Is the Indian Nuclear Tiger Changing Its Stripes?

Sixteen years after stepping out of the nuclear closet, India's nuclear posture, some of its operational practices, and hardware developments are beginning to mimic those of the original five nuclear weapon states. Several proliferation scholars in the United States contend that India's national security managers are poised to repeat the worst mistakes of the superpowers’ Cold War nuclear competition, with negative consequences for deterrence, crisis, and stability in South Asia and the Asia-Pacific region. This article takes a contrarian view. It dissects the best available data to show why the alarmist view is overstated. It argues that not only are the alarmists’ claims unsupported by evidence, their interpretation of the skeletal and often contradictory data threatens to construct the very threat they prophesize.     

脉冲微分方程边值问题的全局分支与多解性

研究非线性脉冲微分方程边值问题,应用分歧技巧,得到非线性脉冲微分方程边值问题多个解的存在性结果.     

基于改进IMM-UKF的弹道导弹再入段跟踪数据滤波

针对弹道系数未知的弹道导弹再入段跟踪雷达测量数据滤波这类非线性强的滤波问题,提出可变多模型无迹卡尔曼滤波算法。利用无迹卡尔曼滤波逼近精度高,计算量小,适应于任意非线性模型的特点,将其作为多模型的基本滤波器;滤波算法根据各模型正确描述目标状态的概率,动态地改变多模型数量和模型参数。上述方法的综合运用,提高对目标状态估计精度,降低了计算的复杂度,仿真实验验证了方法的有效性。     

不确定条件下编队协同作战空中目标威胁评估

针对决策环境的不确定性,对不确定条件下舰艇编队协同作战的空中目标威胁评估过程进行了深入研究;在此基础上,根据舰艇编队协同决策的特点,综合运用风险型多属性决策理论,建立了满足不同决策层的舰艇目标威胁评估模型和编队目标威胁评估模型,从而提出了不确定条件下编队协同作战的空中目标威胁评估方法。最后,通过实例说明了所提方法的有效性。     

Reduction of global effects on vehicles after IED detonations

Global effects caused by the detonation of an IED near a military vehicle induce subsequent severe acceleration effects on the vehicle occupants. Two concepts to minimize these global effects were developed, with the help of a combined method based on a scaled experimental technology and numerical simulations. The first concept consists in the optimization of the vehicle shape to reduce the momentum transfer and thus the occupant loading. Three scaled V-shaped vehicles with different ground clearances were built and compared to a reference vehicle equipped with a flat floor. The second concept, called dynamic impulse compensation (DIC), is based on a momentum compensation technique. The principal possibility of this concept was demonstrated on a scaled vehicle. In addition, the numerical simulations have been performed with generic full size vehicles including dummy models, proving the capability of the DIC technology to reduce the occupant loading.     

Development programs for one‐shot systems using multiple‐state design reliability models

Design reliability at the beginning of a product development program is typically low, and development costs can account for a large proportion of total product cost. We consider how to conduct development programs (series of tests and redesigns) for one‐shot systems (which are destroyed at first use or during testing). In rough terms, our aim is to both achieve high final design reliability and spend as little of a fixed budget as possible on development. We employ multiple‐state reliability models. Dynamic programming is used to identify a best test‐and‐redesign strategy and is shown to be presently computationally feasible for at least 5‐state models. Our analysis is flexible enough to allow for the accelerated stress testing needed in the case of ultra‐high reliability requirements, where testing otherwise provides little information on design reliability change. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004     

导弹飞行试验多目标信息管理与显示

通过对大型海上试验中多目标试验信息管理与显示方法进行分析研究,对大型飞行试验中如何方便、科学、合理地管理多目标试验信息进行了充分的论证,提出了解决多目标试验信息管理与显示的设计思路,阐述了大型试验中多目标试验显示的要求、内容和实现方法,介绍了相关数学模型,其中重点对目标航迹信息管理的设计和显示进行了详细阐述。     

DSSS时变窄带干扰抑制算法研究

在传统非线性最小二乘(NLS)算法的基础上,提出一种基于线谱估计的直接序列扩频(DSSS)系统抑制窄带干扰(NBI)的方法。该算法首先通过对基于正弦波叠加模型的NBI进行频率估计,再利用最小二乘准则进行自适应滤波,恢复出干扰信号包络,从而利用干扰对消器将其从观测数据中消除。仿真验证表明,本算法相对于传统的最小均方误差(LMS)算法、自适应频域陷波法,能较好地抑制时变音频NBI模型的干扰,且信息量损失较小。     

各向异性介质体目标电磁散射分析的快速算法

利用体积分方程矩量法(MoM)及其多层快速多级子算法(MLFMA)研究了各向异性的电介质体或/和磁介质体目标的电磁散射问题,将多层快速多级子算法的计算结果与解析方法(Mie)或矩量法结果进行了对比分析.不但验证了MLFMA算法的高效性和精确性,同时该算法还适合于分析模拟任意复杂介质体(如各向异性磁化等离子体)目标的电磁散射问题,为进一步实现电大尺寸的任意复杂各向异性介质体/金属组合目标电磁散射分析的精确高效算法奠定了基础.     

一类多时滞泛函微分方程周期正解的存在性

利用非线性泛函分析中半序Banach空间的锥理论和不动点指数方法,讨论了一类多时滞泛函微分方程周期正解的存在性问题,并得到此类多时滞泛函微分方程周期正解存在的几个充分条件。