基于搜索论的远程反舰导弹搜捕概率建模方法

针对传统捕捉概率模型难以满足远程反舰导弹机动搜捕概率建模计算的问题,提出利用搜索论进行导弹机动搜捕概率计算的建模方法。该方法根据目标机动规律建立其分布概率密度函数,并依据末制导雷达发现目标概率的"倒四次方律"及弹目相对运动轨迹,构建其探测函数,通过求取两者之积的积分实现搜捕概率计算。计算结果显示:若远程反舰导弹不采取机动搜捕策略,目标指示误差增加1km时搜捕概率降低0.47,目标速度增加10节时搜捕概率降低0.3,末制导雷达搜索半径减小50%时搜捕概率降低0.3;若采取平行搜捕策略,上述因素对其影响大幅下降。可见,该方法综合考虑了目标机动规律、传感器探测规律、导弹搜捕策略,可实现远程反舰导弹机动搜捕概率的解算。     

采用组合优化策略求解导管桨参数优化设计问题

建立了新的导管桨优化设计模型。该模型采用试验设计方法(DOE,design of experiment)在设计空间中均匀采样,捕捉整个设计空间中最有效的设计区域,进而用梯度优化算法在有效设计区域中进行优化设计。经计算实例证明:该算法可以辨识各因子对设计目标的影响系数,从而减少导管桨约束优化问题的计算时间,更有效地解决复杂的非线性优化问题。     

邓小平东西部均衡发展思想与西部大开发战略

邓小平针对我国经济发展不平衡的国情 ,提出了东西部均衡发展构想。这一构想随着改革开放和社会主义现代化建设的进行不断完善。我国目前正在实施的西部大开发战略是对邓小平东西部均衡发展思想的继承与发展 ,邓小平东西部均衡发展思想具有重大的理论和现实意义。     

基于DTRC的形式自动证明平台及其应用

动态项重写计算(DTRC)是项重写系统(TRS)的元计算模型,具有层次化结构和动态重写等特征,可应用于归纳定理的形式自动证明以及项重写系统弱终止性的形式自动证明等方面.文中介绍了一个基于DTRC的形式自动证明平台及其在TRS弱终止性自动证明上的应用.     

基于解析冗余的容错控制--控制率重构研究

研究了基于解析冗余的容错控制--控制率重构方法,分析了控制系统中传感器出现故障时其输出信息重构的问题,并针对核反应堆控制系统进行了仿真试验.由试验结果看出,传感器输出信息重构方法是正确的.     

电子对抗装备软件的测试策略与方法

在阐述了电子对抗装备软件特点的基础上,对研制电子对抗装备软件过程中的测试策略与方法进行了初步的研究,并对在实施测试过程中的几个问题进行了探讨.     

基于半马氏决策过程的电容器维修策略优化

针对电容器随机劣化失效的特点,采用半马氏决策过程解决其预防性维修方案设计和维修策略优化问题.在电容器随机劣化的Gaussian-Poisson模型基础上,以检测周期为优化变量,同时考虑预防性维修次数阈值的影响,建立电容器长期运行费用率优化模型.分析表明,对该型号电容器来说,预防性维修相比于事后修理更加有利于节省部件长期运行的费用率.     

An historical review of US defense strategy from Vietnam to operation Iraqi freedom

Facing nearly half a billion dollars in spending cuts over the next five years, US defense planners and strategists must simultaneously rebuild a war-weary Army weakened from over a decade of war, build new sea and air capabilities for the Pacific theater, and reduce manpower, procurement, and contractor budgets while promoting innovation. The US defense department is embarking on what may be the most sweeping period of defense transformation in recent memory. This article reviews the history of American defense transformation, focusing on an important but largely overlooked period of military innovation that began in the shadow of Vietnam and ended with troops fighting through blinding sandstorms at night on the road to Baghdad. The multifaceted transformation strategy conceived in the 1970s paved the way for a military revolution in the 1990s and enabled unprecedented battlefield adaptation in the 2000s. After reviewing the revolutionary changes that led to American dominance in conventional warfare in the 1990s, the article examines US transformation policies in the 2000s to inform defense strategy and planning efforts in the 2010s.     

The elephant in the room: US ballistic missile defence under Barack Obama

Conventional wisdom seems to hold that under Barack Obama, the US ballistic missile defence programme has been pushed aside to allow for a refreshed domestic and international agenda. Proponents point to Obama's campaign thinking and rhetoric, the ballistic missile defence (BMD) budget cuts, the decision to end the Third Site in Europe, and the reset relations with Russia through the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (New START) as evidence that the programme has undergone a significant period of change, retraction and rationalisation. This article argues instead that BMD has not fallen from prominence and that there is a change in focus rather than retraction of its strategic goal. Consequently, BMD continues to grow in importance as a component of US national security strategy.     

基于AMESim的液压混合动力车辆建模仿真研究

在阐述并联式液压混合动力车辆的结构原理及液压系统参数设计的基础上,利用AMESim创建了整车模型。根据液压混合动力系统的工作特性,以改善车辆燃油的经济性为目标,提出了基于车辆扭矩需求的发动机和液压泵/马达扭矩控制策略。仿真结果表明:该混合动力系统能合理控制扭矩分配,实现不同工作模式的平顺切换,在满足车辆动力性能指标的前提下,有效地提高了燃油的经济性。