美国网络空间作战能力建设

网络空间越来越被世界各国公认为是继陆地、海洋、空中和太空之后的第五个作战域,为获得和保持像其它作战域那样世界领先的军事优势,美国正在大力进行网络空间作战能力建设。提出了美国网络空间作战能力建设框架,从战略规划、作战力量、作战理论、作战训练、武器装备、战场基础环境、人才培养和作战联盟八个方面全面总结了美国近年来在网络空间作战能力建设方面的主要做法。     

Spaghetti: systems thinking and the US Army

In the mid-2000s, the United States Army was embroiled in counterinsurgency missions in Iraq and Afghanistan that required deeper understanding of local social systems. The Army turned to systems thinking and design thinking to model and understand the world, define problems, and develop approaches to strategic and operational challenges. However, the Army’s approach as expressed in publications and doctrine encourages the development of complicated, unsupported, and unfalsifiable hypotheses. The risk is that the Army will act on incorrect assumptions and develop plans that are fragile.     

Precision cyber weapon systems: An important component of a responsible national security strategy?

Given the advances made in conventional weapon capabilities, precision should by now be the accepted and expected norm in cyberspace as well. In this article I argue that developing precision cyber weapon systems, to be used during a lawful conflict, can be an important part of a responsible national security strategy to reduce the amount of violence and physical destruction in conflicts. I first describe a precision cyber weapon system in a military context. I then present three compelling rationales for the development of precision cyber weapon systems based on ethical, operational, and financial considerations. To support the position, I address several arguments that have been levied against their development. Thereafter I present several recommendations for a way ahead.     

Integrating the Services and Harnessing the Military Area Commands

ABSTRACT

The Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA) is halfway through a multi-decade modernization process. It has begun a major restructuring effort as it shifts its focus from a traditional continental defensive posture to a more maritime-oriented emphasis. In order to create more balanced joint force, it has adjusted the structure of its highest command organization, the Central Military Commission; abolished the former four General Departments and seven Military Regions; created five new joint Theater Commands and service-level commands for the Army and Rocket Force; and is reducing the size of its active duty force by 300,000 personnel. While seeking to overcome numerous internal obstacles, the PLA continues to develop and improve its capabilities to conduct integrated joint operations to deter a variety of threats to China’s sovereignty and territory and, if deterrence fails, to win informationized local war.     

战术MANET中基于多态转移策略的蚁群优化QoS路由算法

战术MANET的QoS路由计算是一个NP完全问题,可以采用蚁群优化算法来求解.为了提高蚁群优化QoS路由算法的效率,降低时延和网络开销,提出了基于多态转移策略的蚁群优化QoS路由算法(MTS-AQRA).MTS-AQRA将链路稳定性和路由拥塞度与常规的QoS路由约束条件结合起来,利用多态转移策略产生的多样化路由搜索蚁群和并行路由搜索处理,能够在MANET网络中快速地建立满足业务QoS要求的稳定路由.仿真实验结果表明,MTS-AQRA在分组到达率、端到端时延、网络吞吐量等指标上综合性能优于AODV、AntHocNet、QoS-Aware ACO等路由算法.     

新型移动式野战加油站建设与运用

针对部队加油站建设标准不一、形式多样、改造周期长、费用高、效率低、耐候性差的问题,本文在明确新型移动式野战加油站的建设意义和建设目标的基础上,对移动式野战加油站的整体可移动性、储油罐与加油装置集成以及边海防等一线连队的油料保障模式和建设标准进行了研究,从工艺流程、建设选址和建设标准等方面提出了基于集装箱方舱框架设计新型移动式野战加油站的保障运用模式。这种模式不仅可填补大容量战储装备空白,还可以为热点方向实施定点保障,为加快推进部队储加油设施建设向集约化转型、保障向战场延伸提供借鉴。     

Spatial pricing and product allocation in online retailing

Spatial pricing means a retailer price discriminates its customers based on their geographic locations. In this article, we study how an online retailer should jointly allocate multiple products and facilitate spatial price discrimination to maximize profits. When deciding between a centralized product allocation ((i.e., different products are allocated to the same fulfillment center) and decentralized product allocation (ie, different products are allocated to different fulfillment centers), the retailer faces the tradeoff between shipment pooling (ie, shipping multiple products in one package), and demand localization (ie, stocking products to satisfy local demand) based on its understanding of customers' product valuations. In our basic model, we consider two widely used spatial pricing policies: free on board (FOB) pricing that charges each customer the exact amount of shipping cost, and uniform delivered (UD) pricing that provides free shipping. We propose a stylized model and find that centralized product allocation is preferred when demand localization effect is relatively low or shipment pooling benefit is relatively high under both spatial pricing policies. Moreover, centralized product allocation is more preferred under the FOB pricing which encourages the purchase of virtual bundles of multiple products. Furthermore, we respectively extend the UD and FOB pricing policies to flat rate shipping (ie, the firm charges a constant shipping fee for each purchase), and linear rate shipping (ie, the firm sets the shipping fee as a fixed proportion of firm's actual fulfillment costs). While similar observations from the basic model still hold, we find the firm can improve its profit by sharing the fulfillment cost with its customers via the flat rate or linear rate shipping fee structure.     

强化学习框架下移动自组织网络分步路由算法

移动自组织网络是一种无基础设施、由移动通信节点组成的无线网络,具有高动态特性。传统的路由协议并不能适应节点移动性带来的频繁拓扑变化,简单的洪泛路由也会因开销过大降低网络的性能。针对如何在移动自组织网络中自适应地进行路由选择,提出强化学习框架下的分步路由选择算法。该算法以最小链路总往返时延为目标,基于强化学习进行路由搜寻,在筛选出符合目标需求节点集合的基础上,结合置信度选择路由。在链路变得不可靠时,数据包被广播给筛选出的邻居节点集以提升路由可靠性并降低开销。对提出的算法在分组到达率和路由开销等主要性能指标进行数值仿真分析。仿真结果表明,提出的分步路由算法相比于基于强化学习的智能鲁棒路由,在降低开销的同时,保持着相当的吞吐率。     

Mediation,Peacekeeping And Civil War Peace Agreements

The post-civil war agreement phase is vulnerable to credible commitment problems, a lack of government capacity to implement, and/or mutual vulnerability to retribution from violating the agreement. This study’s main contribution is to demonstrate the combined utility of mediation and UN peacekeeping. Mediation builds trust and confidence and works with the parties to design an efficacious agreement conducive to, among other features, tamping down post-agreement violence. Peacekeeping stems violence and facilitates the implementation of the agreement. Agreements that are mediated and followed by UN peacekeeping are expected to be more robust in terms of staving off violence. We report the effects of the mediation–peacekeeping interaction using a method correcting for a common misinterpretation of interaction terms. We test logit and hazard models using a sample of full and partial civil war peace agreements signed between 1975 and 2011. Controlling for agreement design, democracy, and income per capita, the results indicate mediation and its interaction with peacekeeping reduce the probability of renewed/continuing violence and have a positive impact on agreement duration. We also report brief case study evidence from the 1990s peace process in Guatemala.     

潜艇使用自航式声诱饵防御声自导鱼雷模型研究

针对潜艇如何使用自航式声诱饵防御声自导鱼雷,分析了自航式声诱饵的初始航向范围,并建立了相应的防御模型.然后采用线性规划方法,求取最优的潜艇规避角度和诱饵航向.最后时典型态势进行仿真计算,结果表明,采用该方法得出的结果与实际作战基本符合,从而验证了模型的正确性.