火力分配环协同度的编队反导决策优化

舰艇编队协同反导决策是一个多阶段多目标的决策系统,依据模糊权距离和隶属度概念,考虑系统中各阶段的协同关系,提出基于火力分配环协同度的概念,将模糊优选理论与动态规划原理有机地结合起来,寻求基于舰艇编队协同反导的多阶段多目标优化的最优均衡策略,并应用于解决舰艇编队协同反导决策的优化中,得出了具有指导意义的结论。     

两栖作战舰机协同防空指挥协同网与指挥关系网

为了解决提高航母编队防空作战效能的问题,运用决策树方法分析航母编队防空作战指挥网是一种新方法。先分析航母编队的指挥机构,分析决策群指、作战平台与任务之间的关系。描述了编队协同网和编队指挥关系网,建立了编队指挥关系网的数学模型,采用决策树方法求解该数学模型,给出了编队指挥关系网的设计算法,通过实例分析了算法的计算过程,对结果进行输出。结论:预警机与远程巡逻机战术群是指挥关系网的最高决策点。这些工作为设计和优化航母编队舰机协同防空作战指挥网提供了一定的理论基础。     

Pragmatism over principle: US intervention and burden shifting in Somalia, 1992–1993

ABSTRACT

The conventional wisdom about the 1992 US intervention in Somalia is that it was a quintessentially humanitarian mission pushed by President George H. W. Bush. This article challenges that interpretation, drawing on newly declassified documents. The Somalia intervention, I argue, was largely a pragmatic response to concerns held by the US military. In late 1992, as the small UN mission in Somalia was collapsing, senior American generals worried about being drawn into the resulting vacuum. Hence they reluctantly recommended a robust US intervention, in the expectation that this would allow the UN to assemble a larger peacekeeping force that would take over within months. The intervention ultimately failed, but the military learned useful lessons from this experience on how to achieve smoother UN handoffs in the future and thus effectively shift longer-term stabilisation burdens to the international community.     

Peacetime military innovation through inter-service cooperation: The unique case of the U.S. Air Force and Battlefield Air Interdiction

ABSTRACT

Military doctrine assures a nation’s survival. Yet even when faced with a security threat that requires change, militaries rarely innovate but instead adhere to old doctrines that enhance autonomy, reduce uncertainty and claim resources. Existing theories cannot explain an important case of peacetime military innovation when the U.S. Air Force adopted Battlefield Air Interdiction to support the Army’s AirLand Battle doctrine. A revised theory of peacetime military innovation through inter-service cooperation resulting from external and internal threats explains not only why innovation occurred with Battlefield Air Interdiction but also why such successful cases are so rare.