A guarantee rate optimization model for wastewater treatment system design under uncertainty

We consider a design problem for wastewater treatment systems that considers uncertainty in pollutant concentration levels at water sources. The goal is to optimize the selection of treatment technologies and pipeline connections, so that treated wastewater can achieve specified effluents discharge limits as well as possible. We propose a new two-stage model to optimize a set of guarantee levels, that is, the maximum concentration level of source pollutants for which treated wastewater can be compliant with discharge limits. In the first stage, treatment technologies and pipeline connections are selected. In the second stage, when pollutant concentration levels are revealed, wastewater distribution and mixing are determined. A key attractiveness of the proposed guarantee rate optimization model is that it can be simplified into a single-stage mixed-integer linear program. In our numerical experiments based on real-world pollutants data, the guarantee rate model demonstrates its advantages in terms of computational efficiency, scalability and solution quality, compared with the standard probability maximization model. Finally, the methodology proposed in this paper can also be applied to other two-stage problems under uncertainty with similar uncertainty characteristics.     

线性唯象传热规律下热机内可逆热经济学研究

对符合线性唯象传热规律(q∝Δ(T-1))的热机内可逆热经济学做了进一步研究,导出了在给定条件下Novikov热机的最优利润解析式,并得到了最优利润和相应的效率同其它参数间的关系.     

瓦楞纸板同步剪切控制系统的设计与研制

介绍了微机控制瓦楞纸板同步剪切控制系统的设计研制。该系统由直流电机调速系统和单片微型计算机控制系统两大部分组成。直流调速系统采用线性二次型最优调节器方法设计,计算机控制系统采用单片微机双ＣＰＵ技术。它是一个大功率高精度机电控制系统,具有响应速度快,剪切精度高,可靠性好,操作方便的特点。     

线性调频脉冲压缩雷达的匹配干扰研究

由于脉冲压缩雷达对目标回波具有很高的压缩比(增益),而对不匹配的干扰信号则压缩比很小.为了提高干扰的有效功率,提出一种与脉压雷达目标信号相仿的线性调频信号作为干扰信号(即匹配干扰),经过理论分析得到了匹配干扰信号在不同的对准频偏情况下,进入雷达的有效干扰功率.通过仿真,结果证实这种匹配干扰可很大程度地提高进入雷达的有效干扰功率,但有效干扰功率会随对准频偏的加大而减小.     

基于RSSI线性回归分析的无线传感器网络定位方法

在无线传感器网络（WSN）定位应用中,针对接收信号强度指示（RSSI）容易受到环境的影响不能实现准确测距的问题,提出了一种基于RSSI线性回归分析的定位方法。该方法通过信号衰减模型和线性回归理论相结合,修正实际环境下每个锚节点的测距模型,同时利用相关系数和剩余标准差对测距模型进行评估,制定出更加合理的定位策略。实验表明,采用修正的测距模型和新的定位策略,使得节点定位精度明显提高。     

预制缺陷柱壳结构的等效裂纹分析方法

针对传统有限元法在分析预制缺陷柱壳时出现的应力/应变计算精度不足、无法有效指导工程实践的问题,提出了一种具有高冗余度的等效裂纹分析方法。将预制缺陷视作典型裂纹,基于奇异裂纹元法对其进行裂纹稳定性分析,并根据稳定性分析结果来评估预制缺陷柱壳的结构完整性。通过该方法得到的分析结果具有比常规有限元分析更高的可靠性,对于导弹线式爆炸分离装置等工作环境恶劣、风险系数较高的预制缺陷柱壳结构而言,该方法有助于提升其设计的安全裕度,具有一定的工程实用性。     

军用飞机燃油消耗多元线性回归模型

为了解决军用飞机非标准动作燃油消耗建模问题,利用实际飞参数据,采用多元线性回归方法进行建模分析。建立了燃油消耗量与飞行时间、油箱平均油量、平均高度、平均速度、T1温度、T4温度、N2转速、高度变化量、飞机外挂的多元线性回归模型,并对回归模型进行统计性检验和验证。结论显示:模型拟合度较好,符合军用飞机飞行耗油规律,对军用飞机非标准动作燃油消耗规律研究具有重要意义。     

Sequential learning versus no learning in Bayesian regression models

We consider two regression models: linear and logistic. The dependent variable is observed periodically and in each period a Bayesian formulation is used to generate updated forecasts of the dependent variable as new data is observed. One would expect that including new data in the Bayesian updates results in improved forecasts over not including the new data. Our findings indicate that this is not always true. We show there exists a subset of the independent variable space that we call the “region of no learning.” If the independent variable values for a given period in the future are in this region, then the forecast does not change with any new data. Moreover, if the independent variable values are in a neighborhood of the region of no learning, then there may be little benefit to wait for the new data and update the forecast. We propose a statistical approach to characterize this neighborhood which we call the “region of little learning.” Our results provide insights into the trade‐offs that exist in situations when the decision maker has an incentive to make an early decision based on an early forecast versus waiting to make a later decision based on an updated forecast. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 532–548, 2014     

习主席武警部队建设目标提出的时代背景和重大意义

为使武警部队“牢记强军目标、献身强军实践,永远做党和人民的忠诚卫士”主题教育活动收到实效,就要学习贯彻好武警部队建设目标。论述了武警部队建设目标提出的时代背景,以及提出武警部队建设目标所具有的四个方面的重大意义。     

基于渐进性的线性方程组教学设计的研究

针对线性方程组传统教学中的一些问题,给出了引入线性方程组、解线性方程组、分析解结构的渐进性三步教学设计,同时给出了maple求解线性方程组的两种方法,将理论与实践初步结合了起来,丰富了教学手段,激发了学生的学习兴趣。