Effects of lethality in naval combat models

In the context of both discrete time salvo models and continuous time Lanchester models we examine the effect on naval combat of lethality: that is, the relative balance between the offensive and defensive attributes of the units involved. We define three distinct levels of lethality and describe the distinguishing features of combat for each level. We discuss the implications of these characteristics for naval decision‐makers; in particular, we show that the usefulness of the intuitive concept “more is better” varies greatly depending on the lethality level. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004.     

降落伞主充气阶段数值模拟

建立了降落伞主充气模型。前体、伞绳及伞衣离散为一系列弹性连接的质量节点,伞衣内部流场为二维无粘、不可压流。利用模型计算了主充气阶段伞衣形状变化、伞衣投影面积变化及伞绳张力。计算结果与试验结果进行了比较,相当吻合。     

A unified model incorporating yield,burn‐in,and reliability

The correlated improvement in yield and reliability has been observed in the case studies on integrated circuits and electronic assemblies. This paper presents a model that incorporates yield and reliability with the addition of a burn‐in step to explain their correlated improvement. The proposed model includes as special cases several yield and reliability models that have been previously published and thus provides a unifying framework. The model is used to derive a condition for which yield functions can be multiplied to obtain the overall yield. Yield and reliability are compared as a function of operation time, and an analytical condition for burn‐in to be effective is also obtained. Finally, Poisson and negative binomial defects models are further considered to investigate how reliability is based on yield. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004.     

Dynamic inventory and pricing models for competing retailers

We address infinite‐horizon models for oligopolies with competing retailers under demand uncertainty. We characterize the equilibrium behavior which arises under simple wholesale pricing schemes. More specifically, we consider a periodic review, infinite‐horizon model for a two‐echelon system with a single supplier servicing a network of competing retailers. In every period, each retailer faces a random demand volume, the distribution of which depends on his own retail price as well as those charged by possibly all competing retailers. We also derive various comparative statics results regarding the impact several exogenous system parameters (e.g., cost or distributional parameters) have on the equilibrium decisions of the retailers as well as their expected profits. We show that certain monotonicity properties, engrained in folklore as well as in known inventory models for centralized systems, may break down in decentralized chains under retailer competition. Our results can be used to optimize the aggregate profits in the supply chain (i.e., those of the supplier and all retailers) by implementing a specific wholesale pricing scheme. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004.     

电磁发射超高速弹丸气动特性数值分析

采用数值计算方法研究了超高速弹丸的气动流场特性,重点分析了弹丸再入段的气动流场特性.利用风洞试验数据验证了S-A和k-ωSST湍流模型的预测精度,计算结果表明,在法向力预测上,两种湍流模型的预测精度较高,均在2％以内.在轴向力预测上,S-A湍流模型的预测精度较高,误差约为4.6％.当弹丸以大攻角再入时,弹丸横流效应较为...     

要地反巡探测系统漏警率的建模及评估

要地反巡探测系统的设计需根据作战指标确定系统能力,此问题涉及到系统的建模及效能评估。应用随机服务理论,对要地反巡探测系统的搜索过程建立了M/D/C模型。根据M/D/C模型计算公式,以AR320地基监视雷达、地空联合探测的搜索过程为算例,验证了搜索模型的正确性,给出了目标漏警率、搜索波束数量与目标出动强度的关系。此模型扩展性良好,研究结果可对系统的设计和评价有所借鉴。     

基于TOPSIS的战区高层反导威胁评估

在分析战区高层反导威胁评估特点的基础上,建立了以来袭TBM发射点、预测落点、射程等为核心的战区高层反导威胁评估模型指标体系并进行了相应的量化,然后利用基于熵值权重确定的TOPSIS理论对模型进行求解。通过实例证明所提出的战区高层反导威胁评估模型和算法的有效性,对研究美军的战区高层反导武器系统具有一定的借鉴意义。     

油库储油区燃烧爆炸事故树分析

针对油库储油区安全管理点多面广的特点,分析储油区燃烧爆炸事故的相关影响因素和条件,建立完善的事故树模型。通过定性分析理清燃烧爆炸事故与基本事件之间的逻辑关系,定量分析获得各项基本事件的结构重要度排序,找出储油区存在燃烧爆炸隐患的重点部位,制订科学合理的安全信息监控点设置策略,为油库安全管理手段向信息化迈进提供决策依据。     

车辆综合电子系统光纤通道统一网络体系结构研究

在分析新型车辆综合电子系统体系结构特征的基础上,采用光纤通道（Fibre Channel,FC）技术,引入功能区和统一网络的概念,提出一种新型车辆综合电子系统FC统一网络体系结构。在此基础上,设计了一种新型车辆综合电子系统FC统一网络拓扑结构初步方案,该方案能够实现系统性能和成本的有效统一,为新型车辆综合电子系统体系结构设计提供了有益参考。