INTEGRATING NUCLEAR WEAPONS STOCKPILE MANAGEMENT AND NUCLEAR ARMS CONTROL OBJECTIVES TO ENABLE SIGNIFICANT STOCKPILE REDUCTIONS

In his 2009 Prague speech and the 2010 Nuclear Posture Review, President Barack Obama committed the United States to take concrete steps toward nuclear disarmament while maintaining a safe, secure, and effective nuclear deterrent. There is an inherent tension between these two goals that is best addressed through improved integration of nuclear weapons objectives with nuclear arms control objectives. This article reviews historical examples of the interaction between the two sets of objectives, develops a framework for analyzing opportunities for future integration, and suggests specific ideas that could benefit the nuclear weapons enterprise as it undergoes transformation and that could make the future enterprise compatible with a variety of arms control futures.     

Limiting cyberwarfare: applying arms-control models to an emerging technology

ABSTRACT

An arms race in cyberspace is underway. US and Western government efforts to control this process have largely been limited to deterrence and norm development. This article examines an alternative policy option: arms control. To gauge whether arms-control models offer useful lessons for addressing cyber capabilities, this article compiles a new dataset of predominantly twentieth-century arms-control agreements. It also evaluates two case studies of negotiated agreements that regulate dual-use technologies, the 1928 Geneva Protocol prohibiting chemical- and biological-weapon use and the 1944 Chicago Convention on International Civil Aviation. The analysis underscores the limits of norm development for emerging technologies with both civilian and military applications. It finds lessons for developing verifiable, international cooperation mechanisms for cyberwarfare in the regulatory model of international aviation. Conventionally, arms-control agreements take advantage of transparent tests or estimates of arms. To restrict cyberwarfare activities, experts and policy makers must adapt arms-control models to a difficult-to-measure technology at an advanced stage of development and use. Further investigation of international regulatory schemes for dual-use technology of similar diffusion and development to the internet, such as international civil aviation, is needed.     

THE EXERCISE OF NATIONAL SOVEREIGNTY

Skeptics of the Bush administration have castigated its strong aversion to formal international agreements in responding to the threat of the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction (WMD), citing unilateral actions as the default alternative. Yet this critique misses the growing emergence of a conscious framework guiding the administration's actions: an emphasis on the exercise of national sovereignty and the corollary principle of sovereign responsibility. Rejecting the paradigm of arms control as the answer to WMD proliferation, the current administration instead advocates a toolkit of alternative mechanisms based on the full exercise by individual nation, states of their domestic authorities and rights under international law, acting in their capacities as responsible citizens of the global community. This paper will examine that philosophical approach and its concrete application through the following policies: (1) the Proliferation Security Initiative; (2) enforcement of national laws and regulations as exemplified by United Nations Security Council Resolution 1540 and the U.S. proposals for consideration by Biological Weapons Convention signatories; and (3) preemptive warfare to disarm the WMD programs of a threatening state.     

中段反导指挥控制能力生成机理及构成分析

提出了中段反导指挥控制能力生成的要素基础建设机理、要素集成聚优机理和要素联动涌效机理,构建了中段反导指挥控制能力总体构成框架,并对作战能力具体构成进行了分析,可为反导指挥控制系统建设及作战效能评估提供借鉴。     

炮闩闩体击针孔强度仿真计算与结构改进

从击针和闩体的装配结构关系入手,在闩体击针室受力分析的基础上,进行了闩体有限元分析,得到了击针室两个不同部位受力时闩体击针孔处的应力和应变情况,从而提出解决闩体镜面击针孔产生凸出或裂纹问题的可行方案。     

岗位评价技术在公安边防部队干部量化考评中的应用初探

岗位评价是人力资源管理中的重点技术之一,是解决组织内岗位间相对公平性的重要工具。采用工作要素评分法,对边防检查站中层领导岗位进行了岗位评价实例操作,确定了岗位能级系数,推导出绩效考评综合评价计算公式,为岗位评价技术在边防部队干部量化考评中的应用提供了参考依据。     

UCAV编队对地攻击智能决策系统总体结构

UCAV编队对地攻击是未来战争制信息权和制空权的关键所在,结合无人作战飞机(UCAV)与有人驾驶飞机各自的特点和优势,提出了UCAV编队对地攻击系统的基本组成和对地攻击流程.根据UCAV编队对地攻击的战术决策类型和决策方式,构造了UCAV编队对地攻击智能决策系统的总体结构并且提出了决策系统应该解决的关键技术,详细分析了所建立的UCAV编队对地攻击决策系统的决策方式和决策流程,并且对该系统所涉及的关键技术进行了详细的研究.     

基于免疫粒子群算法的自抗扰飞行控制器设计

提出了一种基于免疫粒子群优化算法的自抗扰大包线飞行控制器设计方法.针对传统的增益调参设计方法存在的工作量巨大与设计效率低的问题,利用自抗扰控制器进行大包线飞行控制器设计,并推导了适用于该方法的飞机非线性方程.由于自抗扰控制能够动态补偿对象模型的内扰和外扰,因此在很大的飞行区域内仅需一套控制器便可,从而避免了烦琐复杂的增益调参设计过程,并用免疫粒子群优化算法对自抗扰控制器参数进行了优化研究.仿真结果表明,所设计的自抗扰控制器具有优良的控制性能,并且控制器参数在较大的包线范围内不需要改变,从而简化了大包线飞行控制器设计.     

具有终端角度约束的H_∞制导律设计

针对导弹对地面运动目标精确攻击时姿态约束的H_∞末制导问题,提出了一种新的具有终端角度约束的制导律.基于二维弹目相对运动学的非线性关系,并将目标机动运动和系统结构摄动作为外部的扰动,建立了垂直平面内弹目相对运动的数学模型.以命中点终端姿态角跟踪误差和控制能量最小为性能指标,同时基于零化弹目视线角速率的思想, 设计得到了非线性H_∞鲁棒制导律.该方法利用Lyapunov稳定理论严格证明了制导系统的全局渐近稳定性,而非求解HJI偏微分方程,同时也避免了对剩余时间的估计.数字仿真表明这种制导律在不需要任何目标运动信息的情况下,仍然保证终端角度和制导精度的要求,具有很强的鲁棒性和适应性.