军用软件研制过程的管理与控制

分析了军用软件研制过程和军用系统研制过程的对应关系,详细阐述了军用软件研制过程控制的要求和阶段划分方法。在对阶段概念划分的基础上,对各个阶段的管理控制工作进行了论述,包括阶段的主要工作内容、实施步骤、完成标志及转段条件等。提出的军用软件研制过程管理与控制方法是经过多年软件工作的实践所得,可以供军用软件开发管理者参考。     

虚拟现实技术及其在军事上的应用

虚拟现实技术与多媒体技术、网络技术并称为三大前景最好的计算机技术。它自诞生以来,就在航空航天、军事、核工业等行业中发挥着不可替代的作用。本文仅就虚拟现实技术的概念、特点、设备及在军事上的应用作一综述。     

Optimal nonmyopic gambling strategy for the generalized Kelly criterion

We consider the optimal wagers to be made by a gambler who starts with a given initial wealth. The gambler faces a sequence of two-outcome games, i.e., “win” vs. “lose,” and wishes to maximize the expected value of his terminal utility. It has been shown by Kelly, Bellman, and others that if the terminal utility is of the form log x, where x is the terminal wealth, then the optimal policy is myopic, i.e., the optimal wager is always to bet a constant fraction of the wealth provided that the probability of winning exceeds the probability of losing. In this paper we provide a critique of the simple logarithmic assumption for the utility of terminal wealth and solve the problem with a more general utility function. We show that in the general case, the optimal policy is not myopic, and we provide analytic expressions for optimal wager decisions in terms of the problem parameters. We also provide conditions under which the optimal policy reduces to the simple myopic case. © 1997 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 44: 639–654, 1997     

美军智能化武器装备体系发展

智能化武器装备体系是军事智能化的基础和前提。智能化武器装备体系的集约高效发展,首先需做到找准定位,精准聚焦。本文针对美军的智能化武器装备体系,梳理了其发展,总结了其在各作战领域的典型作战运用,并分析了其下一步的发展趋势。     

功能性军事体能训练与心理训练结合运用探索——以新兵体能训练为例

在军队改革的大环境下,军事训练从难从严向实战化聚焦将成为日常训练的常态,而体能训练就是其中最为基础和重要的训练。但是,现阶段的军事体能训练仍然存在着训练理论不系统、训练方法不科学、相关心理指导和心理训练缺乏等弱点,从而造成体能训练成绩提升缓慢、训练损伤居高不下的问题。本文运用功能性军事体能训练和心理训练相结合的方法,从新兵体能训练着手,对其进行身心干预,旨在增强心理适应能力、提高训练成绩、减少训练损伤,为提高部队实战化训练水平打下基础。     

新体制下军队院校教育实战化

加强军队院校教育实战化改革,提高基层指挥员实战化素养,是推动部队实战化训练末端落实的有效途径。在军队院校改革重组的背景下,应改善实战化教学条件,强化军队院校师资力量与部队接轨,创新实战化教学内容构建,提高军队院校教育实战化水平,实现人才培养与未来作战需求的最佳融合。     

陆军勤务支援旅专业技术干部军事职业教育

军事职业教育是三位一体新型军事人才培养体系的重要组成部分,是改善官兵知识结构、提高岗位能力、促进职业发展的重要途径。在分析陆军勤务支援旅专业技术干部队伍建设现状的基础上,以部队在职教育需求为牵引,初步研究探索了陆军勤务支援旅开展专业技术干部军事职业教育的方法对策。     

Prospect theory and foreign policy decision-making: Underexposed issues,advancements, and ways forward

How much mileage can we get out of prospect theory to explain foreign policy decision-making? To answer this question, we first argue that risk as outcome uncertainty is the appropriate definition in prospect-theoretical applications. Then, we indicate that probability weighting—a crucial component of prospect theory—is typically ignored in such applications. We argue why this is problematic and suggest how to move forward. Next, we discuss how to establish the reference point in the face of outcomes in multiple dimensions, as is typically the case in foreign policy decision-making. Finally, we discuss what we have learnt regarding prospect theory’s scope conditions and the differences across individuals in the theory’s applicability. Overall, our contribution lies in identifying several underexposed or neglected issues (e.g., the definition of risk and probability weighting), in examining the advancements regarding prospect theory’s scope conditions, and in discussing avenues for further research.     

Is human trafficking the dark side of economic freedom?

Economic freedom has increased living standards worldwide. Concurrent with such gains are rising concerns about potential human costs associated with free markets. This paper uses data on human trafficking and anti-trafficking policies, in conjunction with a measure of economic freedom, to examine whether free markets exacerbate or attenuate the incidence of human trafficking and policies designed to combat it. We do not find evidence suggesting that economic freedom is associated with human trafficking. In addition, our results suggest that economically free countries are more likely to enact and enforce policies to fight human trafficking.     

Turning the tides of war: The impact of private military and security companies on Nigeria’s counterinsurgency against Boko Haram

Since the 2003 war in Iraq, private military and security companies (PMSCs) have become increasingly legitimate actors in modern conflicts. Despite this normative shift, rumours in March 2015 regarding the use of South African mercenaries in Nigeria to combat Boko Haram insurgents caused an international outrage, while the Nigerian government remained nonchalantly silent on the matter. This article investigates the impact of mercenaries on the conflict in the last six months of the Jonathan government. Using primary and secondary qualitative research, it assesses the role that PMSCs played in Nigeria’s counterinsurgency strategy, along with the ensuing reaction of international and local media to the outsourcing of violence to foreign companies. The article concludes that – notwithstanding the improved image of PMSCs in the world, and the actual impact of the contractors on the Nigerian counterinsurgency effort – the stigma of mercenaries continues to plague the industry, particularly on the African continent.