Unblocking inertia: US-Russian nuclear arms control and missile defenses

The United States and Russia, in the aftermath of Russia’s annexation of Crimea and destabilization of Ukraine, seem to have ditched entirely the “reset” in their political relations. Despite this odor of Cold War redux, there remain the opportunities and necessities for renewed attention to strategic nuclear arms control as between the two governments. US and NATO missile defenses as planned for European deployment figure into this equation, although in somewhat unpredictable ways, given technological uncertainties in existing and foreseeable defenses, as well as the possibility of improved delivery systems for offensive conventional or nuclear weapons.     

切尔诺贝利核事故救援对我国核电消防部队建设的启示

介绍了切尔诺贝利核事故消防部队救援的基本情况以及经验和教训,并针对我国目前核电消防的现状,结合切尔诺贝利核事故救援的经验和教训,就我国核电消防安全和队伍建设提出了建议和意见。     

Ni-Co-P／导电聚苯胺复合材料电磁和红外性能

采用化学镀对高氯酸掺杂聚苯胺（PANI/HClO4）粉体进行Ni-Co-P合金化改性,改性材料磁损耗因子得到提高。进行红外光谱分析,PANI/HClO4在3-5μm和8-14μm 2个大气窗口没有强吸收峰,具有雷达红外隐身兼容特性。     

核动力装置控制系统神经网络故障诊断

研究了如何将先进的人工神经网络的方法应用到核动力控制系统故障诊断中,并对这种方法的原理、优缺点、可行性等进行了分析,提出了针对核动力装置控制系统的设计方案.     

核电磁脉冲对单片机系统的辐照效应研究

核爆炸产生的电磁脉冲的“杀伤”范围极广,它可使距离爆心投影点几千公里的电气设备、电子装备和系统的工作失灵甚至破坏。为了研究它对单片机的各种效应,利用GTEM室产生的模拟核电磁脉冲,对单片机系统进行了辐照效应实验。实验表明,单片机系统在核电磁脉冲作用下,会出现“死机”、重启动、控制状态的改变、通讯错误和外部RAM内容改变以及数据采集误差增大等现象。在实验基础上,研究了单片机系统的各种效应产生的原因。     

复合材料层合结构层向理论及应用进展

层向理论是由Reddy提出来的一种用于精确分析复合材料层合结构的三维板壳分析理论.由于不引入任何的变形和应力假设条件,因此相较于传统的等效单层板理论,层向理论在分析大厚度复合材料层合板壳结构的静动态响应及其局部层间效应时具有较大的优势.系统地综述了层向理论近年来的研究进展、数值解法及其应用情况.具体包括:层向理论的基本...     

压水堆运行中ΔT超温度/超功率保护分析

从核电站压水堆动力装置在运行中ΔT超温度 /超功率保护功能出发 ,介绍了压水堆ΔT超温度 /超功率保护系统 ,分析了确定极限限制线以及保护区的方法 ,并对此作出了评价 .     

Nuclear opportunism: A theory of how states use nuclear weapons in international politics

How do states use nuclear weapons to achieve their goals in international politics? Nuclear weapons can influence state decisions about a range of strategic choices relating to military aggression, the scope of foreign policy objectives, and relations with allies. The article offers a theory to explain why emerging nuclear powers use nuclear weapons to facilitate different foreign policies: becoming more or less aggressive; providing additional support to allies or proxies, seeking independence from allies; or expanding the state’s goals in international politics. I argue that a state’s choices depend on the presence of severe territorial threats or an ongoing war, the presence of allies that provide for the state’s security, and whether the state is increasing in relative power. The conclusion discusses implications of the argument for our understanding of nuclear weapons and the history of proliferation, and nonproliferation policy today.     

How durable is the nuclear weapons taboo?

The nuclear weapons taboo is considered one of the strongest norms in international politics. A prohibition against using nuclear weapons has seemingly shaped state behavior for nearly seven decades and, according to some observers, made nuclear use ‘unthinkable’ today or in the future. Although scholars have shown that nuclear aversion has affected decision-making behavior, important questions about the nuclear taboo remain unanswered. This article seeks to answer a basic question: How durable is the taboo? We develop different predictions about norm durability depending on whether the taboo is based primarily on moral logic or strategic logic. We use the comparable case of the norm against strategic bombing in the 20th century to evaluate these hypotheses. The logic and evidence presented in this paper suggest that the norm of nuclear non-use is much more fragile than most analysts understand.     

基于步进应力加速老化和改进Arrhenius模型的橡胶贮存寿命预测

为准确、快速地预测橡胶的贮存寿命,在步进高温应力加速老化试验的基础上,对不同加速温度下的加速系数进行计算,获得加速因子和绝对温度倒数的曲线,发现橡胶老化过程表现出非Arrhenius特性。针对非Arrhenius特性,引入幂指数因子,采用一种改进的Arrhenius模型对加速系数进行拟合。由对数反应速率与绝对温度倒数曲线的斜率,计算了改进Arrhenius模型在不同温度下的等效线性活化能,结果表明低温下活化能减小。建立低温下的老化寿命模型,对胶料在10℃,20℃和30℃下的老化寿命进行评估。评估结果表明,该模型可为相关高分子材料腐蚀过程中呈现的非Arrhenius特性的分析及寿命预测提供参考。