基于正交最小二乘估计的非线性时间序列的预测

在对非线性时间序列的短期预测中经常采用局部线性化的预测算法 ,原有的算法使用普通最小二乘法 (LS)估计近似线性模型的参数。对于存在噪声的数据 ,该算法的数值稳定性较差。本文在对非线性空间进行局部线性化的基础上 ,采用正交最小二乘方法 (OLS)对线性模型同时进行结构选择与参数辨识 ,改善了数值的病态特性 ,增强了算法的稳定性     

基于局域网的分布式战斗机空战仿真系统

简要介绍了一种实时分布交互式战斗机空战仿真系统的开发。整个系统按照分层模块思想设计,对空战中战斗机关键子系统和关键行为进行了精确的数学建模,减少了建模的复杂度、保持了平台的开放性和可维护性,据此实现了局域网环境下的分布交互式空战仿真研究。初步的仿真结果表明系统具有实时、精确、高逼真度、高效费比的特点,可作为飞机设计和空战研究的重要辅助手段。     

内隐学习的特征及对其本土教育的启示

内隐学习就是无意识获得刺激环境中复杂知识的过程。在无意识研究热潮中,内隐学习研究获得了很大的发展。内隐学习的研究对于理解人类认识过程的本质,特别是对于探明人们获得丰富复杂知识的心理机制提供了全新的视野。本文着重探讨内隐学习的特征以及对本土教育的启示。     

Online process mean estimation using L1 norm exponential smoothing

A basic assumption in process mean estimation is that all process data are clean. However, many sensor system measurements are often corrupted with outliers. Outliers are observations that do not follow the statistical distribution of the bulk of the data and consequently may lead to erroneous results with respect to statistical analysis and process control. Robust estimators of the current process mean are crucial to outlier detection, data cleaning, process monitoring, and other process features. This article proposes an outlier‐resistant mean estimator based on the L₁ norm exponential smoothing (L₁‐ES) method. The L₁‐ES statistic is essentially model‐free and demonstrably superior to existing estimators. It has the following advantages: (1) it captures process dynamics (e.g., autocorrelation), (2) it is resistant to outliers, and (3) it is easy to implement. © 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 2009     

MABAC method for multiple attribute group decision making under q-rung orthopair fuzzy environment

As the generalization of intuitionistic fuzzy set (IFS) and Pythagorean fuzzy set (PFS), the q-rung orthopair fuzzy set (q-ROFS) has emerged as a more meaningful and effective tool to solve multiple attribute group decision making (MAGDM) problems in management and scientific domains. The MABAC (multi-attributive border approximation area comparison) model, which handles the complex and uncertain decision making issues by computing the distance between each alternative and the bored approximation area (BAA), has been investigated by an increasing number of researchers more recent years. In our article, consider the conventional MABAC model and some fundamental theories of q-rung orthopair fuzzy set (q-ROFS), we shall introduce the q-rung orthopair fuzzy MABAC model to solve MADM problems. at first, we briefly review some basic theories related to q-ROFS and conventional MABAC model. Furthermore, the q-rung orthopair fuzzy MABAC model is built and the decision making steps are described. In the end, An actual MADM application has been given to testify this new model and some comparisons between this novel MABAC model and two q-ROFNs aggregation operators are provided to further demonstrate the merits of the q-rung orthopair fuzzy MABAC model.     

变分自编码器结合聚类算法在空战态势评估问题上的应用

针对传统态势评估方法确定权值的主观性强、处理大数据能力弱、特征提取能力不足等问题,提出基于改进变分自编码器和聚类算法的无监督空战态势评估方法。根据态势变化连续性特点,提出基于时间段的空战态势分类方法,将敌我双方态势划分为四类。在变分自编码器的基础上,提出了VAE-WRBM-MDN特征提取模型,即使用混合密度网络优化变分自编码器的特征提取能力和生成数据的相似度,使用权值不确定限制玻尔兹曼机优化网络的初始权值。将提取的特征分别输入到两种典型的聚类算法中进行聚类,并结合态势函数和实际战场情况修正聚类结果,形成正确的态势分类标准。在实验部分,分别进行了最优参数调整、关键特征提取、聚类以及修正实验。实验结果表明,模型态势分类正确率和运行时间均满足应用需求,实例评估结果与客观态势一致性强,所提方法具有实际应用价值。     

基于复合等效可信度加权的Bayes融合评估方法

在小子样试验评估时,为避免大量先验信息湮没实际飞行试验的信息,融合先验补充样本时通常会进行数学相容性检验并加权.首先分析了小子样情形下直接根据数据计算数学相容性可能造成的不稳定性,为改善这种情况,根据不同试验类型的不同试验环境,对不同试验类型下的误差进行分析和折合,定义了物理等效可信度;并结合物理等效可信度和数学相容性检验,得到先验样本的复合等效可信度权重,基于正态逆伽玛分布计算了Bayes融合评估的后验结果;通过比较Bayes估计后验方差与不磁合先验信息的估计后验方差,根据先验信息参与融合后是否能减小后验方差来判断先验样本是否应该参与融合.理论分析和仿真说明,基于复合等效可信度的加权方法是合理的.     

Sharing the load: factors in supporting local armed groups in insurgencies

Most counterinsurgency campaigns have featured the use of some form of local defense forces. Such forces have had a somewhat mixed record, both in their usefulness in actually countering insurgents and in their longer-term impact on internal security. This article focuses on historical cases that provide lessons for the best operational and strategic uses of local defense forces and measures to control their activities.     

一项基于地方高校英语专业学生地方文化认知与输出能力的调查研究--以宁夏师范学院为例

服务地方经济社会发展是地方性本科院校的主要功能之一。本研究以宁夏师范学院英语专业学生为研究对象,探究该校英语专业学生服务地方经济社会发展能力,调查研究从学生地方文化认知和文化输出能力两个方面开展。研究结果显示该校英语专业学生宁南地方文化缺失现象严重,宁南地方文化的翻译沟通能力匮乏,文化输出能力偏低。研究发现学生服务地方经济社会发展能力偏低,并从人才培养方案的设置等方面提出了一些建议,以期能为该校英语专业学生服务地方经济社会发展能力的培养起到一定的积极作用。     

五阶HWCNS在低速复杂流场中的应用

采用五阶精度显式混合加权紧致非线性格式求解雷诺平均NS方程;利用多块对接结构网格技术,对30P-30N多段翼型进行网格收敛性研究。在不考虑转捩的情况下,采用SA一方程湍流模型研究混合加权紧致非线性格式与二阶精度MUSCL格式对该翼型压力分布和典型站位速度型的影响,并与实验结果进行对比分析。采用混合加权紧致非线性格式和SA一方程湍流模型模拟梯形翼高升力构型低速复杂流场,通过对总体气动特性和压力分布的分析,探讨五阶精度显式混合加权紧致非线性格式在低速复杂外形流动中的应用能力。结果表明,对30P-30N三段翼型,采用全湍流模拟方法可以得到较好的压力分布;对梯形翼高升力构型,在附着流和边界层小分离情况下混合加权紧致非线性格式有较好的模拟能力。