遥测参数数据载荷状态判别集成学习方法

针对载荷单机设备遥测参数维度高、数据量大、存在类别不平衡、无法直观判别单机设备运行情况等问题,考虑到航天任务对可解释性的要求,提出一种基于信息增益参数特征选择和集成学习方法的载荷单机状态快速识别方法。采用统计量性质和信息增益子集搜索方法对遥测数据进行特征筛选降维,通过集成学习模型算法实现载荷单机设备状态的自适应识别分类。所提方法将信息增益的参数分类信息量评价准则和集成学习拟合能力强、类别不平衡下准确率高和抗噪能力强等优点相结合,兼顾模型特征和结果的可解释性,提供了重点参数发现功能。采用科学卫星任务真实载荷遥测参数数据对该方法进行了验证,整体识别准确率高于90%,少数样本亦可准确识别,整体效果可达到在轨任务要求,证明了所提方法的有效性和实用性。     

An efficient and modular modeling for launch dynamics of tubed rockets on a moving launcher

This paper develops a modular modeling and efficient formulation of launch dynamics with marching fire (LDMF) using a mixed formulation of the transfer matrix method for multibody systems (MSTMM) and Newton-Euler formulation. Taking a ground-borne multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS), the focus is on the launching subsystem comprising the rocket, flexible tube, and tube tail. The launching subsystem is treated as a coupled rigid-flexible multibody system, where the rocket and tube tail are treated as rigid bodies while the flexible tube as a beam with large motion. Firstly, the tube and tube tail can be elegantly handled by the MSTMM, a computationally efficient order-N formulation. Then, the equation of motion of the in-bore rocket with relative kinematics w.r.t. the tube using the Newton-Euler method is derived. Finally, the rocket, tube, and tube tail dynamics are coupled, yielding the equation of motion of the launching subsystem that can be regarded as a building block and further integrated with other subsystems. The deduced dynamics equation of the launching subsystem is not limited to ground-borne MLRS but also fits for tanks, self-propelled artilleries, and other air-borne and naval-borne weapons undergoing large motion. Numerical simulation results of LDMF are given and partially verified by the experiment.     

Noise and vibration measurements in a Viking military vehicle

Noise and whole-body vibration measurements were made in a Viking military vehicle to determine the variation that should be expected during repeat measures, the effect of speed (up to 60 km/h in 5 km/h increments), and during travel over different types of terrain (comprising concrete road, gravel track and rough cross-country). Measurements were made at various crew positions (including the driver and commander) in both the front and the rear cabs in the vehicles. Three translational axes of vibration were measured in each seat. Two speeds were investigated over road (35 km/h and 55–60 km/h) and gravel (20 km/h and 35 km/h) surfaces. The effect of varying speed of the vehicle on the measured noise and vibration magnitudes was also investigated. The highest sound pressure level (L_Aeq) of 104 dB(A) was measured at the commander’s standing position during travel over concrete road at 55 km/h. Higher noise levels occurred for a standing commander compared with when sitting on the seat. A maximum single axis frequency-weighted vibration magnitude of 1.0 m/s² r.m.s. was measured on the driver’s seat during travel over track at 35 km/h. Higher vibration magnitudes occurred during travel over track compared with travel over road. Both noise and vibration exposure of crew within the Viking vehicle increased with increasing speed of the vehicle.     

【专题】从系统工程视角看无人机自主控制系统

提升无人机的自主控制能力可有效提高无人机在复杂对抗环境下的作战性能。系统工程是指导复杂系统研制的有效手段,采用系统的思维方法,关注系统的整体效能优化实现。系统工程覆盖复杂工程型号生命周期的全流程活动,包括概念论证、工程开发、生产制造、使用服役、综合保障以及系统退出等过程,能够为系统开发中各工程技术的应用,跨专业工程合作以及项目管理建立切实的技术路径。无人机外部应用背景环境与内部体系结构相互交联,是一个典型的“系统之系统”（System of Systems）。无人机自主控制系统是跨域、跨平台的复杂“系统之系统”。本文从系统复杂性出发,介绍了无人机系统组成、自主控制系统以及无人机自主能力等级,以期为无人机自主控制技术的发展提供参考和借鉴。     

美军无人机蜂群作战研究动态及应对策略

无人机蜂群是以智能化无人控制技术和网络信息系统为支撑的集群式无人作战武器装备,这种新型武器装备势必将成为改变未来战争规则的重要推手。美军作为无人机蜂群作战研究的领跑者,掌握了解其发展动态,学习其相关有益经验做法,参考借鉴其理论体系和关键技术,对于军队打赢未来智能化战争具有重要现实意义。本文通过梳理与总结美军在无人机蜂群作战研究方面所进行的开创性工作,厘清无人机蜂群作战发展的脉络,重点对无人机蜂群作战的产生背景、基本概念以及发展现状进行了探讨,结合课题组在无人集群作战领域的研究基础,分析了6个方面制约无人机蜂群发展的难点问题,探讨了应对无人机蜂群作战的可鉴之策,希冀能够为军队未来构建蜂群作战体系和建设相关能力提供理论指导和技术依据。     

不可预见作战下排弹抢修力量编配分析

在资源有限的情况下,综合考虑某一区域不同机场之间的相互关系,从整体的角度合理分配排弹抢修资源,可以大幅提升区域内军队机场阵地的战场排弹抢修能力。本文通过建立数学模型,从整体的角度出发,分析区域内各机场的排弹抢修资源分配问题：首先,针对不可预见作战带来的新挑战,提出了新的机场排弹抢修作业流程,引出排弹抢修力量分配所面临的几个现实问题;其次,为解决提出的问题,建立计算排弹抢修时间的数学模型;最后,利用建立的模型依次对上述问题进行分析,并给出排弹抢修资源编配与力量建设的建议。本研究认为,军事机场排弹抢修力量应根据机场特点,合理分配排弹抢修资源;要以机场排弹抢修力量为主导,以外部支援力量为辅助,提升机场自身排弹抢修能力;可通过建设排弹抢修物资仓库和设置排弹抢修支援小组,提升多机场联动的排弹抢修能力。     

网络信息检索结果的影响因素及应对策略

针对目前出现的“信息过载”问题,分析了网络信息检索结果处理的现状,从信息源、用户行为及检索机制3个方面分析了影响检索结果的因素,对提高检索结果的满意度提出了一些建议。     

验前分布的稳健性

研究Bayes统计分析中运用验前信息的稳健性 ,给出了正态分布期望值验前分布和指数寿命型分布失效率验前分布的稳健性分析。所论方法对于飞行器系统试验的精度分析和可靠性评估 ,具有较普遍的意义     

基于模糊融合的目标检测算法研究

针对经典决策层融合检测过程中本地“硬”判决导致的信息损失问题 ,利用模糊子集理论 ,提出了一种基于模糊“软”判决的融合检测方法。理论分析与仿真实验表明 ,该方法优于传统的“K秩”方法 ,ROC雷达工作曲线接近理论最优曲线。     

机群对地攻击分析动力学模型的建立及仿真分析

根据兰彻斯特作战动态方程的研究方法建立了机群对地攻击效果的分析动力学模型,并通过仿真分析、讨论了影响对地攻击效果的可能因素,如:目标分配形式,目标发现概率,攻击结果侦察概率以及假目标等.