地球模型偏差对远程弹箭弹道仿真的影响及修正

针对地球模型精确度影响远程弹箭弹道仿真的问题,分析了地球模型偏差对弹道仿真精度的影响并加以修正。采用总的地球椭球系,在已有弹道模型的基础上,分析了垂线偏差的产生机理及其对定向定位参数的影响,并由此得出弹道几何偏移随定向偏差的变化规律,研究了引力加速度初值偏差对弹道的误差累积,并对由水准面不平行性造成的实际落点高差进行了理论推导。对比仿真算例表明,考虑地球模型偏差影响的仿真结果与不考虑的情况下差别较明显,在远程条件下对弹道仿真精度的影响不容忽视。     

基于辐射能量分析的网络拓扑结构探测

在战场环境中,探测出敌方网络拓扑结构,为寻找网络最佳攻击点奠定了基础,具有重要意义。在研究数据链组网原理的基础上,研究了多址接入方式的探测方法,并提出了基于辐射能量分析的网络拓扑结构探测新方法。该方法通过对信号进行时频分析并结合互联关系矩阵来进行网络拓扑结构判断,仿真结果表明该方法可以有效地判断出敌方的网络拓扑结构和多址接入方式。     

航母综合作战区警戒兵力对潜警戒能力及配置

在定量分析综合作战区航母受敌潜艇威胁、警戒兵力对潜警戒能力的基础上,依据航母综合作战区警戒兵力配置的基本原则,提出了航母综合作战区对潜警戒兵力配置的方法,可为反潜作战指挥员优化航母综合作战区对潜警戒兵力的配置提供决策支持与参考。     

Pricing and inventory management during new product introduction when shortage creates hype

In this study, we analyze the joint pricing and inventory management during new product introduction when product shortage creates additional demand due to hype. We develop a two‐period model in which a firm launches its product at the beginning of the first period, before it observes sales in the two periods. The product is successful with an exogenous probability, or unsuccessful with the complementary probability. The hype in the second period is observed only when the product is successful. The firm learns the actual status of the product only after observing the first‐period demand. The firm must decide the stocking level and price of the product jointly at the beginning of each of the two periods. In this article, we derive some structural properties of the optimal prices and inventory levels, and show that (i) firms do not always exploit hype, (ii) firms do not always increase the price of a successful product in the second period, (iii) firms may price out an unsuccessful product in the first period if the success probability is above a threshold, and (iv) such a threshold probability is decreasing in the first‐period market potential of the successful product. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 304–320, 2015     

基于CFP模型的装备系统能力开发方法

基于系统能力的装备系统开发能够使装备发展更好地适应未来战争。首先建立系统能力-功能-性能(简称CFP)概念模型,进一步定性分析系统能力与性能参数之间的映射关系。然后提出了在n维参数空间进行影射关系函数轨迹拟合的方法,定量地描述系统能力与性能参数之间的映射关系,建立CFP模型。最后以简例演示基于CFP模型进行定量系统能力开发的方法。     

基于粒子群算法维修保障单元优化配置

针对维修保障单元配置过程中需权衡综合多因素问题,提出了一种基于粒子群算法的维修保障单元优化配置决策模型和方法。首先,以维修任务完成概率为设计目标、以维修保障单元总数量为约束,建立维修保障单元配置决策模型;其次,运用粒子群算法对维修保障单元配置问题进行优化求解。通过具体实例分析,证明了该方法的正确性和有效性。     

基于灰色聚类的多机种保障装备保障能力评估

随着多机种作战成为空军作战的主要方式,对地面保障装备的保障能力提出了更高的要求,保障能力的好坏直接关系到作战任务的完成与否。通过对多机种保障任务进行分析,建立了多机种保障装备保障能力评估指标体系,采用层次分析法确定了各指标的权重,运用灰色聚类的评估方法对多机种保障装备的保障能力进行了评估,并结合实例,验证了该方法的有效性,为保障能力的提升提供了参考依据。     

基于恒虚警的多卫星信号快速盲检测算法?

在分析实际盲卫星通信信号的基础上,提出了一种对不重叠多卫星信号数量、中心频率进行实时估计的快速盲检测算法。算法基于恒虚警率准确地估计了噪声的统计特性进而设置了信噪分离的门限,并根据卫星通信信号的实际带宽特性实现了盲信号的检测。仿真结果表明,算法能够在较低的信噪比下实现对多卫星信号的快速准确盲检测,且与其他算法相比,该算法准确率高、通用性强,更能满足实际工程的需要。     

Coordinated replenishments from multiple suppliers with price discounts

In this study we present an integer programming model for determining an optimal inbound consolidation strategy for a purchasing manager who receives items from several suppliers. The model considers multiple suppliers with limited capacity, transportation economies, and quantity discounts. We propose an integrated branch and bound procedure for solving the model. This procedure, applied to a Lagrangean dual at every node of the search tree, combines the subgradient method with a primal heuristic that interact to change the Lagrangean multipliers and tighten the upper and lower bounds. An enhancement to the branch and bound procedure is developed using surrogate constraints, which is found to be beneficial for solving large problems. We report computational results for a variety of problems, with as many as 70,200 variables and 3665 constraints. Computational testing indicates that our procedure is significantly faster than the general purpose integer programming code OSL. A regression analysis is performed to determine the most significant parameters of our model. © 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 45: 579–598, 1998     

基于模糊综合评判法的敌空袭主攻方向预测研究

针对主攻方向预测的主要特点,运用模糊理论探索解决其主观推理、决策问题。应用隶属函数及变权重模糊综合评判方法分析,建立了评估模型,得到了类似人主观判断的结果,最后通过示例说明应用模糊综合评判法预测主攻方向的可行性。