多核异构冗余模型设计与可靠性分析

为进行电磁仿生研究,提高复杂电磁环境下控制系统运行的可靠性,在一种新型计算机系统结构框架的基础上,提出了多核异构冗余模型,设计了互关总线协议,实现了相应的容错策略,进而进行了异构双机冗余系统的实验,并利用马尔可夫过程模型分析了系统的电磁抗扰能力。实验表明,该模型能够有效地提高系统可靠性,满足相关仿生研究的设计要求。     

基于业务过程的装备保障训练业务知识管理

提出装备保障训练业务知识管理研究的构想。从知识的角度,分析了装备保障训练的知识传授和保障能力生成的本质,阐述了装备保障训练业务知识管理的必要性和内涵;从训练业务过程、知识管理过程、支撑体系3个维度构建了装备保障训练业务知识管理框架,提出基于业务过程的装备保障训练业务知识体系构建方法,分析了装备保障训练业务知识管理的主要活动,为装备保障训练业务知识管理提供了基本的理论和方法指导。     

Monitoring censored lifetime data with a weighted‐likelihood scheme

Lifetime experiments are common in many research areas and industrial applications. Recently, process monitoring for lifetime observations has received increasing attention. However, some existing methods are inadequate as neither their in control (IC) nor out of control (OC) performance is satisfactory. In addition, the challenges associated with designing robust and flexible control schemes have yet to be fully addressed. To overcome these limitations, this article utilizes a newly developed weighted likelihood ratio test, and proposes a novel monitoring strategy that automatically combines the likelihood of past samples with the exponential weighted sum average scheme. The proposed Censored Observation‐based Weighted‐Likelihood (COWL) control chart gives desirable IC and OC performances and is robust under various scenarios. In addition, a self‐starting control chart is introduced to cope with the problem of insufficient reference samples. Our simulation shows a stronger power in detecting changes in the censored lifetime data using our scheme than using other alternatives. A real industrial example based on the breaking strength of carbon fiber also demonstrates the effectiveness of the proposed method. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 63: 631–646, 2017     

一类拟单生过程与GI/PH/1排队

利用结构矩阵分析的方法得到了一类拟单生过程在离散情形时普通遍历、Ⅰ遍历和几何遍历的关系,并利用得到的结论对排队论中的一类问题作了处理,因而具有理论和实际应用的价值。     

层次分析法在对潜多目标威胁度评估中的应用

针对潜艇行动隐蔽的主要特点,引入层次分析法来解决潜艇威胁度评估问题。以水面舰艇对潜作战为背景,对影响潜艇威胁度评估的六种属性进行分析,提出基于层次分析法的多目标潜艇威胁度评估模型。通过建立层次结构模型,构造判断矩阵,获取了六种属性的权重值,并进行实例计算演示了评估的过程。该方法可一定程度地解决对潜作战多目标威胁度评估和排序问题,提高水面舰艇对潜火力分配效率。     

溶解乙炔厂火灾爆炸危险性及预防措施

介绍了国内溶解乙炔的生产工艺流程,对溶解乙炔厂可能引起的火灾、爆炸原因进行了分析,提出防火、防爆措施,为溶解乙炔厂的选址设计及安全管理提供参考。     

Optimal timing of switches between product sales for sports and entertainment tickets

Like airlines and hotels, sports teams and entertainment venues can benefit from revenue management efforts for their ticket sales. Teams and entertainment venues usually offer bundles of tickets early in their selling horizon and put single‐event tickets on sale at a later date; these organizations must determine the best time to offer individual tickets because both types of ticket sales consume the same fixed inventory. We model the optimal a priori timing decision for a seller with a fixed number of identical tickets to switch from selling the tickets as fixed bundles to individual tickets to maximize the revenue realized before the start of the performance season. We assume that bundle and single‐ticket customers each arrive according to independent, nonhomogeneous Markovian death processes with a linear death rate that can vary over time and that the benefit from selling a ticket in a package is higher than from selling the ticket individually. We characterize the circumstances in which it is optimal for the seller to practice mixed bundling and when the seller should only sell bundles or individual tickets, and we establish comparative statics for the optimal timing decision for the special case of constant customer arrival rates. We extend our analytical results to find the optimal time for offering two groups of tickets with high and low demand. Finally, we apply the timing model to a data set obtained from the sports industry. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

空间推进系统工作过程故障仿真

以凝胶推进剂空间推进系统为研究对象,对该系统异常工作的动态性能进行了分析和研究.为了获得空间推进系统故障模式,把空间推进系统工作过程的故障特性方程与其正常数学模型相结合,采用Visual C 编程工具对导管泄漏故障、过滤网阻塞故障、电磁阀故障和喷管烧蚀故障进行了模拟,从而为空间推进系统智能化故障诊断奠定了基础.     

SiO2 溶胶不同掺杂方式对含氟聚丙烯酸酯/SiO2 杂化涂层性能的影响

用酸催化溶胶-凝胶法制得SiO2溶胶,分别采用共混法和原位聚合法制备含氟聚丙烯酸酯/SiO2纳米杂化涂层.利用红外光谱、扫描电镜等表征了杂化涂层的结构、形态及SiO2相的分散性;研究了SiO2含量、分布和界面状况等与杂化涂层的表面性能和力学性能的关联与影响.结果表明,SiO2在两种方法制备的杂化涂层中均以Si-O网络的形式存在,原位聚合法中SiO2相的分散性优于共混法;含氟聚丙烯酸酯涂层中引入SiO2相后,涂层性能明显提高,共混法的疏水性优于原位聚合法;二者的力学性能随SiO2相含量变化的趋势相同,原位聚合法略优于共混法.     

大气层高层功能拦截器侧窗定向方位研究

大气层高层作战的动能拦截器多采用侧窗探测的结构布局,侧窗定向方位对其拦截效果有重要的影响,但定向方位的选择却受诸多因素制约.在一定理想化假设的基础上,研究了末段交战过程中视线转率的变化规律,从理论上分析了由侧窗定向产生的攻角对拦截结果的影响,得到了只考虑气动力影响下的最佳定向方位;然后综合考虑气动力、轨控系统、姿控系统的影响,给出了不同作战高度下侧窗定向方位的选择方法.数字仿真结果表明,此种方法能够满足侧窗探测的要求,且在大多数情况下只需一次定向即可完成拦截.