基于劣化度的装备健康状态评估模型

为了准确评估装备的健康状态,实施装备的状态维修,引入劣化度概念,结合装备的特点,确定了以装备特征参数劣化度为评估指标,运用变权模糊理论,建立了基于劣化度的装备健康状态变权模糊综合评估模型。结合地空导弹装备实际工作,进行了实例分析,验证了该方法的准确性和有效性。     

面向装备健康管理的可测性指标研究

可测性指标是开展可测性设计、验证和评估的依据.针对传统可测性指标主要用于故障可检测性和故障可隔离性水平评价,不能全面反映面向装备健康管理可测性水平的问题,在定性分析装备健康管理对可测性的本质需求基础上,从全域和瞬态角度提出了五个可测性指标以定量描述面向装备健康管理的可测性水平;并基于故障模式状态矢量给出了可测性指标的分析计算流程.最后以某装备柴油机的机体子系统为案例详细说明了可测性指标的计算过程,应用结果表明所提指标具有一定的可行性和合理性,可以有效指导面向装备健康管理的可测性优化设计.     

基于AHP——探索法的对潜通信系统效能评估

从对潜通信的军事特征出发,建立评估指标体系,并提出一种改进的层次分析——探索法,结合模糊评判理论计算通信系统的效能。该方法运用探索标度值的思想,给出一种新的判断矩阵的构造方法,合理地处理决策因素的不确定性。实例分析表明:该方法精确、有效,易于在计算机上实现,具有较高的应用价值。     

海面空-空无线信道特征

针对海上远距通信场景,基于无人机之间的无线通信链路,对接收功率进行实际测量。在大尺度路径损耗方面,采用对数距离线性模型进行拟合,分析海上远距空-空无线信道特征,获取路径损耗指数,并采用射线跟踪方法进行仿真验证,通过仿真所得信道冲激响应在多径时延和功率方面分析产生接收功率快速变化的原因。分析结果表明,近岸的多径反射会造成接收功率的波动,并且会造成路径损耗的升高。利用三种分布函数对测量数据进行分布拟合,分析海面和近岸两种通信条件下空-空无线信道的小尺度分布特征。测量分析结果表明,小尺度特征受陆地反射影响明显,在距离陆地较远的海面呈现高斯分布特征,而在近陆地处未呈现典型分布特征。     

液体火箭发动机涡轮泵健康监控系统

为了提高液体火箭发动机涡轮泵的安全性,降低其故障带来的破坏性,设计了某型液体火箭发动机涡轮泵健康监控系统(TP HMS),工程实现了TP HMS的测试硬件子系统、实时故障检测子系统、试车后数据分析子系统和实时数据库支持子系统等,讨论和分析了TP HMS的功能和执行流程,然后利用历史试车数据与转子试验平台数据对TP HMS中的多特征参量自适应阈值综合决策算法(MATA)进行了离线和实时在线验证;利用自适应时频谱对测试数据作进一步的分析。结果表明,MATA没有发生误检测情况,并具有实时故障检测的能力;自适应时频谱能有效抑制时频交叉项的干扰,准确给出故障信号的时间和频率信息。因此,TP HMS适合于液体火箭发动机涡轮泵健康状态监控。     

积极心理学及其对军校大学生心理健康教育的启示

传统的心理健康教育过分关注心理疾病的评估与矫治,忽视了对个体积极的品质、情绪体验等的关注和培养。积极心理学的诞生,为传统的心理健康教育提供了新的视野,主张教育者用一种更加开放的、欣赏的眼光去看待学生的潜能、动机和能力。军校大学生作为一个特殊的大学生群体,除了繁重的学业、环境的适应等普通大学生面临的挑战外,紧张的军事训练、严格的日常管理、单一的校园生活使他们更容易出现心理问题。积极心理学提示我们,军校大学生的心理健康教育应从个体的积极因素入手,不断地激发、挖掘、关注个体内在的积极力量和优秀品质,注意培养和鼓励他们多用积极的应对方式解决生活中遇到的问题。     

中国消防员心理健康状况调查与研究

通过问卷测试,采用中国消防员心理健康量表对全国16个省市的627名消防员的心理健康状况进行调查,以兵源、是否独生子女、职业经历、所在单位等为变量,对消防员心理健康水平进行调查与分析。结果表明一线消防员心理健康总体处于中等水平,在人口学变量上存在显著差异,且带有鲜明的职业特性。     

Using stochastic programming to solve an outpatient appointment scheduling problem with random service and arrival times

We study a stochastic outpatient appointment scheduling problem (SOASP) in which we need to design a schedule and an adaptive rescheduling (i.e., resequencing or declining) policy for a set of patients. Each patient has a known type and associated probability distributions of random service duration and random arrival time. Finding a provably optimal solution to this problem requires solving a multistage stochastic mixed‐integer program (MSMIP) with a schedule optimization problem solved at each stage, determining the optimal rescheduling policy over the various random service durations and arrival times. In recognition that this MSMIP is intractable, we first consider a two‐stage model (TSM) that relaxes the nonanticipativity constraints of MSMIP and so yields a lower bound. Second, we derive a set of valid inequalities to strengthen and improve the solvability of the TSM formulation. Third, we obtain an upper bound for the MSMIP by solving the TSM under the feasible (and easily implementable) appointment order (AO) policy, which requires that patients are served in the order of their scheduled appointments, independent of their actual arrival times. Fourth, we propose a Monte Carlo approach to evaluate the relative gap between the MSMIP upper and lower bounds. Finally, in a series of numerical experiments, we show that these two bounds are very close in a wide range of SOASP instances, demonstrating the near‐optimality of the AO policy. We also identify parameter settings that result in a large gap in between these two bounds. Accordingly, we propose an alternative policy based on neighbor‐swapping. We demonstrate that this alternative policy leads to a much tighter upper bound and significantly shrinks the gap.     

Size dependent free vibration analysis of functionally graded piezoelectric micro/nano shell based on modified couple stress theory with considering thickness stretching effect

Higher-order shear and normal deformation theory is used in this paper to account thickness stretching effect for free vibration analysis of the cylindrical micro/nano shell subjected to an applied voltage and uniform temperature rising. Size dependency is included in governing equations based on the modified couple stress theory. Hamilton's principle is used to derive governing equations of the cylindrical micro/nano shell. Solution procedure is developed using Navier technique for simply-supported boundary conditions. The numerical results are presented to investigate the effect of significant parameters such as some dimensionless geometric parameters, material properties, applied voltages and temperature rising on the free vibration responses.     

消防员心理健康量表的初步编制

通过因素分析建立消防员心理健康量表,包括幸福感和快乐感、冲动、抑郁与焦虑、躯体化、社交退缩、信任与自信、孤独、性心理障碍、猜疑、社交攻击10个一级因素,心理幸福和心理痛苦2个二级因素.经检验分析,该量表符合心理测量学标准,适合用于对我国消防员心理健康状况的评定.