综合素质和创新能力。     

起重机吊重摆角的自适应神经网络补偿控制

为了控制起重机吊重摆动幅度在最短时间内衰减到规定范围或平衡点附近,同时考虑到由于外界不确定性因素导致的系统模型的不确定性,设计了自适应径向基函数Radial Basis Function（RBF）神经网络补偿控制器。RBF神经网络对系统模型的未知函数进行辨识,并将辨识信息提供给控制器。实验结果表明：吊重摆角约在5s时跟踪给定幅度的正弦信号,并在参考信号发生突变时,摆角仍在给定的范围内;RBF神经网络约在5s后几乎以零误差辨识未知函数。所设计的控制器对不确定性因素具有较强的鲁棒性,这也验证了控制系统稳定性证明结论。     

新疆少数民族大学生网络交往现状及教育引导研究

通过调查显示少数民族大学生偏向于通过网络聊天工具与他人进行交往,网络交往在满足少数民族大学生精神需求的同时,也对少数民族大学生的心理健康发展造成了负面影响。文章以少数民族大学生作为主体,对其在网络交往中的表现与存在的主要问题进行了较为详细的阐述,并从学校、家庭和社会三方面提出相应的对策。     

Conflict management in the Central African Republic: making genocide prevention work

This commentary analyses the international response to the crisis that struck the Central African Republic (CAR) in early December 2013. It examines three intertwined dimensions defining the courses of action available to policymakers dealing with pre-genocidal crises: the politics and institutional manoeuvring shaping the United Nations (UN) Security Council's decision to authorise an enforcement mission without deploying ‘blue helmets’ on the ground; the operational complexities involved in launching rapid reaction forces; and the interdependent logics between peacebuilding and atrocity prevention. The author argues that there are three ways for the UN Secretariat to ensure a more effective response to CAR-type situations: generating political will to respond swiftly to deteriorating crises leading to widespread abuses of human rights by advancing the concept of Responsibility to Protect as a core component of states' national interests; developing strategic frameworks for the deployment of multi-plural missions equipped to avert the actual or potential threat of atrocities; and developing joint early warning and scenario planning between peacebuilding and atrocity prevention agencies.     

基于复杂适应系统理论的一体化联合作战研究

复杂适应系统理论为我们研究军事系统提供了崭新的视角,避免了传统的基于还原论方法研究军事系统机械分隔忽略系统要素之间相互作用的问题,可以得到军事系统全面准确的认识,对于深入研究一体化联合作战的本质内涵、基本特征和主要方法,尽快形成一体化联合作战的理论体系具有重要意义。文章通过分析军事系统特点得出军事系统是复杂适应系统的结论,在此基础上,从复杂适应系统理论的角度分析了一体化联合作战的内涵及提高军事系统一体化联合作战能力需要重点解决的四个问题。     

Evaluating the potential effects from probabilistic selling of similar products

In this article, we consider an online retailer who sells two similar products (A and B) over a finite selling period. Any stock left at the end of the period has no value (like clothes going out of fashion at the end of a season). Aside from selling the products at regular prices, he may offer an additional option that sells a probabilistic good, “A or B,” at a discounted price. Whenever a customer buys a probabilistic good, he needs to assign one of the products for the fulfillment. Considering the choice behavior of potential customers, we model the problem using continuous‐time, discrete‐state, finite‐horizon dynamic programming. We study the optimal admission decisions and devise two scenarios, whose value functions can be used as benchmarks to evaluate the demand induction effect and demand dilution effect of probabilistic selling (PS). We further investigate an extension of the base MDP (Markov Decision Process) model in which the fulfillment of probabilistic sales is uncontrollable by the retailer. A special case of the extended model can be used as a benchmark to quantify the potential inventory pooling effect of PS. Finally, numerical experiments are conducted to evaluate the overall profit improvement, and the effects from adopting the PS strategy. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 61: 604–620, 2014     

A nonatomic‐game model for timing clearance sales under competition

We deal with dynamic revenue management (RM) under competition using the nonatomic‐game approach. Here, a continuum of heterogeneous sellers try to sell the same product over a given time horizon. Each seller can lower his price once at the time of his own choosing, and faces Poisson demand arrival with a rate that is the product of a price‐sensitive term and a market‐dependent term. Different types of sellers interact, and their respective prices help shape the overall market in which they operate, thereby influencing the behavior of all sellers. Using the infinite‐seller approximation, which deprives any individual seller of his influence over the entire market, we show the existence of a certain pattern of seller behaviors that collectively produce an environment to which the behavior pattern forms a best response. Such equilibrium behaviors point to the suitability of threshold‐like pricing policies. Our computational study yields insights to RM under competition, such as profound ways in which consumer and competitor types influence seller behaviors and market conditions. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 365–385, 2014     

基于开放环境的P2P网络主动型蠕虫传播模型

P2P网络主动型蠕虫采用主动扫描邻居节点信息的策略,能在短时间内破坏整个P2P网络,成为网络信息系统最为严重的安全威胁。结合主动型蠕虫的传播特点,考虑开放的P2P网络环境对蠕虫传播的影响,弥补现有模型忽略P2P网络动态性的不足,建立了基于开放环境的P2P网络蠕虫传播模型。与双因素模型相比较,该模型能更客观地反映现实网络中蠕虫的传播情况,在此基础上从初始已感染主机数、感染率、免疫率3方面定量分析了蠕虫的传播规律。仿真结果表明,感染率和免疫率是影响蠕虫传播的关键因素。