几个小样本检验统计量的研究

证明了n个相互独立的且服从(0,1)均匀分布的随机变量的乘积X服从定义的P(n)分布,并证明了Y=-lnX服从Gamma(n,1)分布。利用此结论提出了对非正态总体的小样本参数检验的理论和方法,讨论了指数分布、威布尔分布和艾分布的小样本检验问题。     

一种寿命分布类——剩余寿命按凸序递减类

在前人研究的寿命分布类的基础上 ,给出一种新的寿命分布类的定义 ,并研究了其有关的性质 (主要是封闭性质 )。     

装甲装备修理对象修理工作量的分布模型及应用

通过论述当今典型军队战时修理机构任务的划分,给出了装甲装备修理对象按照修理工作量和按照修理时间分布的2种模型,结合俄陆军各级修理机构修理时限的划分,计算得到了典型装甲装备的技术故障和战损产生的修理对象在各级修理机构的概率分布,为开展战损研究提供了一条新途径,对提高技术保障方案的准确性有积极作用。     

中程空空导弹冲淡式干扰模型

中程空空导弹的末制导主动雷达一方面提高了中程空空导弹作战效能和载机的生成概率,另一方面也为对中程空空导弹实施冲淡式干扰提供了机会。基于冲淡式干扰的基本原理建立了中程空空导弹的冲淡式电子干扰模型,分析了各种不同攻防对策下的冲淡式干扰的效果及其变化趋势,在此基础上讨论了对抗双方在冲淡式电子对抗中的最优对策。     

Directional change‐point detection for process control with multivariate categorical data

Most modern processes involve multiple quality characteristics that are all measured on attribute levels, and their overall quality is determined by these characteristics simultaneously. The characteristic factors usually correlate with each other, making multivariate categorical control techniques a must. We study Phase I analysis of multivariate categorical processes (MCPs) to identify the presence of change‐points in the reference dataset. A directional change‐point detection method based on log‐linear models is proposed. The method exploits directional shift information and integrates MCPs into the unified framework of multivariate binomial and multivariate multinomial distributions. A diagnostic scheme for identifying the change‐point location and the shift direction is also suggested. Numerical simulations are conducted to demonstrate the detection effectiveness and the diagnostic accuracy.© 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2013     

The value of losing control: Competition in markets for complements

When selling complementary products, manufacturers can often benefit from considering the resulting cross‐market interdependencies. Although using independent retailers makes it difficult to internalize these positive externalities, the ensuing double marginalization can mitigate within‐market competition. We use standard game theoretic analysis to determine optimal distribution channel strategies (through independent retailers or integrated) for competing manufacturers who participate in markets for complements. Our results suggest that a firm's optimal channel choice is highly dependent on its competitive positioning. A firm with a competitive advantage in terms of product characteristics (customer preferences) or production capabilities (cost) might benefit from selling through company‐controlled stores, allowing coordinated pricing across the two markets, whereas a less competitive firm might be better off using independent channel intermediaries to mitigate price competition. We consider two scenarios depending on whether the two firms make their distribution channel decisions sequentially or simultaneously. Although firms are unlikely to make such decisions at exactly the same instant, the simultaneous model also serves as a proxy for the scenario where firms decide sequentially, but where they cannot observe each other's strategic channel choices. For the sequential case, we find that the sequence of entry can have tremendous impact on the two firms'profits; whereas in some cases, the first mover can achieve substantially higher profits, we find that when the two markets are of sufficiently different size and only loosely related, a firm with a competitive advantage might be better off as a follower. Interestingly, our results suggest that, when the markets are of rather similar size, both firms are better off if they enter the industry sequentially. In those cases, the first entrant has incentive to reveal its planned channel strategies, and the follower has incentive to seek out and consider this information. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010     

计算潜艇空调热负荷的传递函数法

通过对圆筒壁的导热微分方程进行拉氏变换 ,提出以传递函数为基础的空调动态负荷计算方法 ,推导出圆筒壁热力系统的动态数学模型 .根据此模型得出的潜艇空调热负荷动态计算结果比采用静态负荷计算法更准确 .     

坦克柴油机比油耗实车测试的研究

针对实车检测坦克柴油机比油耗的原理和方法作了探讨,对12150L柴油机进行了实车比油耗测试,认为用无负荷方法实车测定柴油机有效功率,同时用涡轮流量计测量燃油消耗量是实车测量发动机比油耗可行的方法。     

环肋轴对称组合壳塑性极限分析的弹性模量调整有限元方法

基于轴对称截锥壳单元,以单元横截面峰值应力为等效应力,建立了弹性模量调整有限元方法,应用Fortran语言编制了有限元软件用于计算环肋轴对称组合壳的塑性极限载荷.该方法根据组合壳的应力分布情况调整轴对称壳单元和肋骨单元的弹性模量,并进行一系列的弹性迭代计算,计算收敛后即可以得到环肋轴对称组合壳的塑性极限载荷.通过对算例的计算证明:该方法具有良好的收敛性和较高的效率,计算结果与试验结果吻合较好.     

火箭子母弹抛撒过程测试

子弹撒布特性是火箭子母弹的一项重要技术指标,描述了火箭子母弹地面抛撒过程的测试方案和扩散过程的计算方法,给出了某火箭子母弹的测试结果。