带有可信度因子的直觉模糊近似推理方法

针对基于相似度的直觉模糊近似推理问题,提出一种基于加权相似度量的直觉模糊推理方法。首先定义一种新的直觉模糊相似度度量公式,加入权重参数解决各维特征分配不均匀的问题,弥补了现有直觉模糊相似度量的缺陷。然后构建基于直觉模糊产生式规则的直觉模糊近似推理模型,加入可信度因子解决了随机性引起的信息不确定问题,同时给出模型的推理算法和计算步骤。最后通过实例验证了该方法的实用性和有效性,其在意图识别、目标识别等信息融合领域有良好的应用前景。     

Dynamic signatures and their use in comparing the reliability of new and used systems

The signature of a system with independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) component lifetimes is a vector whose ith element is the probability that the ith component failure is fatal to the system. System signatures have been found to be quite useful tools in the study and comparison of engineered systems. In this article, the theory of system signatures is extended to versions of signatures applicable in dynamic reliability settings. It is shown that, when a working used system is inspected at time t and it is noted that precisely k failures have occurred, the vector s [0,1]^n‐k whose jth element is the probability that the (k + j)th component failure is fatal to the system, for j = 1,2,2026;,n ‐ k, is a distribution‐free measure of the design of the residual system. Next, known representation and preservation theorems for system signatures are generalized to dynamic versions. Two additional applications of dynamic signatures are studied in detail. The well‐known “new better than used” (NBU) property of aging systems is extended to a uniform (UNBU) version, which compares systems when new and when used, conditional on the known number of failures. Sufficient conditions are given for a system to have the UNBU property. The application of dynamic signatures to the engineering practice of “burn‐in” is also treated. Specifically, we consider the comparison of new systems with working used systems burned‐in to a given ordered component failure time. In a reliability economics framework, we illustrate how one might compare a new system to one successfully burned‐in to the kth component failure, and we identify circumstances in which burn‐in is inferior (or is superior) to the fielding of a new system. © 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2009     

Optimizing fishbone aisles for dual‐command operations in a warehouse

Unit‐load warehouses store and retrieve unit‐loads, typically pallets. When storage and retrieval operations are not coordinated, travel is from a pickup and deposit (P&D) point to a pallet location and back again. In some facilities, workers interleave storage and retrieval operations to form a dual‐command cycle. Two new aisle designs proposed by Gue and Meller (“Improving the unit‐load warehouse.” In Progress in Material Handling Research: 2006. Material Handling Industry of America, Charlotte, NC, 2006) use diagonal aisles to reduce the travel distance to a single pallet location by approximately 10 and 20[percnt] for the two designs, respectively. We develop analytical expressions for travel between pallet locations for one of these—the fishbone design. We then compare fishbone warehouses that have been optimized for dual‐command to traditional warehouses that have been optimized in the same manner, and show that an optimal fishbone design reduces dual‐command travel by 10–15%. © 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 54: 389–403, 2009     

基于集对分析的航材保障效能评估

航材保障是航空兵部队技术保障的物资基础,其效能直接影响空军武器装备的作战效能.应用集对分析方法在确定随机系统中的某一特性上具有同异反定量刻画的特点,通过建立各系统航材保障效能评估指标的集对,据此对航材保障效能进行评估,最后得出一组合理的评估结果.     

联合作战中空间力量指挥体制方案的仿真评估

联合作战中空间力量指挥体制决定相应指挥体系的效能,有必要通过定理评估对指挥体制方案进行优选和优化,通过仿真评估方案的实体形式--联合作战中空间力量指挥体系的指挥效能来评估对应的指挥体制方案,基于指挥体系活动能力建立了指挥效能指标体系,提出了用于指挥体制方案评估的仿真系统设计方案.     

基于粗糙集的飞机空地作战效能多指标综合评估模型

针对以往效能评估模型中权系数确定的主观性问题,应用粗糙集理论对对地攻击型飞机的各种指标数据进行挖掘,利用信息熵概念求得各指标的属性重要度,并归一化处理为各指标的权系数,克服了传统权系数确定方法的主观性.最后,建立了空地作战效能评估的多指标综合评价模型,通过实例计算验证了该模型的有效性.     

基于支持向量机的威胁判断模型

目标威胁判断是防空作战中一项重要内容,在建立目标威胁模型时,首先要挑选特征参数,分析了影响威胁度的若干因素.这里采用Rough理论中知识约简方法选择目标的特征参数;支持向量机是一类新型机器学习方法,由于其出色的学习能力,该技术已成为当前国际机器学习界的研究热点,利用支持向量机建立了威胁判断模型,给出了实例和解决此问题的支持向量机源程序.通过实例与神经网络法的结果进行了比较,结果表明支持向量机比较精确和简单.     

BP组合预测方法在维修保障费用预测中的应用

通过对时间序列预测方法和回归分析原理的分析,建立了适用于武器装备维修保障费用的BP网络组合预测的时间序列多输出模型,并结合某型装备多年的维修保障费用,进行了预测数据仿真,得出的结果与实际的数据相比误差较小,具有较大的理论价值和实际的军事价值,有利于提高维修保障费用的效益,有利于实现装备的优良效费比。     

小型汽油发电机组智能式电子调速系统方案设计

汽油机调速性能是影响小型汽油发电机组电气性能指标的重要因素。目前,使用机械式转速调整装置的小型汽油机的转速调整率较大,从而严重影响了小型汽油发电机组电气性能。提出了基于PIC单片机智能式数字步进电机调速系统去解决小型汽油发电机组中汽油机转速稳定性问题,给出了调速系统详细硬件和软件设计方案。该方案经实际验证是可行的。     

Repairable consecutive‐k‐out‐of‐n: F system with Markov dependence

In this article, a model for a repairable consecutive‐k‐out‐of‐n: F system with Markov dependence is studied. A binary vector is used to represent the system state. The failure rate of a component in the system depends on the state of the preceding component. The failure risk of a system state is then introduced. On the basis of the failure risk, a priority repair rule is adopted. Then the transition density matrix can be determined, and the analysis of the system reliability can be conducted accordingly. One example each of a linear and a circular system is then studied in detail to explain the model and methodology developed in this paper. © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 47: 18–39, 2000