混合推理在某型雷达故障诊断中的应用

传统诊断方法各有优缺点,对于大型装备的故障诊断来说,由于故障的复杂性、故障信息的多样性,单一的诊断方法满足不了实际应用的要求。为此,在介绍基于案例、模型、神经网络专家系统诊断推理方法的基础上,论述了基于案例、模型和神经网络的混合推理策略,给出了建立混合推理系统的方法,并在某型雷达的故障诊断系统中得到了应用。     

一种火控系统故障诊断专家系统

针对故障诊断领域的特点 ,建立了一个用于火控系统故障诊断的专家系统。论述了该系统的知识表示、推理机制和体系结构。实现了将故障监测硬件技术和专家系统软件技术有机结合 ,构造了集硬件、软件为一体的火控系统故障诊断专家系统。     

基于故障树的导航装备故障诊断专家系统研究

针对导航装备比较常见的故障诊断方法,提出了基于故障树的通用故障诊断的概念．为使故障诊断专家系统具有通用性,在分析故障树流程图特点的基础上,提出了逻辑关系的数字编码和故障诊断数据库的思想,设计了对导航装备故障诊断专家系统具有通用性的系统软件及数据库．     

舰载雷达目标发现概率的几种模拟计算模型分析

舰载雷达目标发现概率的模拟估算是舰船作战效能模拟评估的重要指标估算之一 .文中提出了舰载雷达目标发现概率的 5种模拟模型 ,并分析和比较了 5种模型的特点和适用范围     

船舶动力装置仪表与控制系统的故障诊断系统研究

简述了故障诊断的原理、推理模型及诊断过程.针对船舶仪表与控制系统工作过程中的故障,研究了船舶动力装置仪表与控制系统的故障诊断系统,并给出了诊断实例.     

层次式网络管理系统故障管理子系统研究与实现

计算机网络日益复杂和异构化,迫切需要提高可靠、跨平台的网络管理系统保证网络稳定、高效运行。分析了传统网络管理系统的不足,提出了一层次分布式网络管理系统故障管理算法,并讨论了算法的性能。最后采用ＣＯＲＢＡ,Ｗｅｂ和Ｊａｖａ技术实现了该算法。     

Estimating failure time distribution and its parameters based on intermediate data from a Wiener degradation model

Instead of measuring a Wiener degradation or performance process at predetermined time points to track degradation or performance of a product for estimating its lifetime, we propose to obtain the first‐passage times of the process over certain nonfailure thresholds. Based on only these intermediate data, we obtain the uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimator and uniformly most accurate confidence interval for the mean lifetime. For estimating the lifetime distribution function, we propose a modified maximum likelihood estimator and a new estimator and prove that, by increasing the sample size of the intermediate data, these estimators and the above‐mentioned estimator of the mean lifetime can achieve the same levels of accuracy as the estimators assuming one has failure times. Thus, our method of using only intermediate data is useful for highly reliable products when their failure times are difficult to obtain. Furthermore, we show that the proposed new estimator of the lifetime distribution function is more accurate than the standard and modified maximum likelihood estimators. We also obtain approximate confidence intervals for the lifetime distribution function and its percentiles. Finally, we use light‐emitting diodes as an example to illustrate our method and demonstrate how to validate the Wiener assumption during the testing. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

Optimum step‐stress accelerated life test plans for log‐location‐scale distributions

This article presents new tools and methods for finding optimum step‐stress accelerated life test plans. First, we present an approach to calculate the large‐sample approximate variance of the maximum likelihood estimator of a quantile of the failure time distribution at use conditions from a step‐stress accelerated life test. The approach allows for multistep stress changes and censoring for general log‐location‐scale distributions based on a cumulative exposure model. As an application of this approach, the optimum variance is studied as a function of shape parameter for both Weibull and lognormal distributions. Graphical comparisons among test plans using step‐up, step‐down, and constant‐stress patterns are also presented. The results show that depending on the values of the model parameters and quantile of interest, each of the three test plans can be preferable in terms of optimum variance. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

关于半鞅向量随机积分的两个结果

首先利用半鞅Girsanov定理与闭图像定理证明了:若{Xn}是带滤基的完备概率空间(Ω,F,F,P)中的一列半鞅,其中滤基F=(Ft)t≥0满足通常条件,且{Xn}在关于P的Emery拓扑空间中收敛于X,则当概率测度Q相似文献   

结合全局与局部信息的主动轮廓分割模型

针对传统的基于区域的主动轮廓模型在分割灰度不均匀图像和噪声图像存在效果不佳的问题,提出结合全局项与局部项的主动轮廓分割模型。全局项由CV(Chan-Vese)模型的保真项构成,局部项的构建考虑局部区域信息的同时引入反映图像灰度特性的局部熵信息。依据图像灰度的特点,选择合理的全局项和局部项参数,并加入正则项保证曲线在演化过程中保持平滑,保障分割结果的可靠性。通过变分水平集方法最小化能量泛函,依据梯度下降流迭代更新水平集,完成曲线演化。采用模拟图像和实际图像进行实验分析,结果表明,所提出的结合全局项和局部项的主动轮廓模型可以高效地分割噪声严重以及灰度分布不均匀的图像。