大学生入伍动机分析

2009年兵役制度的调整使普通高校在校生有了更多步人军营的机会。不同的入伍动机影响着大学生的个人发展和军队的长期建设。本文运用心理学动机理论,对大学生入伍动机的产生进行分析,探讨如何培养和激发大学生入伍的动机。     

高职新生外语学习风格调查分析

本研究通过问卷形式,对155名高职新生的感知学习风格进行调查,以了解学生外语学习风格总体倾向,不同民族、性别、专业及外语学习年限不同学生学习风格的差异,并分析其学习风格与外语学习成绩间的相关性。此研究目的是帮助高职外语教师了解学生感知学习风格偏好,使教师在教学过程中因材施教并指导学生重塑外语学习风格,以便提高高职学生外语学习效率。     

新疆基层文化建设现状与发展对策

新疆基层文化建设已经取得了很大成绩,但仍存在文化基础设施落后,基层文化单位工作条件差,公共文化服务缺乏财政保障,基层文化工作队伍不健全等问题。发展新疆基层文化建设必须完善基础设施建设,不断创新文化内容和形式,进一步落实文化经济政策,完善公共文化服务体系,加强基层文化队伍建设,争取优惠政策解决新疆农村文化发展面临的突出问题。     

舰艇编队保障性指标的分解方法

针对目前保障性分配仅限于单船的问题,借鉴基本可靠度的分配思想,通过对舰艇编队使用可用度与单船使用可用度关系的分析,建立了舰艇编队保障性指标分解模型,并采用多因子评分系数分配法来确定舰艇编队保障性指标的权重。最后,通过实例给出了具体分解操作步骤,证明了该模型的正确性和有效性。分解结果可优化舰艇编队的编成,为编队里同型单船保障性指标的确定提供修正,同时为完善舰艇编队的综合保障工程提供参考。     

Can Afghanistan avoid the Natural Resource Curse?

Recent discoveries of significant mineral deposits offer Afghanistan the opportunity to attain a level of economic development sufficient to stabilize that country's volatile security situation while providing Afghans with a reasonable standard of living. Much, however, depends on whether Afghanistan can avoid the “Natural Resource Curse,” an inter-related set of economic and social pathologies that often bedevil resource-endowed countries. In this article, the authors describe the Natural Resource Curse, evaluate the obstacles it raises for Afghan economic development, and offer a strategy to minimize the risks Afghanistan faces in its efforts to exploit its mineral wealth for the benefit of the population.     

装备保障需求开发方法

为解决装备保障需求开发规范化的问题,界定了装备保障需求的内涵,分析了装备保障需求开发的目标,提出了＂元任务＂的概念,阐述了＂任务确认-能力集成-能力开发＂的装备保障需求开发方法,并通过实例分析验证了方法的有效性,对于规范装备保障需求描述形式和完善装备保障需求开发机制具有一定的参考价值。     

密集目标有偏航迹整体匹配关联方法

针对密集目标和传感器探测存在较大系统偏差的复杂条件下的分布式融合中航迹关联问题,设计了一种整体匹配航迹关联方法,首先将所有航迹划分成若干个关联聚,对各传感器都有多个目标航迹的关联聚采用多目标点图整体匹配,对某传感器只有单目标航迹的关联聚采用航迹段整体匹配,从而获得关联聚内所有航迹的关联关系。在仿真分析中,随机产生态势,分别计算新算法在不同情形下的漏关联、正确关联率、错误关联率。仿真验证结果表明该算法在不同目标密集程度、系统误差情形下都有较好的适应性。     

Double Mover–Stayer model on customer switching in telecommunications industry

Customer acquisition and customer retention are the most important challenges in the increasingly competitive telecommunications industry. Traditional studies of customer switching always assume that customers are homogeneous, and thus that model customer switching behavior follows a Markov formulation. However, this postulation is obviously inappropriate in most instances. Blumen et al. (Cornell Studies of Industrial and Labor Relations, Cornell University Press, Ithaca, NY, 1955) developed the Mover–Stayer (MS) model, a generalization of the Markov chain model, to relax the requirement of homogeneity and allow the presence of heterogeneity with two different types of individuals—“stayers,” who purchase the same kinds of products or services throughout the entire observation period; and “movers,” who look for variety in products or services over time. There are two purpose of this article. First, we extend the MS model to a Double Mover‐Stayer (DMS) model by assuming the existence of three types of individuals in the market: (1) stable and loyal customers, who have stable usage within the same company; (2) instable but loyal customers, whose usage varies within the same company over time; and (3) disloyal customers, who switch from one company to another to seek for new experiences or/and benefits. We also propose an estimation method for the DMS model. Second, we apply the DMS model to telecommunications data and demonstrate how it can be used for pattern identification, hidden knowledge discovery, and decision making. © 2012 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2012     

近空间飞行器关键技术及其发展趋势分析

未来一体化联合作战将具有陆、海、空、天、临“五维一体”的特点,临近空间以其在信息支援与远程快速投送两方面的优势在基于信息系统的体系作战中具有重要的战略地位.从技术层面概括了临近空间飞行器的最新进展,重点分析了其关键技术与发展趋势,对其发展提出了几点看法.     

舰艇编队综合作战能力评估的模糊聚类分析

评估舰艇编队综合作战能力强弱的模糊聚类分析涉及编队对海作战能力、编队反潜作战能力、编队防空作战能力、编队电子战能力、编队指挥控制能力和编队战场适应能力等因素.以若干舰艇编队为研究对象,对因素指标进行标准量化.据标准化数据用指数相似系数法计算样本间的相似关系,最后根据各样本与基准样本相聚类或分离进行量化分析,判断各舰艇编队综合作战能力的强弱次序.