Warranty costs: An age‐dependent failure/repair model

An age‐dependent repair model is proposed. The notion of the “calendar age” of the product and the degree of repair are used to define the virtual age of the product. The virtual failure rate function and the virtual hazard function related to the lifetime of the product are discussed. Under a nonhomogeneous Poisson process scenario the expected warranty costs for repairable products associated with linear pro‐rata, nonrenewing free replacement and renewing free replacement warranties are evaluated. Illustration of the results is given by numerical and graphical examples. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004.     

Optimal pricing for a short life‐cycle product when customer price‐sensitivity varies over time

Technology products often experience a life‐cycle demand pattern that resembles a diffusion process, with weak demand in the beginning and the end of the life cycle and high demand intensity in between. The customer price‐sensitivity also changes over the life cycle of the product. We study the prespecified pricing decision for a product that exhibits such demand characteristics. In particular, we determine the optimal set of discrete prices and the times to switch from one price to another, when a limited number of price changes are allowed. Our study shows that the optimal prices and switching times show interesting patterns that depend on the product's demand pattern and the change in the customers' price sensitivity over the life cycle of the product. © 2012 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2012     

基于任务能力的装备维修保障资源重组研究

分析了装备维修保障资源配置存在的问题,指出依据装备维修保障系统承担的任务和应具备的能力实施资源重组,是提高装备维修保障效能的基本途径．在此基础上,着重阐述了装备维修保障任务、功能、资源映射关系,提出了部队装备维修保障资源重组的实施框架、主要内容和基本方法．最后,进行了实例分析．     

基于级库存的维修器材整合供应策略研究

针对传统器材供应模式效率低的问题,借助供应链管理的思想提出了多需求点整合供应模式,并建立了基于级库存策略的整合优化模型,对成本各组成部分分析求解,得到了最优总成本对应的策略参数,其中总成本考虑了供应中心补货成本、库存持有成本、供应成本和供应延迟成本．最后通过算例与直接供应策略进行了比较,证明了整合供应策略的有效性．     

舰船维修器材保障点选址决策模型及算法

传统的最大覆盖选址模型没有考虑对服务半径外的需求点的满足和服务时间的响应,而在舰船维修器材保障中,不论需求点到保障点的距离是否大于服务半径,都应对其进行保障服务,且在保障过程中要满足保障时间控制在不影响舰船正常维修任务时间内。针对此问题,运用广义最大覆盖选址模型和时间满意度函数,构建基于时间满意的广义最大覆盖选址模型,并运用一种混合算法———基于遗传模拟退火算法的BP算法对模型进行求解。最后,运用该算法对实例进行了分析计算,计算结果验证了该算法的有效性。     

The Chinese and Asian impact on Russian nuclear policy

Asia, where nuclear powers already interact (including North Korea), exerts a growing influence on the thinking and policy underlying Russia's current and future nuclear (and overall defense) posture. China's rise is forcing Russia into a greater reliance on strategic offensive weapons and tactical nuclear weapons. These in turn will reinforce its opposition to US missile defenses, not only in Europe but also in Asia. Russia must now entertain the possibility of nuclear use in regional conflicts that would otherwise remain purely conventional. It cannot be postulated blindly that nuclear weapons serve no discernible purpose other than to deter nuclear attacks by other nuclear powers. The strategic equation in Asia and in the Russian Far East convincingly demonstrates the falsity of this approach. Nuclear weapons will be the essential component of Russia's regional defense policy if not of its overall policies – and this also includes contingencies in Europe.     

基于变异离散粒子群的协同空战攻击决策算法

为了提高智能协同空战攻击决策算法性能,将变异策略引入到DPSO(Discrete Particle Swarm Optimization)协同空战攻击决策算法中,提出了一种新的基于变异离散粒子群(Mutation Discrete Particle Swarm Optimization,MDPSO)的协同空战攻击决策算法。基于典型空战想定背景,仿真验证了算法的有效性。采用对比实验方法,基于准确性、可靠性和快速性等关键性能指标,分析比较了基于MDPSO协同空战攻击决策算法与多种智能决策算法,验证了基于MDPSO的协同空战攻击决策算法有着较好的综合性能。     

水下潜器自导搜索策略仿真平台设计与应用

根据研究实际需求,本文基于作战能力评估理论对水下潜器自导搜索策略仿真平台进行了开发设计,并结合建立的多指标评估体系和相应的评估方法,借助均匀设计法,将其成功应用于水下潜器自导搜索策略的设计优化中。文中首先分析了仿真平台的系统需求,进而确定了其总体构架,并针对自导搜索策略研究的特点确定了相应的人机交互界面。最后给出了进行自导搜索策略仿真优化的基本思路和方法,并通过水下潜器最优自导搜索策略方案仿真研究的实例表明,本文设计的仿真平台和研究方法不仅完全能够满足水下潜器的自导搜索策略仿真研究需求,还能有效节省科研成本,具有重要的工程应用价值。     

本体驱动的多分辨率联邦一致性维护方法

传统的聚合解聚方法仅能解决语法层的数据聚合解聚的参数静态匹配问题,却不能解决联邦一致性的其他两个重要的方面:数据的语义匹配合理性及联邦运行中的动态一致性。为了解决以上两个问题,提出了一种本体驱动的多分辨率联邦一致性维护框架——OCM框架。该框架基于本体创建与融合技术构建联邦本体,通过邦员本体与联邦本体间的映射,解决了联邦数据匹配的合理性问题;基于聚合解聚方法,引入管理与协调联邦实体状态的邦员,通过合理设计联邦的实时对象更新及交互机制,实现了联邦实体状态的实时一致性。实验结果表明:OCM框架能有效保持联邦中多分辨率实体的状态一致,并且由于联邦本体的可重用性,对邦员的增加与退出不敏感,因此联邦的重组合也具有一定的借鉴价值。     

带紧扰动的极大单调算子的满值性定理

将周海云关于m-增生算子的有关结果推广到极大单调算子场合。