数据驱动的复杂系统非预期故障诊断通用过程模型

提高对复杂系统非预期故障诊断能力是故障诊断领域的难点。结合非预期故障诊断内涵及基本原理,构建了一种用于复杂系统非预期故障诊断的通用过程模型。该模型采用四层递进结构,包括四个主要模型,即预期(已知)故障检测模型、预期(已知)故障识别模型、非预期(未知)故障检测模型和非预期(未知)故障识别模型。分析了各模型所包含的关键问题及其相应的实现算法,包括检测统计量的构建及评估、故障特征方向提取、故障识别器设计及故障贡献率计算。该通用过程模型规范了复杂系统非预期故障的诊断流程,明确了数据驱动的实现原理。以卫星姿态控制系统为例,验证了非预期故障诊断通用过程模型的有效性。     

维护条件下产品寿命分布规律分析

为了掌握维护条件下产品寿命分布规律,进一步解释其失效特性,从维护条件下产品性能状态变化角度出发,结合累积失效理论,利用复合Poisson过程建立了可靠性模型,得到了该条件下产品在线寿命分布模型。在此基础上,建立了维护条件下产品总体寿命分布模型,并利用偏度-峰度系数和贴近度分析,对维护条件下产品在线寿命分布和总体寿命分布规律进行了数值计算,解释了工程产品在线往往具有集中失效,而总体又具有随机失效的特性。以水泵转子为研究对象,通过数值分析,较好地描述了其定期维护条件下的可靠度和寿命分布,进一步验证了模型的可行性。     

A self‐adapting genetic algorithm for project scheduling under resource constraints

This papers deals with the classical resource‐constrained project scheduling problem (RCPSP). There, the activities of a project have to be scheduled subject to precedence and resource constraints. The objective is to minimize the makespan of the project. We propose a new heuristic called self‐adapting genetic algorithm to solve the RCPSP. The heuristic employs the well‐known activity list representation and considers two different decoding procedures. An additional gene in the representation determines which of the two decoding procedures is actually used to compute a schedule for an individual. This allows the genetic algorithm to adapt itself to the problem instance actually solved. That is, the genetic algorithm learns which of the alternative decoding procedures is the more successful one for this instance. In other words, not only the solution for the problem, but also the algorithm itself is subject to genetic optimization. Computational experiments show that the mechanism of self‐adaptation is capable to exploit the benefits of both decoding procedures. Moreover, the tests show that the proposed heuristic is among the best ones currently available for the RCPSP. © 2002 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 49: 433–448, 2002; Published online in Wiley InterScience (www.interscience.wiley.com). DOI 10.1002/nav.10029     

稳态随机过程激励下基于首次超越破坏的结构优化设计

把结构系统动力可靠性分析与最优化设计结合起来 ,以结构系统的最小质量为目标函数 ,给出了考虑在平稳随机过程激励下多自由度线性系统总的可靠性的结构优化设计方法。运用谱分析理论 ,推导了结构系统在平稳随机过程激励下响应的统计特征 ,同时结合首次超越破坏的Possion模型计算结构系统的可靠性 ,最终采用广义乘子法得到结构系统设计变量的最优值。计算结果表明该方法是可行的     

具有随机寿命的二维期权定价

由于期权合约在到期日之前可能被终止及标的资产的价格可能会因重大信息的到达而发生跳跃 ,文中在假设合约被终止的风险与重大信息导致的价格跳跃风险皆为非系统的风险情况下 ,应用无套利资本资产定价及Feynman kac公式 ,首先研究了标的资产服从连续扩散过程和跳—扩散过程具有随机寿命的交换期权定价 ,得到相应的定价公式 ;然后 ,研究了标的资产服从跳—扩散过程及利率随机变化具有随机寿命的期权定价 ,得到相应的定价公式     

平板显示控制器在便携式火炮测径窥膛仪中的应用

应用AVERLOGIC公司最新研制的平板显示控制器AL300,实现了便携式火炮测径窥膛仪的火炮直径数据采集、炮膛视频图像转换与显示系统设计。该系统以微处理器AT89C52为控制核心,利用AL300控制液晶显示屏,同时显示炮膛视频图像和直径测量数据。     

Damage functions and estimates of fratricide and collateral damage

There are multiple damage functions in the literature to estimate the probability that a single weapon detonation destroys a point target. This paper addresses differences in the tails of four of the more popular damage functions. These four cover the asymptotic tail behaviors of all monotonically decreasing damage functions with well‐behaved hazard functions. The differences in estimates of probability of kill are quite dramatic for large aim‐point offsets. This is particularly important when balancing the number of threats that can be engaged with the chances of fratricide and collateral damage. In general, analysts substituting one damage function for another may badly estimate kill probabilities in offset‐aiming, which could result in poor doctrine. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 50: 306–321, 2003.     

攻击机靶场效能优化:概念、方法与基本问题

系统阐述了攻击机靶场攻击、靶场效能以及靶场效能优化等基本概念,在此基础上,分析了攻击机靶场效能优化的基本任务和基本问题,并给出了形式化描述。     

论中国维和警察培训与国际接轨的途径

中国维和警察培训要赶超世界先进水平 ,就必须高目标定位 ,高起点切入 ,高质量培训 ,高标准评估 ,高层次交流 ,努力探索中国维和警察培训与国际接轨的有效途径