Satellite constellation design for forest fire monitoring via a stochastic programing approach

There is significant value in the data collected by satellites during and after a natural disaster. The current operating paradigm in practice is for satellites to passively collect data when they happen to fly over a disaster location. Conversely, this article considers the alternative approach of actively maneuvering satellites to fly directly overhead of the disaster site on a routine basis. Toward this end, we seek to compute a satellite constellation design that minimizes the expected maneuver costs for monitoring an unknown forest fire. In this article, we present a 2‐stage stochastic programing model for this problem as well as a accelerated L‐shaped decomposition approach. A comparison between our approach and the current operating paradigm indicates that our solution provides longer duration data collections and a greater number of data collections. Analysis also shows that our proposed solution is robust over a wide array of scenarios.     

基于仿真的装备维修保障力量配置优化

装备维修保障力量的优化配置对于充分发挥维修保障效益、提高装备完好率具有重要意义。在分析界定装备维修保障力量配置问题的基础上,采用通用仿真语言建立了支持分析决策的仿真模型。实例分析表明维修力量最优配置是各区域的故障装备产生速率、后送运输时间等方面因素综合作用的结果,仿真程序可反映各项因素的定量关系。     

海上机动目标群威胁预警建模及仿真实现

在陆基弹道导弹与海上机动目标的攻防作战过程中,需要研究双方火力控制范围的变化情况,并对海上机动目标群的威胁进行报警.根据海上机动目标运动特性,提出用灰色模型与自回归时序AR组合建模方法构建机动目标运动预测模型.依据此模型对双方火力控制区的变化进行预测,最后给出了海上机动目标威胁预警仿真系统的实现思路.解决了陆基弹道导弹对抗海上机动目标群的作战保障工程的部分问题,具有较强军事应用价值.     

Why do they serve? Changes and differences in motives of Danish soldiers deployed to peace-keeping and peace-enforcing missions

This paper investigates what motivates young people to volunteer for peace-keeping or peace-enforcing missions and how their motives change between pre- and post-deployment. Data include information about social and military background, and motives for more than 600 soldiers, 444 of whom answered the survey both before and after deployment. Soldiers are deployed to different missions under the same circumstances. To conceptualize motives among soldiers, we use factor analysis and find three factors: challenge, self-benefit, and fidelity. Challenge represents an occupational orientation; fidelity, an institutional orientation; and self-benefit, a desire for adventure. Exploiting the within-subject design of our data, we find that pre- and post-deployment motives vary significantly according to the type of mission and soldiers’ previous experiences (first-timers or experienced soldiers). Our results suggest that after the mission, peace-keepers are generally more disappointed than peace-enforcers. Our results also show that self-benefit motives are important for younger soldiers with only a high school education, and that this group usually serves as peace-enforcers during their gap year.     

破损潜艇应急起浮操纵控制研究

在建立高压气应急吹除模型的基础上,通过计算机模拟仿真对高压气吹除过程中计算型潜艇应急上浮的主要参数进行计算和分析,给出了艏部破损和舯部破损时操纵安全界限图中的进水限制线,提高了潜艇应急上浮操纵的安全性.     

火箭子母弹对行进中炮兵连射击的毁伤概率

炮兵实施机动是提高其生存能力与作战能力的重要手段之一,而从集结地域至待机阵地机动阶段由于距离对方近、暴露时间长,是对方毁伤火力种类最为丰富和威胁最大的阶段.以行进中的自行与牵引炮兵连为研究对象,分析了该阶段火箭子母弹攻击时的毁伤概率,计算了相应条件下的毁伤概率值,描述了毁伤概率与航路角、行进速度之间的基本关系和变化规律.     

DARPA 2021财年生物科技项目布局情况分析

本文系统梳理了DARPA 2021财年预算文件中的生物科技领域项目,从项目布局的角度分析了其推动生物科技领域发展的思路。从分布情况看,DARPA布局的生物科技项目主要涵盖生物安全、脑与神经科学、人体效能恢复与增强、战伤救治等方向。通过分析得出DARPA推动生物科技领域发展的具体思路包括：聚焦传染病检测与防护,提升生物安全能力;推进神经接口、神经药物研发,攻克神经功能障碍;强化单兵生理与心理干预研究,提升士兵效能恢复与增强能力;利用交叉科学和解析生物学途径,探索战伤救治方法。由此可知,DARPA正在着力强化多学科的交叉融合优势,进一步挖掘和利用生物系统的巨大潜力,助力维持美军全球领先的军事科技代差优势。     

近期美国海军南海地区活动态势分析

随着南海地区力量结构和美对华战略的转变,南海地区成为中美战略博弈的焦点。为围堵遏制中国的崛起,美国针对中国在南海实施了一系列海上挑衅行为。美国海军作为美国军事干预的主要力量,从兵力部署、演习演训、“航行自由”行动等着手,积极拉拢域内外盟友,展开并强化了在南海地区的军事活动。这些军事活动表现出极强的针对性和实战性,致使中美海上摩擦和竞争加剧。未来,美国为维护主导的全球秩序,将进一步提升美国海军在南海地区的威慑力。美国海军会借助并增加域内盟友的军事力量,继续维持高强度的装备平台活动及“航行自由”行动,推动海上力量合作。     

实兵演习战场态势研究

实兵演习战场态势是指挥员通过实战化训练提升获取战场情况、指挥部队行动能力的重要支撑和手段。首先针对当前实兵演习战场态势存在的数据结构、传输机制、系统架构和聚合显示等重点难点问题进行了详细地阐述和分析,然后在此基础上提出了态势数据结构的层次化设计、按需公布订购的数据传输机制、态势框架的柔性化设计和基于作战能力的态势聚合机制等相关的解决方法。以期能够建立一个支持大规模、分布式联合应用,并且可以显示综合战场态势和专用战场态势的战场态势系统。     

基于预定作业周期的航母作战部署调度研究

为科学筹划航母作战部署调度,优化航母作战兵力的运用,对航母作战部署调度问题进行建模研究。介绍航母预定作业周期,重点阐述航母综合训练期、维修保障期和人员/作战节奏等相关内容;在此基础上,分析航母作战部署调度的约束条件,在满足对作战区域有效时间覆盖条件下,以最小化航母作战兵力数量为目标函数,构建航母作战部署调度优化模型,并通过实例进行验证。结果表明,该模型是有效、实用的,可为科学决策航母作战部署调度提供依据和方法。