战车火炮姿态测量系统原位标定技术和方案设计

为了降低姿态测量系统的启动漂移和标定误差,提高测量和导航精度,针对系统安装特色,提出了一种原位快速标定方案。分析了系统可观测性,利用等效陀螺信息推导了多位置原位标定方案;研究了最优标定和次优标定问题,分析了标定精度和坡度之间的关系;设计了一种针对系统安装特色的多位置编排方案,完成了大坡度范围下的原位标定。仿真结果表明:方案要求简单,应用范围广,能够完成大坡度范围下高精度快速标定,具有重要的工程应用价值。     

Augmented nested sampling for stochastic programs with recourse and endogenous uncertainty

We propose a novel simulation‐based approach for solving two‐stage stochastic programs with recourse and endogenous (decision dependent) uncertainty. The proposed augmented nested sampling approach recasts the stochastic optimization problem as a simulation problem by treating the decision variables as random. The optimal decision is obtained via the mode of the augmented probability model. We illustrate our methodology on a newsvendor problem with stock‐dependent uncertain demand both in single and multi‐item (news‐stand) cases. We provide performance comparisons with Markov chain Monte Carlo and traditional Monte Carlo simulation‐based optimization schemes. Finally, we conclude with directions for future research.     

非匹配摄动系统协方差矩阵的定界估计

基于Ｌｙａｐｕｎｏｖ 稳定性理论,在系统矩阵及噪声输入矩阵均存在非匹配摄动的一般情形下,研究随机系统稳态状态协方差的定界估计问题,通过求解两个代数Ｒｉｃｃａｔｉ方程,给出了该协方差矩阵上下界的估计式,并提供了一个说明性算例     

军事通信领域上下文本体建模及不确定性推理

为支持军事通信业务的智能化,研究了军事通信业务上下文信息的表示和推理,提出了一种表示业务上下文信息的语法结构、语义以及上下文元信息的本体建模方法。并利用贝叶斯网络理论,提出了一种支持不确定性推理的业务上下文认知模型的构建方法,最后通过案例分析验证了模型和结论的合理性。     

Inventory cost impact of order processing priorities based on demand uncertainty

We evaluate an approach to decrease inventory costs at retail inventory locations that share a production facility. The retail locations sell the same product but differ in the variance of retail demand. Inventory policies at retail locations generate replenishment orders for the production facility. The production facility carries no finished goods inventory. Thus, production lead time for an order is the sojourn time in a single server queueing system. This lead time affects inventory costs at retail locations. We examine the impact of moving from a First Come First Served (FCFS) production rule for orders arriving at the production facility to a rule in which we provide non‐preemptive priority (PR) to orders from retail locations with higher demand uncertainty. We provide three approximations for the ratio of inventory costs under PR and FCFS and use them to identify conditions under which PR decreases retail inventory costs over FCFS. We then use a Direct Approach to establish conditions when PR decreases retail inventory costs over FCFS. We extend the results to orders from locations that differ in the mean and variance of demand uncertainty. The analysis suggests that tailoring lead times to product demand characteristics may decrease system inventory costs. © 2002 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 49: 376–390, 2002; Published online in Wiley InterScience (www.interscience.wiley.com). DOI 10.1002/nav.10016     

返回器飞行管道的快速预测算法

针对返回器回收任务中对安全空域和期望落点的计算需求,提出了基于Koopman算子的飞行管道快速预测算法,给出了搜救直升机安全飞行空域的判定流程。建立了物伞动力学模型,利用Halton采样方法从随机空间中均匀采点,计算得到多条可能弹道;采用Koopman算子的后拉机制,将初始概率密度值与当前状态关联,得到不确定条件下返回器及其分离部件的飞行管道和期望弹道。仿真结果表明,基于Koopman算子的飞行管道快速预测算法在收敛速度和精度上都要显著优于Monte Carlo方法;利用飞行管道计算结果对搜救直升机飞行路线进行规划后,碰撞风险最大降低54%且搜索时间减少70%。飞行管道预测算法已成功应用到嫦娥五号的回收任务中。     

基于非概率理论的混合不确定性结构可靠性分析方法

摘要: 针对不确定性结构可靠性分析中的输入变量分布参数具有不确定性和输入变量为区间模型的混合不确定性结构展开研究。考虑可用信息最少的情况,将分布参数的不确定性描述为区间模型。通过等概率转换方法将随机变量与其分布参数进行分离,使问题转化为随机与区间变量混合的可靠性问题,建立了混合不确定性问题的可靠性分析模型。基于非概率可靠性理论,建立混合不确定结构分析模型的二级极限状态函数并结合Kriging代理模型建立了高效的求解方法。此外,将所建立的混合不确定模型应用于飞行器结构的不确定性分析中,验证所建模型的合理性和所提方法的高效性和准确性。     

要地防空作战中空中目标威胁度估计的数学模型

为了准确有效地判断敌空中目标的威胁程度,运用层次-效用方法,对要地防空作战中空中目标威胁度建立数学模型。先用层次分析法建立影响因素诸指标的层次结构,然后导出指标因素的效用函数,对其加权和线性变换,得到目标威胁度。该模型使复杂的问题条理化,操作性强,便于计算机辅助决策,为防空指挥员对空情威胁做出正确判断提供了科学依据。     

共鸣发声测微方法的研究

本文论述了共鸣发声测微法的基本原理,提出了一套用于测量发声频率与位移之间关系的实验方法。研究表明本方法具有测量范围大,抗干扰力强,测量精度高的特点。     

单片微机相位测量系统

本文介绍了应用单片微型计算机技术的智能化相位测量系统。该系统由软件支持,克服了硬件上的许多缺陷,具有测量精度高、工作频带宽、使用简单等特点。