协同制造系统的可靠性分析

协同制造作为一种先进制造模式,逐渐成为研究的热点。而系统的可靠性是协同制造系统成功实施的关键因素之一。从协同制造系统的自身特点出发,阐述了进行协同制造系统可靠性研究的必要性和紧迫性。并给出了协同制造系统可靠性分析的框架模型,认为协同制造系统可靠性应该从人、工作流系统和设备硬件等几个方面进行综合研究,并对各部分的可靠性研究进行了概述。     

Counterinsurgency Challenge in Post-2001 Afghanistan

Although the Taliban insurgency was internally divided and unable to coordinate its activities in 2014–2015, the Afghan security forces were not able to contain it and steadily lost ground throughout 2015. Until 2015, there had been little effort to develop an indigenous Afghan counterinsurgency strategy, but a sense of urgency emerged after a string of Taliban victories. At the beginning of 2016, it was still not clear if and when the National Unity Government would be able to produce a counterinsurgency strategy and, in any case, the need for a coherent counterinsurgency approach became questionable as the Taliban appeared to be transitioning towards conventional warfare.     

What-If at Waterloo. Carl von Clausewitz’s use of historical counterfactuals in his history of the Campaign of 1815

In this article, I analyze the use of historical counterfactuals in the Campaign of 1815 by Carl von Clausewitz (1780–1831). Such is the importance of counterfactuals in this work that its gist can be given in a series of 25 counterfactuals. I claim that a central role is played by evaluative counterfactuals. This specific form of counterfactuals is part of a didactic method that allows Clausewitz to teach young officers a critical method that prepares them for the challenge of decision-making in real warfare. I conclude with the enduring relevance of Clausewitz’s use of evaluative counterfactuals for contemporary military historiography.     

Operational idealism: doctrine development of the Chinese People’s Liberation Army under Soviet threat, 1969–1989

This article analyses the doctrine development of the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) coping with the Soviet military threat between 1969 and 1989. In the 1970s, the PLA applied a doctrine of ‘active defence and luring the enemy into depth’ based on its traditional operational art. In 1980, the PLA decided to focus its doctrine on positional defence. In 1986, the PLA introduced ‘integrated operations and prioritised strike’, a generalised doctrine that originated from its war history. Many organisational and intellectual challenges in peacetime doctrine development contributed to the PLA’s operational idealism, including its aging leadership, command structure, attitude towards its previous experience, limited analysis of contemporary military developments, and failure in test and validation of doctrines. In the post-Cold War decade, many of these challenges persisted in spite of military modernization efforts. The ongoing military reform has to address these challenges and improve the PLA doctrine development in peacetime.     

离心机试验中惯导平台误差系数辨识方法

针对离心机试验中惯导平台误差系数辨识问题,提出一种6位置辨识方案。建立误差系数辨识的非线性模型,再利用扩展卡尔曼滤波估计误差系数。由滤波中的估值方差矩阵计算各误差系数之间的相关系数,用相关系数分析系统的可观性,并将所有相关系数之和最小作为优化指标,利用遗传算法得到最优的位置组合。仿真结果表明,采用该方案可以有效辨识出惯导平台中与加速度高阶项有关的各项误差系数。     

基于非线性Kalman滤波的导航系统误差补偿技术

针对非线性非高斯导航系统信息处理问题,采用自组织算法、神经网络和遗传算法等改进传统非线性Kalman滤波算法,构建一种自适应的组合导航系统。应用具有冗余趋势项的自组织算法、Volterra神经网络和遗传算法,建立导航系统误差的非线性预测模型,进而计算得到其预测值;将该预测值与Kalman滤波算法求得的估计值进行比较得到差值,以此监测Kalman滤波算法的工作状态;采用自适应控制方法,在导航系统结构层面改进Kalman滤波算法,构建新型的导航系统误差补偿模型。开展基于导航系统KIND-34的半实物仿真研究,应用所提出的改进方法改善了导航系统误差的补偿效果,提高了组合导航系统的自适应能力和容错能力。     

应用于卫星导航功率倒置阵的改进LMS算法*

采用功率倒置准则的自适应天线阵特别适合于弱信号、强干扰的场合,因而在卫星导航系统中得到了广泛的应用。针对基于最小均方误差(LMS)算法实现的卫星导航功率倒置阵在干扰数目或干扰功率突然减少时,算法收敛慢、影响信号接收性能的问题,分析了这一现象的产生机理,并提出了相应的改进算法。改进算法通过功率监测来检测干扰数目或干扰功率的突变,然后对LMS算法进行复位处理重置权值来达到迅速收敛的目的。仿真结果表明,与原算法相比,改进算法可显著提高功率倒置阵的收敛速度。     

邻频干扰对跳频GMSK接收机的性能影响分析

在考虑跳频系统中系统用户数、可用频点数、信道参数和环境噪声因素的条件下,重点研究邻频干扰(ACI)对跳频系统典型GMSK接收机误码率(BER)性能的影响。研究了GMSK非相干平方律接收结构和包络检波接收结构,通过分析接收信号经过各接收单元的变化,得出判决信号的解析表达式;通过分析判决信号的概率密度函数和特征函数,推导得出跳频系统在ACI影响下的系统BER公式。仿真结果表明,该理论能够评估ACI对跳频系统典型GMSK接收机的BER性能影响。     

悬浮式深弹反鱼雷武器系统的有效拦截域分析

针对悬浮式深弹反鱼雷武器系统在作战使用中需对目标的可拦性进行快速判断的需求,提出了系统有效拦截域的概念,又根据系统作战流程和工作原理,将有效拦截域判断条件细化为时间域和空间域两个方面判据,进而构建了基于实战中可获取的战场态势等相关信息计算系统有效拦截域的数学模型,并具体给出了一个计算实例。研究结果可为其作战使用提供一定参考。     

战术通信网组网方案评估优选方法

在当前信息化的战场环境下,战场环境瞬息万变,战术通信网作为信息化战争的神经中枢,起到了至关重要的作用,然而组网方案的好坏直接决定着通信网性能的优劣,因此,如何在战场环境下快速、自动、客观地评估战术通信网组网方案是一个亟待解决的问题。通过分析战术通信网的特性和要求,提出了战术通信网组网方案评估指标体系,并采用熵权灰关联的方法对组网方案进行评估优选,该方法方便快捷并且可以编程实现,不仅能够在战场环境下实时、自动地对组网方案进行评估优选,而且评估结果也符合实际情况,为指挥员提供了决策依据。