基于粗糙集理论的加权排序法及其应用

针对粗糙集理论在有限个方案的多目标决策问题应用中存在的缺陷,提出了一种新的加权排序法,该方法既吸取了粗糙集约简属性的优点,又考虑到了各属性间的相对重要性,使得决策过程更符合实际情况.最后给出了该种排序法在武器装备系统论证中的应用,取得了较好的效果.     

基于满意决策的多UAV协同目标分配方法

目标分配是UAV自主控制的重要问题。提出了基于满意决策的多UAV协同的目标分配技术,为解决多UAV协同的目标分配问题和多机场起飞的UAV编队配置问题提供了一种新颖而有效的方法。重点对其中的满意集计算、联合满意度、拒绝度和选择度的建立和计算等关键问题进行了讨论。以压制敌防空火力任务为背景对该方法进行了仿真,并将本文提出的方法和其他方法做了比较,仿真结果表明基于满意决策的多UAV协同的目标分配方法在效率上有明显优势。     

On parallel machine replacement problems with general replacement cost functions and stochastic deterioration

The parallel machine replacement problem consists of finding a minimum cost replacement policy for a finite population of economically interdependent machines. In this paper, we formulate a stochastic version of the problem and analyze the structure of optimal policies under general classes of replacement cost functions. We prove that for problems with arbitrary cost functions, there can be optimal policies where a machine is replaced only if all machines in worse states are replaced (Worse Cluster Replacement Rule). We then show that, for problems with replacement cost functions exhibiting nonincreasing marginal costs, there are optimal policies such that, in any stage, machines in the same state are either all kept or all replaced (No‐Splitting Rule). We also present an example that shows that economies of scale in replacement costs do not guarantee optimal policies that satisfy the No‐Splitting Rule. These results lead to the fundamental insight that replacement decisions are driven by marginal costs, and not by economies of scale as suggested in the literature. Finally, we describe how the optimal policy structure, i.e., the No‐Splitting and Worse Cluster Replacement Rules, can be used to reduce the computational effort required to obtain optimal replacement policies. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2005     

Approximating nondominated sets in continuous multiobjective optimization problems

Many important problems in Operations Research and Statistics require the computation of nondominated (or Pareto or efficient) sets. This task may be currently undertaken efficiently for discrete sets of alternatives or for continuous sets under special and fairly tight structural conditions. Under more general continuous settings, parametric characterisations of the nondominated set, for example through convex combinations of the objective functions or ε‐constrained problems, or discretizations‐based approaches, pose several problems. In this paper, the lack of a general approach to approximate the nondominated set in continuous multiobjective problems is addressed. Our simulation‐based procedure only requires to sample from the set of alternatives and check whether an alternative dominates another. Stopping rules, efficient sampling schemes, and procedures to check for dominance are proposed. A continuous approximation to the nondominated set is obtained by fitting a surface through the points of a discrete approximation, using a local (robust) regression method. Other actions like clustering and projecting points onto the frontier are required in nonconvex feasible regions and nonconnected Pareto sets. In a sense, our method may be seen as an evolutionary algorithm with a variable population size. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2005.     

基于信息折合的CMSR方法研究

计数法和计量法是对产品可靠性评估的两种不同方法。通过仿真,比较了它们对正态单元双边可靠性评估的效率,发现对可靠性要求很高的产品,计量法优于计数法。进一步研究了基于信息析合的CMSR方法,通过仿真检验,证明了此种方法在样本量较小时是实用的。     

一种发动机万有特性曲面拟合的新方法

通过分析发动机实测试验数据,提出了燃油消耗率同转速和扭矩之间存在类似幂指函数的关系,运用多元回归的方法对发动机的万有特性曲面进行了拟合,对拟合结果用数理统计的方法进行了检验,最后指出对发动机万有特性曲面的拟合采用分段函数进行数值计算,将得到更为精确的结果。     

浅析新疆产业结构的调整对农村人力资源开发的影响

一个地区的产业结构演变决定其就业分布及变动。新疆产业结构长期的不均衡,引致其就业形势日趋严峻,针对这一情况,文章提出了产业结构调整的思路与政府宏观决策的取向。     

一种新的导弹发射技术辅助决策系统架构

导弹武器系统特有的作战特点,以及专家知识的不完备性,使得传统的辅助决策系统难以在短时间内作出准确、有效的决策。因此,提出一种新的导弹发射技术辅助决策系统的总体结构及实现相应功能的模型,即采用BP神经网络-遗传算法(GA)实现辅助决策,基于有向图实现故障诊断,通过决策融合生成图形决策方案,缩短了决策时间,提高了决策的有效性。     

空间预警系统建立导弹目标优先级的多属性决策

空间预警系统在多传感器多目标的情况下需要传感器调度,而建立目标优先级是有效进行传感器调度的第一步。由星载传感器所得图像对目标特征进行估计具有很大的不确定性,直接影响到导弹目标优先级的建立。首先通过作战分析确定出导弹目标的主要属性,采用层次分析法评价属性的权重,然后在不确定的条件下对属性求期望值,使用3种多属性决策方法评价导弹目标的威胁程度,最后取期望值作为导弹目标的威胁评价。正交实验结果表明算法具有很强的实时性和实用性。     

末段高层反导装备PHM多socket仿真分析

详细分析了独立于LRU的PHM方法和基于故障征兆预测的PHM方法的预测原理。利用LRU和PHM的MTBF概率分布和socket的全寿命周期费用建立仿真模型,介绍模型仿真方法与详细过程。研究了末段高层反导武器系统单socket全寿命周期费用与安全极限和预测距离的关系。引入同步时间的概念,利用单socket模型的方法优化多socket组成的系统。模型仿真结果更贴近末段高层反导装备实际,比单socket模型更有应用价值。