面向任务的有人机/无人机协同对地攻击概率模型

有人机/无人机协同对地攻击是未来空对地打击的主要作战样式,如何评估其协同作战的效能是军地双方共同面对的重要课题。首先根据完成对地攻击任务的4个环节建立了对地攻击的总概率模型;然后基于桥联模型建立了各个环节的概率模型;最后给出了一架有人机协同两架无人机对地攻击的算例,并对模型反算、协同与非协同对比以及多波次攻击等问题进行了讨论和分析,验证了模型良好可用性和广泛适用性。     

基于无阀直驱技术的坦克火炮高低向电液稳定器研究

运用无阀直驱技术设计了一种新型的坦克火炮高低向电液稳定器。论述其工作原理和特点,进行合理简化并建立系统模型,对系统进行了仿真分析。仿真结果表明,该系统具有良好的稳态和动态性能,对新型坦克火炮高低向电液稳定器设计具有实际意义。     

地形通视性算法改进

为提高地形上两点间的通视性查询效率,满足仿真系统实时性要求,对通视性算法进行改进,并将改进算法与现有算法进行试验比较,结果表明改进算法的精度和计算效率是满足仿真需要的。     

A general model of heterogeneous system lifetimes and conditions for system burn‐in

Burn‐in is a technique to enhance reliability by eliminating weak items from a population of items having heterogeneous lifetimes. System burn‐in can improve system reliability, but the conditions for system burn‐in to be performed after component burn‐in remain a little understood mathematical challenge. To derive such conditions, we first introduce a general model of heterogeneous system lifetimes, in which the component burn‐in information and assembly problems are related to the prediction of system burn‐in. Many existing system burn‐in models become special cases and two important results are identified. First, heterogeneous system lifetimes can be understood naturally as a consequence of heterogeneous component lifetimes and heterogeneous assembly quality. Second, system burn‐in is effective if assembly quality variation in the components and connections which are arranged in series is greater than a threshold, where the threshold depends on the system structure and component failure rates. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 50: 364–380, 2003.     

小口径舰炮武器系统作战效能评估模型研究

通过对小口径舰炮武器系统的分析,建立小口径舰炮武器系统作战效能评估指标体系,得到基于"串/并联"模型框架的作战效能评估A.D.C扩展模型E=A.D.C.S.通过某型小口径舰炮武器系统的实例计算验证了模型的正确性,并得出分析结论.     

云重心理论在防空兵作战能力评估中的运用

防空兵作战能力评估是一个复杂的多指标综合体系,不仅与作战编组、部署、地形和敌我战场情况的处置等因素有关,而且还包含许多随机和模糊因素。在建模分析中各指标基本评定值确定比较困难。结合防空兵作战能力评估模型,运用“云重心”理论确定了评估模型中各指标基本评定值,增强了模型的可信度和可操作性。     

Why did Sudan Lose a small war in Southern Sudan?

ABSTRACT

When on the wrong end of an asymmetry in the projection of hard power, weaker sides countenance the grim arithmetic of avoiding direct and massed confrontations. Invariably, insurgents have over the ages tended to employ indirect tactical methods to render their stronger opponents ineffective. Ultimately – interest asymmetry, regime type, asymmetries of strategy, and external intervention – combine in a complex interplay and pattern, to militate against a strong side. In Sudan, these factors interacted throughout the civil wars to produce regional autonomy and finally an independent South Sudan in 2011. Similar strategic logic had confronted many large African states battling insurgencies in Ethiopia, Angola, Nigeria, Zaire, and apartheid-era South Africa. Oftentimes, weakening public resolve has caused these governments to accommodate, capitulate or withdraw even if they try not to blink. Notwithstanding the regime type, it can be concluded that the majority of strong actors are prone to fail in a protracted, asymmetric conflict. Hence, the notion of linking victory in counterinsurgency to the degree of openness (democratic polyarchies); or closeness (totalitarianism) – is still valid but highly contestable in the case of Africa’s large dysfunctional states.     

浅谈现代远程教育对武警院校教学的深远影响

武警院校拥有丰富的教育资源,依托武警部队日益健全的内部网络系统,大力开展现代远程教育,能够更加紧密院校与部队的联系,及时了解部队的需求,制定出更加符合部队实际的课程体系,更大限度发挥现有教学资源的效益。由于远程教育具有方便快捷,受时间、空间局限小的特性,弥补了由于武警部队点多、线长、面广,分布相对分散,导致部队官兵学习时间不固定、人员难以集中等不便的问题,为武警部队官兵获取文化知识,学习科学技术提供了新的途径。     

战场环境地形编辑器系统设计与实现

作战仿真中,地形地物对战争进程发挥着重要影响。设计并实现了战场环境地形编辑器系统,该系统利用规整网格存储高程数据,确保了动态编辑地形的实时性,并使用CLOD地形渲染方法提高绘制性能。在此基础上,对堑壕、铁丝网、三角锥、雷场、碉堡等常见战场要素的特点进行分析,将它们分为点状地物、线状地物和面状地物;最后,对每类地物分别设计不同的生成算法。实验结果证明了算法的有效性。     

复合陶瓷含片状夹杂共晶体的理论断裂强度

应用四相模型法研究含片状夹杂复合共晶体的细观应力场．在基体、界面相和片状夹杂为各向同性的条件下,得到细观应力分布规律,并表现出明显的尺度效应．应用位错塞积理论研究片状夹杂内的位错运动,通过两相界面处位错塞积产生的应力集中确定其在基体内产生的最大张应力,导致基体首先被破坏失效,当基体内最大张应力等于分子理论的断裂强度时,得到共晶体断裂强度的理论表达式．结果表明：含片状夹杂共晶复合陶瓷强度随夹杂厚度增加而减小．