Autocracies and Economic Sanctions: The Divergent Impact of Authoritarian Regime Type on Sanctions Success

There is some consensus in the literature that economic sanctions targeting authoritarian regimes are less effective than those against democratic regimes. This line of research, however, assumes that autocratic regimes are monolithic and that they have similar capacities to resist foreign pressure. This study argues that the success rate of sanctions against dictatorships is contingent on institutional differences across different types of autocracies. I develop a theoretical model indicating that single-party and military regimes are less likely to concede to foreign pressure compared to democracies. This is because they effectively use various repressive tactics and positive inducements to endure the costs of the coercion. Sanctions against personalist regimes, on the other hand, are likely to be as effective as sanctions directed at democracies. Personalist regimes might be inclined to acquiesce to foreign pressure due to their lack of strong institutional capacity to weather the costs of the sanctions. Results from the selection-corrected models show that sanctions against military or single-party regimes are less likely to induce concessions relative to democratic target regimes. The findings also indicate that there is no significant difference in the success rate of sanctions against personalist regimes and democratic governments.     

基于分数阶傅立叶变换的ARM检测技术

分数阶傅立叶变换(FRFT)是傅立叶变换的广义形式,对线性调频(LFM)信号具有很好的能量积累作用.针对反辐射导弹(ARM)雷达回波信号的线性调频特性,提出了一种基于FRFT的反辐射导弹检测方法,并根据ARM信号的调频特性将FRFF局域化,缩小了峰值搜索区域,提高了检测效率.仿真实验表明该方法能够在高斯、非高斯分布杂波环境下有效地检测ARM信号.     

Gold序列跳变扩频在毫米波敌我识别系统中的应用

在毫米波敌我识别系统中,识别信息在低频部分经过数字信号处理后,进行扩频调制后由微波收发信机进行传输。介绍了毫米波敌我识别系统中采用扩频调制设计原则和跳变Gold码扩频序列的设计方法,分析了扩频抗截收/截获的能力,并给出了一种用STEL2000-A芯片产生Gold序列进行跳变扩频调制的具体实现实例。     

Analysis of decentralized multi‐product pull systems with lost sales

We study a pull‐type, flexible, multi‐product, and multi‐stage production/inventory system with decentralized two‐card kanban control policies. Each stage involves a processor and two buffers with finite target levels. Production stages, arranged in series, can process several product types one at a time. Transportation of semi‐finished parts from one stage to another is performed in fixed lot sizes. The exact analysis is mathematically intractable even for smaller systems. We present a robust approximation algorithm to model two‐card kanban systems with batch transfers under arbitrary complexity. The algorithm uses phase‐type modeling to find effective processing times and busy period analysis to identify delays among product types in resource contention. Our algorithm reduces the effort required for estimating performance measures by a considerable margin and resolves the state–space explosion problem of analytical approaches. Using this analytical tool, we present new findings for a better understanding of some tactical and operational issues. We show that flow of material in small procurement sizes smoothes flow of information within the system, but also necessitates more frequent shipments between stages, raising the risk of late delivery. Balancing the risk of information delays vis‐à‐vis shipment delays is critical for the success of two‐card kanban systems. Although product variety causes time wasted in setup operations, it also facilitates relatively short production cycles enabling processors to switch from one product type to another more rapidly. The latter point is crucial especially in high‐demand environments. Increasing production line size prevents quick response to customer demand, but it may improve system performance if the vendor lead‐time is long or subject to high variation. Finally, variability in transportation and processing times causes the most damage if it arises at stages closer to the customer. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

九小场所消防安全现状与对策

“九小场所”引发火灾数量占火灾总数的比例大,且有逐年上升趋势,治理“九小场所”消防安全势在必行。以家庭式小作坊为例,通过调查研究,阐述了“九小场所”的消防安全现状,分析了“九小场所”的形成原因,提出了整治九小场所的对策。     

北斗全球系统导航信号恒包络调制和复用技术

出于以导频通道为代表的北斗全球导航卫星系统现代化信号结构升级以及后向兼容的需求,北斗系统近几年提出了多种新型恒包络调制和复用技术,包括适用于北斗系统B1频点的正交复用二进制偏移载波(QMBOC)调制和非对称双正交相移键控(ADualQPSK)调制,适用于B2频点的时分复用AltBOC(TDAlt BOC)调制与非对称恒包络二进制偏移载波(ACE-BOC)调制,适用于B3频点的双正交相移键控(DualQPSK)调制,适用于双边带任意信号路数、任意功率配比的广义恒包络二进制偏移载波(GCE-BOC)调制。本文系统性地论述了北斗全球系统中提出的多种新型恒包络调制和复用技术,在此基础上基于GCEBOC调制总结出了一种恒包络调制的统一解析表示形式,对全面理解北斗全球系统信号设计思路及在此基础上发展设计新型的恒包络调制和复用技术均能提供重要的借鉴。     

正弦波调制的光纤环本征频率测量方法

为了弥补传统光纤环本征频率测量方法中方波调制存在死区的缺陷,提出正弦波调制的本征频率测量方法。对正弦波调制下的光纤陀螺输出信号进行分析,得到二次谐波幅度与调制频率间的二次函数关系,通过计算抛物线顶点即可求得本征频率。依据该原理对已有的光纤陀螺进行升级改造,研制了一套本征频率测量系统。试验结果表明:该方法可达到1×10-5的测量精度,是一种成本低、精度高的光纤环本征频率测量方法。     

新型防空警戒雷达训练

在防空兵警戒雷达专业传统训练方法的基础上,结合新型警戒雷达技术体制特点,对新型警戒雷达训练进行的一系列探索,对于防空部队作战能力的提升起到了重要的推动作用。     

正交频分复用/偏移正交振幅调制半盲信道估计

非合作通信背景下,针对传统干扰近似法(IAM)进行正交频分复用(OFDM)/偏移正交振幅调制(OQAM)系统信道估计需要导频符号值作为先验信息的问题,提出一种基于OQAM符号特征的IAM(OCBIAM)估计算法。该算法利用IAM导频结构和OQAM实符号的有限集特征,将信道衰落系数幅度和相位分开估计,在仅获得导频位置而未知导频符号值的条件下实现了OFDM/OQAM系统半盲信道估计。并且证明了OCB-IAM算法由于利用接收符号的二阶统计量将高斯白噪声变为非随机的单音干扰,从而在中低信噪比条件下具有优于IAM算法的估计性能。仿真实验验证了理论推导的正确性和OCB-IAM算法的可靠性。     

基于AM-LFM和IRT的旋转微动目标成像算法

在雷达成像中,基于CS的方法因其压缩采样的特性而在高分辨雷达成像中得到广泛应用。然而由于其是一种基于参数化的成像方法,对观测位置误差特别敏感。在实际中,一般无法知道精确的观测位置。观测位置的误差会造成成像结果位置的偏离、散焦以及无法聚焦。针对基于压缩感知的成像算法存在的观测位置依赖性问题,提出了一种基于调幅-线性调频(AM-LFM)分解和逆Radon变换(IRT)的微动目标成像算法。该方法根据分解后信号调频率分离目标微动信号与主体信号,再进行IRT成像。仿真及实验结果验证了算法的可行性和有效性。