基于主成分法的侦察雷达系统效能评价*

为评估雷达系统的效能优劣,应用主成分分析法建立雷达系统效能评估模型,引入施密特正交法对原始数据进行预处理,解决了由于指标间的多重相关性导致的结果失真问题,并以某型雷达及其三种改进型的系统效能评估为例,进行了实例仿真,为评估和改进现有侦察雷达的效能提供了参照。     

基于熵权的舰炮武器系统维修保障能力模糊综合评判

针对现有装备维修保障体制的特点,建立起舰炮武器系统维修保障指标体系,综合运用熵权和模糊综合评判法对某型舰炮武器系统维修保障能力进行评估。该方法用熵权确定权重,加重了评价体系本身的重要程度,充分利用了被评判指标的信息量,并且根据模糊评判的需要构造了评分隶属函数,使定性分析和定量分析很好的相互融合。仿真结果表明该方法可行,对科学、客观地评估舰炮武器系统维修保障能力有一定的应用价值。     

基于分布实时多Agent技术的防空兵群指挥决策研究

探讨了防空兵群指挥决策的重要地位,依据现代高技术条件下防空兵群作战指挥的决策支持需求,研究并设计了防空兵群作战指挥决策支持系统的基本结构,重点研究了系统的人-机交互技术,阐述了Agent的元模型,详细论述了基于Agent的分布实时群体联盟体系,并对Agent的通信语言ACL消息结构进行分析且应用于联盟体系的通信传输,为构建防空兵群作战指挥决策支持系统的人机交互子系统提供技术准备。     

基于多Agent的多传感器仿真系统总体分析

多传感器是实现未来信息化战场"网络中心战"概念的一组必要的装备系统.实施该项目先期概念技术演示,必须设计其仿真系统.采用基于多Agent的仿真方法,结合Agent的通用含义及结构,把多传感器仿真系统的内部组元直接映射成相应的Agent.由此,研究了基于多Agent的信息化战场多传感器仿真过程,前瞻了多传感器运用场景,分析了多传感器仿真系统的整体流程和逻辑结构.设计的多传感器仿真系统,以Agent的表现形式获得了对多传感器战场运用这一客观、复杂过程的深刻认识,从而可实现对这种动态作战环境行为的仿真.     

基于虚拟仪器的液压增压器模拟装置

为搭建指控系统维修和模拟训练平台,根据液压增压器的工作原理,建立液压增压器的数学模型,在此基础上采用虚拟仪器技术和单片机技术设计并实现了液压增压器模拟装置。试验结果表明模拟装置与指控系统连接,能够正确地完成液压增压器的实时模拟功能,模拟结果与实物一致。     

未就业随军配偶社会保险问题研究

未就业随军配偶的社会保险存在着险种少、标准低、接续难等问题,使未就业随军配偶的社会保险权益受到损害。分析当前未就业随军配偶社会保险存在的问题,提出随军未就业配偶社会保险问题的解决路径。     

ON THE CHOICE OF MULTI-TASK R&D DEFENSE PROJECTS: A CASE STUDY OF The ISRAELI MISSILE DEFENSE SYSTEM

Investments in R&D constitute a major share of the expenditures of the hi-tech industry since, generally, they enable firms to successfully compete in the rapidly and constantly changing markets for hi-tech products and services. The role of R&D projects is particularly important in the areas of defense and homeland security due to the nature of warfare and the continuous threats posed by arms races and by terror organizations. This study analyzes the choice of the R&D projects designed to counter multiple related military threats. It develops the methodology required to assess whether it is preferable to develop one project to thwart several related threats, or several distinct projects, each of which provides an answer to one specific threat or a partial set of the threats. An analytic solution is provided and assessed for two simple models with two related threats. A solution of the model is then provided for any number of related threats, using a dynamic programming methodology. Finally, we demonstrate the usefulness of our model and methodology to Israel’s missile defense problem; that is, we show how to optimally develop systems aimed at thwarting the multiple threats of short-, medium-, and long-range missiles.     

一类具有时滞的生态一流行病系统的稳定性和Hopf分支

讨论一类食饵染病的时滞捕食一被捕食者模型,通过分析特征方程,得到正平衡点局部稳定和Hopf分支存在的条件．同时,应用中一tl,流形定理和规范型理论研究正平衡点处Hopf分支方向和分支周期解的稳定性．最后,通过数值模拟对理论结果进行了说明．     

Inequality‐based reliability estimates for complex systems

Full‐system testing for large‐scale systems is often infeasible or very costly. Thus, when estimating system reliability, it is desirable to use a method that uses subsystem tests, which are often less expensive and more feasible. This article presents a method for bounding full‐system reliabilities based on subsystem tests and, if available, full‐system tests. The method does not require that subsystems be independent. It accounts for dependencies through the use of certain probability inequalities. The inequalities provide the basis for valid reliability calculations while not requiring independent subsystems or full‐system tests. The inequalities allow for test information on pairwise subsystem failure modes to be incorporated, thereby improving the bound on system reliability. We illustrate some of the properties of the estimates via an example application. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2013     

公安警卫信息化建设刍议

警卫部队信息化建设为警卫部队在新时期更好地完成党和人民赋予的各项警卫任务提供了更加便捷和有效的服务与保障。分析警卫信息化建设的必要性和重要性,探讨警卫信息化建设中需要建立健全的几个应用性系统。