再入目标质阻比估计算法研究

再入段目标识别的核心问题是快速高精度地估计出目标的质阻比。针对再入过程的非线性问题,重点研究了样条卡尔曼滤波器、扩展卡尔曼滤波器和一种基于"无损传输"的扩展卡尔曼滤波器,仿真实验从质阻比的估计精度和收敛速度以及计算量等方面比较了各滤波算法的性能。仿真结果表明基于无损传输的扩展卡尔曼滤波器的估计精度最高,收敛速度最快。     

变窗长秩排序统计滤波器与噪声图象滤波

基于信号分解理论,在非线性秩排序统计滤波器基础上,提出一种新型的非线性滤波器结构——二值秩排序统计滤波器。主要工作包括:(1)提出了滤波器的定义和实现结构;(2)实现算法;(3)滤波特性分析;(4)噪声图象滤波的计算机仿真。理论分析和实验结果表明,本文提出的滤波器具有良好的脉冲干扰抑制能力和边缘保持特性,硬件实现简单。     

A stochastic programming approach for chemotherapy appointment scheduling

Chemotherapy appointment scheduling is a challenging problem due to the uncertainty in premedication and infusion durations. In this paper, we formulate a two‐stage stochastic mixed integer programming model for the chemotherapy appointment scheduling problem under limited availability of nurses and infusion chairs. The objective is to minimize the expected weighted sum of nurse overtime, chair idle time, and patient waiting time. The computational burden to solve real‐life instances of this problem to optimality is significantly high, even in the deterministic case. To overcome this burden, we incorporate valid bounds and symmetry breaking constraints. Progressive hedging algorithm is implemented in order to solve the improved formulation heuristically. We enhance the algorithm through a penalty update method, cycle detection and variable fixing mechanisms, and a linear approximation of the objective function. Using numerical experiments based on real data from a major oncology hospital, we compare our solution approach with several scheduling heuristics from the relevant literature, generate managerial insights related to the impact of the number of nurses and chairs on appointment schedules, and estimate the value of stochastic solution to assess the significance of considering uncertainty.     

Counterinsurgency force ratio: strategic utility or nominal necessity

As a consequence of intervention in Iraq and Afghanistan, force ratio for counterinsurgency (COIN) has come under increased scrutiny. Reduced to its essence, the issue is simply, ‘How many troops does it take to get the job done?’ This answer has been sought by the US military, academia, and think tanks. There have been numerous responses, culminating in several ‘plug-and-play’ equations for minimum force ratios in COIN operations. Due to the impossibility of determining precisely how many insurgent forces there are, it has become common to base force ratios on the population of the country. In the realm of policy, the question above is posed as, ‘How many of our troops does it take to get the job done?’     

高空平台通信系统中多波束天线辐射特性对系统性能的影响

高空平台通信系统中将采用多波束天线提供蜂窝覆盖,来提高系统容量。本文分析等波束宽度和等波束面积两种类型多波束天线辐射特性以及它们的几何模型,推导了载干比计算公式,通过仿真分析不同参数配置条件下多波束天线辐射特性对系统载干比性能的影响。研究表明等波束面积多波束天线比等波束宽度多波束天线具有更好的载干比分布特性。本文得出的结论对HAP通信系统规划具有重要的指导意义。     

伞盘结构对大长径比发动机药柱结构完整性的影响

为了提高大长径比发动机药柱结构完整性水平,基于三维黏弹性有限元法,计算某大长径比固体发动机在温度和内压荷载联合作用下的结构响应;研究伞盘结构及其位置对药柱最大Von Mises应变的影响规律;讨论当伞盘位于药柱中部时,伞盘最大Von Mises应变随伞盘宽度、深度以及顶部圆弧半径比的变化规律。结果表明,伞盘位于药柱中部时可以有效地降低大长径比药柱的最大Von Mises应变,增加伞盘宽度、深度或选取合适的半径比均可降低伞盘结构的最大Von Mises应变。所得结论可为固体发动机设计提供参考。     

On‐line parameter estimation for a partially observable system subject to random failure

In this paper, we study the on‐line parameter estimation problem for a partially observable system subject to deterioration and random failure. The state of the system evolves according to a continuous time homogeneous Markov process with a finite state space. The system state is not observable, except for the failure state. The information related to the system state is available at discrete times through inspections. A recursive maximum likelihood (RML) algorithm is proposed for the on‐line parameter estimation of the model. The RML algorithm proposed in the paper is considerably faster and easier to apply than other RML algorithms in the literature, because it does not require projection into the constraint domain and calculation of the gradient on the surface of the constraint manifolds. The algorithm is illustrated by an example using real vibration data. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006     

To wait or not to wait: Optimal ordering under lead time uncertainty and forecast updating

There has been a dramatic increase over the past decade in the number of firms that source finished product from overseas. Although this has reduced procurement costs, it has increased supply risk; procurement lead times are longer and are often unreliable. In deciding when and how much to order, firms must consider the lead time risk and the demand risk, i.e., the accuracy of their demand forecast. To improve the accuracy of its demand forecast, a firm may update its forecast as the selling season approaches. In this article we consider both forecast updating and lead time uncertainty. We characterize the firm's optimal procurement policy, and we prove that, with multiplicative forecast revisions, the firm's optimal procurement time is independent of the demand forecast evolution but that the optimal procurement quantity is not. This leads to a number of important managerial insights into the firm's planning process. We show that the firm becomes less sensitive to lead time variability as the forecast updating process becomes more efficient. Interestingly, a forecast‐updating firm might procure earlier than a firm with no forecast updating. © 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2009     

一种高阶累积量的模态参数辨识方法改进及其应用

高阶累积量的模态参数辨识方法能够消除高斯噪声的影响。但基于传统的高阶累积量降阶方法的子空间模态参数辨识方法具有一定的缺陷。为此,提出2种降阶方法用于高阶累积量的子空间模态参数辨识方法,并对这2种方法进行了比较。利用主切片方法对某变截面轴进行了模态参数识别,获得了与有限元法相一致的计算结果,从而证明了该方法的可靠性。该方法的辨识质量较高,能够用于一般结构的模态参数辨识。     

基于Q-MMSPF的海杂波多重分形互相关分析和目标检测

提出一种研究长程互相关和多重分形的新方法——Q阶混合矩结构分割函数法(Q-MMSPF),并利用Q-MMSPF分析了海杂波时间序列的多重分形互相关特征。通过对实测海杂波数据的计算分析发现,海杂波互相关多重分形特征较弱,目标信号之间的互相关多重分形特征明显,而目标信号与海杂波之间的互相关多重分形程度介于二者之间。据此,本文采用一种新的特征值进行海杂波背景下的目标检测。通过对不同条件下的实测海杂波数据验证,表明使用本文提出的特征值测量方法可以十分有效地检测出海杂波背景下的小弱目标。