An approximate dynamic programing approach to the development of heuristics for the scheduling of impatient jobs in a clearing system

A single server is faced with a collection of jobs of varying duration and urgency. Each job has a random lifetime during which it is available for nonpreemptive service. Should a job's lifetime expire before its service begins then it is lost from the system unserved. The goal is to schedule the jobs for service to maximize the expected number served to completion. Two heuristics have been proposed in the literature. One (labeled π^S) operates a static priority among the job classes and works well in a “no premature job loss” limit, whereas the second (π^M) is a myopic heuristic which works well when lifetimes are short. Both can exhibit poor performance for problems at some distance from the regimes for which they were designed. We develop a robustly good heuristic by an approximative approach to the application of a policy improvement step to the asymptotically optimal heuristic π^S, in which we use a fluid model to obtain an approximation for the value function of π^S. The performance of the proposed heuristic is investigated in an extensive numerical study. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 2010     

惯导速度信息辅助的被动雷达导引头量测误差抑制方法

针对被动雷达导引头由于受空间限制测角精度不高的问题,提出了一种基于弹目信息状态变量的扩展卡尔曼滤波方法。通过弹目信息状态变量(弹目距离、弹目视线方位角、弹目视线俯仰角)描述弹目相对位置信息,利用惯导速度信息构建基于弹目信息状态变量变化率的弹目相对运动模型。所提方法充分利用信息资源,抑制导引头量测随机误差,对于提高导弹的打击精度和攻击效果,具有重要的实际应用价值,仿真试验证明该算法的有效性。     

A non‐linear defence‐growth nexus? evidence from the US economy

The defense‐growth nexus is investigated empirically using time series data for the US and allowing the effect of defense spending on growth to be non‐linear. Using recently developed econometric methods involving threshold regressions, evidence of a level‐dependent effect of military expenditure on GDP growth is found: the positive externality effect of defense spending prevails for relatively lower levels of defense spending (with respect to the history of defense spending in the US) and reverts its influence for higher levels.     

平流层飞艇飞行模态分析

平流层飞艇的总体布局、升空原理和工作模式明显不同于导弹、飞机等传统飞行器,其动力学特性亦不同于上述飞行器,须深入研究其飞行动力学的基本特性、一般规律和内在机理。针对此问题,系统研究了平流层飞艇的飞行模态。采用小扰动方法推导了平流层飞艇的线性运动方程,将其解耦分组为纵向运动方程和横侧向运动方程;定义模态及模态参数,研究平流层飞艇的模态分析方法;通过计算分析状态方程的特征值和特征向量,研究了平流层飞艇的飞行模态。结果表明:纵向运动由浮沉、浪涌和摆动三种模态叠加而成,横侧向运动由偏航衰减、侧滑衰减和滚转振荡三种模态叠加而成。     

时间距离像消隐时弹头进动与结构参数估计

考虑弹道目标时间距离像存在消隐现象,提出了一种弹道目标微距离变化曲线断续时进动与结构参数提取方法。首先,建立了弹道中段目标宽带回波模型,推导了散射中心微距离变化曲线理论公式;其次,提取了时间距离像中各散射中心的微距离变化曲线,据此提出采用选点方法实现目标进动频率和平动参数联合估计,完成了弹道目标时间距离像的平动补偿;最后,利用扩展Hough变换方法进行补偿后断续微距离变化曲线的检测,基于各散射中心间的相对位置信息实现了弹道目标的结构参数提取。电磁仿真实验验证了该方法的有效性。     

基于图像对比度最优的频率步进ISAR成像方法

在频率步进高分辨ISAR成像中,目标的径向运动会带来距离多普勒耦合,从而对ISAR图像有较大的影响。提出了一种基于图像对比度最优的运动参数估计方法。该法分析了径向速度和径向加速度对多普勒像对比度函数的影响。通过构造相位补偿因子,在多普勒像中基于多普勒像对比度最优估计径向加速度。在径向加速度补偿后,在距离像中基于距离像对比度最优估计径向速度。进行运动补偿,利用RD算法实现了目标的高分辨ISAR成像。该方法具有运动参数估计精度高和计算量小的优点。仿真结果验证了方法的有效性。     

SAR微动目标的稀疏贝叶斯成像方法

SAR微动信息能够反映出目标的属性信息,其微动图像可作为雷达目标识别的一种重要手段。基于SAR微动目标回波的稀疏特性,建立了在过完备词典下的稀疏表示模型,提出一种新的稀疏贝叶斯重构方法——方差成分扩张压缩,该方法仅赋予有重要意义的信号元素不同的方差分量,拥有更少的参数。仿真结果表明,方差成分扩张压缩方法能较精确地估计出SAR目标微动参数,同时能够获得低信噪比条件下较好的微动目标像。     

BP神经网络在极移预报中的应用

为了提高地球定向参数极移的预报精度,建立了一个极移数据预报模型。利用傅里叶分析研究插值基础序列的周期特性,验证了基础序列重采样的可行性,提取插值基础序列数据的趋势项,利用多输入-单输出反向传播(Back Propagation,BP)神经网络建模预报不同跨度的残差序列,合并趋势项和残差序列得到最终的极移预报。预报结果表明,选取合适的插值基础序列得到的预报极移精度较高,此BP神经网络能够有效地应用于地球定向参数极移的预报。     

Changing the paradigm: Simulation,now a method of first resort

Decades ago, simulation was famously characterized as a “method of last resort,” to which analysts should turn only “when all else fails.” In those intervening decades, the technologies supporting simulation—computing hardware, simulation‐modeling paradigms, simulation software, design‐and‐analysis methods—have all advanced dramatically. We offer an updated view that simulation is now a very appealing option for modeling and analysis. When applied properly, simulation can provide fully as much insight, with as much precision as desired, as can exact analytical methods that are based on more restrictive assumptions. The fundamental advantage of simulation is that it can tolerate far less restrictive modeling assumptions, leading to an underlying model that is more reflective of reality and thus more valid, leading to better decisions. Published 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 293–303, 2015     

基于BP神经网络的极移预报*

为了提高地球定向参数极移的预报精度,建立了一个极移数据预报模型。利用傅里叶分析研究插值基础序列的周期特性,验证了基础序列重采样的可行性,提取插值基础序列数据的趋势项,利用多输入-单输出BP神经网络建模预报不同跨度的残差序列,合并趋势项和残差序列得到最终的极移预报。预报结果表明,选取合适的插值基础序列得到的预报极移精度较高,此BP神经网络能够有效地应用于地球定向参数极移的预报。