基于RBF网络加速模型的可靠性评估

在可靠性加速试验中,由于各种不同的应力引起的失效机理不一样,不同应力之间可能还存在着相互耦合作用,要将它们和寿命结合,找出一个能真实描述客观情况的加速模型是相当困难的,仅仅依据有限的试验数据建立产品的加速模型存在很大难度和风险,为此提出了一种基于RBF网络加速模型的可靠性评估方法．该方法将加速寿命试验中的加速应力和可靠度作为训练网络的输入向量,相应的时间作为目标向量对网络进行训练,根据网络收敛速和误差精度等情况调整隐含层单元个数,直至得到最优的网络．最后,以实例说明了该方法的有效性和实用性．     

某型炮射导弹工况射击时目标丢失现象分析

某型炮射导弹在定型试验期间出现瞄准线跳动、工作指示灯反复熄灭、目标丢失的现象,致使炮射导弹无法正常工作.造成制导火控系统工况转换的原因较多,为了快速查明该故障原因,利用模糊综合评判方法,较为准确地实现故障定位,通过后续试验数据结果证明,该方法有效可靠,对炮射导弹定型试验期间故障诊断具有积极的参考价值.     

基于无维修使用期的计算机可靠性分析与评估

针对当前MTBF在计算机中可靠性设计分析和验证方法的不足,基于无维修使用期这一新型指标,构建了计算机新型可靠性分析和评估方法。首先,基于MFOP提出了高可靠计算机的故障模式影响分析方法,在故障模式影响分析中引入了通用和专用设计两个模块,并对故障率重新定义。其次,针对MFOP指标,提出了基于步降应力加速试验的非参数可靠性评估方法。最后,通过试验仿真对试验评估方法进行了验证,仿真结果表明该试验方法准确高效,能满足可靠性评估的需求。     

基于标杆技术比较的靶场软件界面试验技术研究

根据靶场软件试验不同于第三方软件测评方进行软件界面"易用性、好用性"试验评价的需求,从质量管理对设计开发的验证和确认要求、工程与技术的关系、用户3种需求的关系,分析了基于工程标准检查表方法和用户测试方法用于靶场软件界面试验的不足,提出了基于标杆技术比较的靶场软件界面试验技术,并应用该方法对典型GUI图形用户软件界面进行了试验评价,给出了改进人机界面设计的对策。基于标杆技术比较的靶场软件界面试验技术可用于指导靶场开展软件界面试验,提高靶场作战试验能力。     

A Nonlinear Model of Military Expenditure Convergence: Evidence From Estar Nonlinear Unit Root Test

The paper builds a model to empirically test military expenditure convergence in a nonlinear set up. We assert that country A chooses a military strategy of catching up with the military expenditure of its rivals, subject to public spending constraints on public investments, including health and education, leading to decrease in long-term economic welfare. This implies nonlinear convergence path: only when the military expenditure gap between countries reaches the threshold level, will it provide incentives to catch up with rival’s military expenditures. We test this nonlinear catching up hypothesis for 37 countries spanning from 1988 to 2012. Results from individual nonlinear cross-sectionally augmented Dickey–Fuller (NCADF) regression indicate that 53% of countries converge to world’s average military expenditure: where 39% of countries converge to Germany; 33% of countries converge to China; 22% of countries converge to the USA, and 11% of countries converge to Russia. Interestingly, USA does not exhibit nonlinear military expenditure convergence toward world’s average level. For panel NCADF regression, the result suggests that on average, there is evidence for countries converging to USA’s military expenditure at 10% significance level. For the convergence to the world’s average, the statistical significance is at the 1% significance level.     

远距离支援压制干扰实施及结果评定方法

远距离支援干扰在现代战争中发挥着重要的作用。为分析远距离支援干扰实施及对被试雷达性能影响,首先根据中心极限定理,推导了靶场试验中检飞航次数的数学模型,然后研究了基于干信比的干扰机飞行航路设计原则,最后通过仿真分析,给出了试验样本数与发现概率和置信区间的关系,讨论了不同航路点上到达被试雷达的干信比和对被试雷达性能的影响,解决了靶场抗干扰试验中试验样本数及试验航路设计等方面问题。     

基于WindowsXP+RTX的模拟测试系统开发

采用建模仿真技术、半实物仿真技术和WindowsXP+RTX技术开发研制的模拟测试系统,用于在复杂试验条件下,对舰炮武器系统及组成设备进行检验评估,是一种充分检验舰炮武器系统性能的技术途径和试验方法,目前该系统已成功应用于舰炮武器系统工程实践中。     

Tests for homogeneity of distributions of component lifetimes from system lifetime data with known system signatures

In this article, we discuss the problem of testing the homogeneity of distributions of component lifetimes based on system lifetime data when the system signatures are known. Both parametric and nonparametric procedures are developed for this problem. For nonparametric testing, the Mann–Whitney‐type statistic is used, and its performance and limitations are discussed. Next, we assume the component lifetimes to follow exponential distributions and then develop different parametric tests. Exact and asymptotic methods are developed based on the method of moments estimators. A Monte Carlo simulation study is used to compare the performance of different parametric procedures with that of the nonparametric procedure. Based on the results of the simulation study, discussions and practical recommendations are made and finally some concluding remarks are provided. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 550–563, 2015     

陆军自动检测设备发展综述

根据陆军武器装备系统对技术保障的要求,以及自动检测设备的应用和发展情况,论述了陆军自动检测设备的概念及分类方法,对陆军自动检测设备研制的技术设计思想和基本性能提出了具体的要求,分析了陆军自动检测设备的现状和发展方向,并提出了陆军自动检测设备的配置方案。     

坦克电台可靠性现状及其指标论证程序探讨

从XX坦克电台使用可靠性的现状出发,在理论与实际的结合上,论述了装备可靠性指标论证工作中某些亟待解决的问题.结合军工企业的现有条件和可靠性工作开展的实际情况,提出了装甲车载通信——电子装备可靠性指标论证工作的基本程序及其要点.