潜艇水下回转运动稳定性分析

水下回转运动是潜艇常用的运动形式之一,属于潜艇转向运动的重要研究内容。回转运动过程中,潜艇受力复杂,容易出现分岔等非线性现象,潜艇运动稳定性变差。运用同伦延拓法、分岔理论和李雅普诺夫运动稳定性理论分析了潜艇水下回转运动稳定性,并通过数值仿真试验验证了分析结果的正确性和分析方法的有效性,为潜艇运动稳定性的研究提供了思路。     

基于态势预测的无人机防相撞控制方法

针对无人机自主飞行过程中,受空中非协作移动目标威胁较大,且空中移动威胁存在高机动性的特点,提出一种预测移动威胁情况下的无人机防撞控制方法,该方法采用交互多模(IMM)算法预测移动威胁的运动状态,同时利用滚动时域控制(RHC)思想建立无人机运动控制模型,构造有约束目标函数,运用微分进化算法(DE)求解目标函数,获取最优控制量,输入控制模型,完成防撞机动控制。仿真结果表明,该方法可以有效解决空中多架航空器同时入侵的防撞问题。     

一种基于单频GPS接收机的自迭代定位算法

随着通用航空及无人机产业的发展,低成本及小型化的导航解决方案将具有广泛的市场。提出了一种基于单频GPS接收机的自迭代定位算法,用于提高定位精度,增强定位收敛性。对该算法的基本原理进行了分析,并推导出该算法的数学模型,通过静态实验的方法对该算法的收敛性进行验证,并将该算法的位置信息与最小二乘法解出的位置信息进行对比,体现了自迭代定位算法的优势。     

发动机冷却燃料超临界压力下做功潜力㶲分析

在高马赫数飞行下,超燃冲压发动机的燃料冷却量大于燃料燃烧量。为了降低燃料的冷却量以及实现燃料冷却量和燃烧量的匹配,采用分析法对超燃冲压发动机壁面燃料冷却工质在超临界压力下进行做功潜力分析。发动机壁面冷却燃料的特性决定其热量大小。根据发动机壁面温度分布、热流密度分布计算热量,建立稳定流动燃料工质的平衡方程。结果表明:在壁面最高温度为1200 K时,传入壁面的热量为562.4 k W,其中理论热量为541.3 k W;冷却燃料工质流量增加,最大输出功减小;燃料工质出口温度增加,输出功减小;燃料工质出口压力增加,输出功基本不变。     

基于兰切斯特方程的网络中心战模型

为了更全面、客观地评价信息优势和决策优势对网络中心战进程的影响,在分析经典兰切斯特方程的基础上,引入信息?决策概率,提出了基于兰切斯特方程的网络中心战模型,仿真实验表明该模型能够有效地描述信息?决策概率在网络中心战进程中发挥的作用,为研究分析网络中心作战过程提供了理论参考。     

A novel gradient approach for optimal design and sensitivity analysis of EWMA control charts

Conventional control charts are often designed to optimize out‐of‐control average run length (ARL), while constraining in‐control ARL to a desired value. The widely employed grid search approach in statistical process control (SPC) is time‐consuming with unsatisfactory accuracy. Although the simulation‐based ARL gradient estimators proposed by Fu and Hu [Manag Sci 45 (1999), 395–413] can alleviate this issue, it still requires a large number of simulation runs to significantly reduce the variance of gradient estimators. This article proposes a novel ARL gradient estimation approach based on integral equation for efficient analysis and design of control charts. Although this article compares with the results of Fu and Hu [Manag Sci 45 (1999), 395–413] based on the exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control chart, the proposed approach has wide applicability as it can generally fit into any control chart with Markovian property under any distributions. It is shown that the proposed method is able to provide a fast, accurate, and easy‐to‐implement algorithm for the design and analysis of EWMA charts, as compared to the simulation‐based gradient estimation method. Moreover, the proposed gradient estimation method facilitates the computation of high‐order derivatives that are valuable in sensitivity analysis. The code is written in Matlab, which is available on request. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 223–237, 2014     

Stochastic framework for partially degradation systems with continuous component degradation‐rate‐interactions

Many conventional models that characterize the reliability of multicomponent systems are developed on the premise that for a given system, the failures of its components are independent. Although this facilitates mathematical tractability, it may constitute a significant departure from what really takes place. In many real‐world applications, system components exhibit various degrees of interdependencies, which present significant challenges in predicting degradation performance and the remaining lifetimes of the individual components as well as the system at large. We focus on modeling the performance of interdependent components of networked systems that exhibit interactive degradation processes. Specifically, we focus on how the performance level of one component affects the degradation rates of other dependent components. This is achieved by using stochastic models to characterize how degradation‐based sensor signals associated with the components evolve over time. We consider “Continuous‐Type” component interactions that occur continuously over time. This type of degradation interaction exists in many applications, in which interdependencies occur on a continuum. We use a system of stochastic differential equations to capture such “Continuous‐Type” interaction. In addition, we utilize a Bayesian approach to update the proposed model using real‐time sensor signals observed in the field and provide more accurate estimation of component residual lifetimes. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 286–303, 2014     

Alternative models of Greek defence expenditures

This paper models and estimates Greek defence spending over the 1950–1989 period. It employs the Stone‐Geary welfare function and estimates levels of defence expenditures by the Engle‐Granger two‐step procedure. The Dickey‐Fuller test regression for cointegration is specified in terms of the significance of additional augmentations. The Deaton‐Muellbauer functional form is then employed and an estimating equation for the expenditure share of defence is derived. This specification is compared with the levels equation through a number of non‐nested tests involving model transformation.     

一类具有时滞和Gompertz增长率的捕食系统的稳定性与Hopf分支

研究一类具有时滞和Gompertz增长率的捕食系统,通过分析系统的特征方程,得到正平衡点的局部稳定性和系统出现Hopf分支的条件,并利用中心流形定理和规范型理论,得到确定Hopf分支方向和分支周期解稳定性的计算公式．     

基于DPA的LED非线性部件逆向研究

在军事和商业应用中有很多密码算法是半公开或者不公开的,旨在证明算法保密对密码的安全性提高并没有明显帮助．针对轻型分组密码LED的未知非线性部件S盒,提出了一种基于差分功耗分析的逆向方法,该方法可以利用差分功耗曲线的极性信息来恢复未知算法结构．实验结果表明,在LED的S盒参数未知时,利用功耗采集平台采集算法运行时泄露的旁路功耗信息,可以成功逆向出全部s盒信息,验证了该方法的可行性．