Effective attacks in the salvo combat model: Salvo sizes and quantities of targets

This article considers two related questions of tactics in the context of the salvo model for naval missile combat. For a given set of targets, how many missiles should be fired to produce an effective attack? For a given available salvo size, how many enemy targets should be fired at? In the deterministic version of the model I derive a simple optimality relationship between the number of missiles to fire and the number of targets to engage. In the stochastic model I employ the expected loss inflicted and the probability of enemy elimination as the main performance measures and use these to derive salvo sizes that are in some sense “optimal.” I find that the offensive firepower needed for an effective attack depends not only on a target's total strength but also on the relative balance between its active defensive power and passive staying power. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

信息化战争环境下的军事装备管理系统组织重构设想

针对信息化战争环境下对军事装备管理系统的新需求,提出了军事装备管理系统组织结构设计的原则,分析了军事装备管理系统组织结构的3种基本类型。在此基础上,依据需求,在探讨了军事装备管理系统重构原则的前提下,进行了军事装备管理系统重构设想,为军事装备管理系统组织变革提供前瞻性的指导。     

对学历教育型军队院校应突出军事特色的几点思考

随着世界新军事变革的浪潮扑面而来,我军以完成机械化、信息化双重历史任务为己任,军队院校对新型军事人才的培养发生了深刻的变革,机遇与挑战并存.我院作为学历教育型军队院校,重点是培养"合训分流"模式人才.为此,文章首先阐述学历教育型军队院校在人才培养上必须突出军事特色的现实意义和紧迫性,同时又对突出军事特色的主要做法进行了思考.     

关于构建模块化军事素质培养体系的思考

模块化军事素质培养体系的核心和特色是既相对独立又密切联系的6个“模块”;这6个“模块”分别在人才培养的不同阶段实施,达到阶段教育目的,并有机地整合成为一个整体,使人才达到最终的培养目标。     

新军事革命与C4I系统

介绍了联合作战的概念,着重分析了Ｃ４Ｉ在联合作战中的地位和作用、新军事革命对Ｃ４Ｉ的影响,并提出了几点看法。     

试论军校课程管理的几个问题

论述了军校课程管理的地位、作用和任务,军校课程管理目标和管理范畴,以及军校课程管理的6项基本原则,并提出了加强军校课程管理的若干有效途径。     

To catch an intruder: Part A—uncluttered scenario

We analyze an interdiction scenario where an interceptor attempts to catch an intruder as the intruder moves through the area of interest. A motivating example is the detection and interdiction of drug smuggling vessels in the Eastern Pacific and Caribbean. We study two models in this article. The first considers a nonstrategic target that moves through the area without taking evasive action to avoid the interdictor. We determine the optimal location the interceptor should position itself to best respond when a target arrives. The second model analyzes the strategic interaction between the interceptor and intruder using a Blotto approach. The intruder chooses a route to travel on and the interceptor chooses a route to patrol. We model the interaction as a two‐player game with a bilinear payoff function. We compute the optimal strategy for both players and examine several extensions. © 2017 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 64: 29–40, 2017     

科学的军事理论是战斗力

由科学技术是第一生产力可以得出,科学的军事理论就是战斗力,也是第一战斗力。这个看似显见的论断并不是可有可无,而是值得直白昭示、大力宣扬,它彰显了军事理论的极端重要性。科学的军事理论把握国家安全拓展规律,是军事人才培养的总体方针;科学的军事理论洞察军事技术发展规律,是武器装备建设的根本指导;科学的军事理论洞悉战争演变规律,是作战方式创新的根本遵循。     

Measuring the Impact of Military Spending: How Far Does a DSGE Model Deviate from Reality?

Dunne, Smith, and Willenbockel (2005) argue that the mainstream growth literature has not found military spending to be a significant determinant of economic growth, yet much of the defense economics literature has noted significant effects. This paper revisits this issue by using a DSGE-VAR approach, combining both theoretical and empirical methods. We present that the DSGE approach (estimated with the Bayesian technique) and the Bayesian VAR with the Minnesota Prior both lead to worse in-sample fit than our proposed DSGE-VAR framework. The DSGE-VAR approach reveals that a positive military spending shock boosts the U.S. economy, increasing per capita real GDP growth, consumption, inflation and interest rate. Our results are robust to alternative model specifications. Future investigations such as exploring an optimal military spending policy could adopt the approach in this paper to determine the best model – empirical, theoretical, or a combination of the two.     

Kinetic responses to global terrorism: Lessons from Africa

This essay recalls the immediate and longer-term responses of the US and its allies to the events of 9/11. It contends that the die for contemporary developments in transnational terrorism was cast in the immediate aftermath of 9/11 – in particular the launching of sustained ‘anti-terrorist’ military combat operations in Afghanistan and Iraq, and more covert ‘kinetic’ operations elsewhere in the Middle East and Africa. The essay seeks specifically to expose the counter-productivity of using military operations as the primary antidote to transnational terrorism. Focusing on the African ‘laboratory’ and the spread of transnational terrorism and Islamic militancy, particularly in West and East Africa, the essay concludes that radical Islamists have mastered the ‘battle of the narrative’ and that the Western penchant for dispensing a kinetic brand of medication is feeding rather than fighting the virus of global terrorism.