Goodbye to all that? Institutionalist theory,U.S. alliances,and Donald Trump

In an important and stimulating article, Stephan Frühling and Andrew O’Neil argue in favor of applying institutionalist theory to understand the alliance politics of U.S. nuclear weapons strategy. But what promise does institutionalist theory really hold in thinking about highly unequal alliances nested in their particular threat environments? I argue that much work remains to be done to determine how much better institutionalist variables explain intra-alliance dynamics over alternative arguments that emphasize power and interests. Balances of power and the nature of threat environments may already account for key aspects of extended deterrent relationships supported by the United States in Europe and Asia. Ironically, the implication of this more traditional interpretation of alliances is that more continuity than change will characterize how Donald Trump will manage U.S. security relationships as President.     

Putin and Russia in retro and forward: the nuclear dimension

Deterioration in security relations as between NATO and Russia reached boiling point in the aftermath of Russia’s annexation of Crimea in 2014 and its subsequent destabilization of Eastern Ukraine. As a result, some voices in the West look forward to the departure of Vladimir Putin from power, and others to the possible disintegration of Russia as a unitary state. However, both the departure of Putin and the collapse of Russia have a nuclear dimension. Putin has issued pointed reminders of Russia’s status as a nuclear great power, and Russian military doctrine allows for nuclear first use in the event of a conventional war with extremely high stakes. Beyond Putin, a breakup of Russia would leave political chaos in Eastern Europe, Central Asia and elsewhere, inviting ambiguous command and control over formerly Russian nuclear forces.     

高能离子在材料中输运的蒙特卡罗模拟

利用蒙特卡罗方法对高能离子在材料中的输运进行了计算机模拟研究 ,入射高能离子与靶材料的作用近似为核散射和电子作用两个独立的部分 ,核散射能量损失采用经典两体碰撞近似 ,通过对碰撞参数的随机抽样得到散射角 ,电子能量损失高能时采用Bethe-Bloch公式 ,低能时采用Lindhard -Scharff公式 ,中能时采用插值公式。最后对高能铁离子入射于铝、硅材料的输运进行了模拟计算 ,给出了模拟结果并进行了分析。     

Research on monopulse forward-looking high-resolution imaging algorithm based on adaptive iteration

In this paper, we proposed a monopulse forward-looking high-resolution imaging algorithm based on adaptive iteration for missile-borne detector. Through iteration, the proposed algorithm automatically selects the echo signal of isolated strong-scattering points from the receiving echo signal data to accurately estimate the actual optimal monopulse response curve (MRC) of the same distance range, and we applied optimal MRC to realize the azimuth self-focusing in the process of imaging. We use real-time echo data to perform error correction for obtaining the optimal MRC, and the azimuth angulation accuracy may reach the optimum at a certain distance dimension. We experimentally demonstrate the validity, reliability and high performance of the proposed algorithm. The azimuth angulation accuracy may reach up to ten times of the detection beam-width. The simulation experiments have verified the feasibility of this strategy, with the average height measurement error being 7.8%. In the out-field unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) tests, the height measurement error is less than 2.5 m, and the whole response time can satisfy the requirements of a missile-borne detector.     

CODE新光压模型对北斗混合导航星座精密轨道确定的影响

运用卫星定轨软件工具包NUDTTK,分析了欧洲定轨中心扩展的经验光压模型(EECOM)对北斗二代混合导航星座精密轨道确定的影响。研究表明:对地球静止轨道卫星而言,EECOM能够明显改善定轨精度,相比于传统的ECOM-9和ECOM-5模型,卫星激光测距检核精度分别提高17.4%和35.1%。对倾斜地球同步轨道卫星和中轨道卫星而言,采用ECOM-5模型的定轨精度要优于采用EECOM和ECOM-9模型的,新光压模型EECOM并不能有效改善倾斜地球同步轨道卫星和中轨道卫星的定轨精度。与IGS数据分析中心WHU、GFZ和CODE的轨道产品相互比对的结果显示:目前,国防科技大学北斗精密轨道产品中,地球静止轨道卫星的定轨精度为1~4 m,倾斜地球同步轨道卫星的定轨精度为25~30 cm,中轨道卫星的定轨精度为10~20 cm。     

CODE新光压模型对北斗混合导航星座精密轨道确定的影响分析

基于国防科技大学自主研制的卫星定轨软件工具包NUDTTK,分析了CODE新光压模型EECOM对北斗二代混合导航星座精密轨道确定的影响。研究表明：对GEO卫星而言,EECOM模型能够明显改善定轨精度,相比于传统的ECOM-9和ECOM-5模型,卫星激光测距检核精度分别提高17.4%和35.1%。对IGSO和MEO卫星而言,采用ECOM-5模型的定轨精度要优于EECOM和ECOM-9模型,新光压模型EECOM并不能有效改善IGSO和MEO卫星的定轨精度。与IGS数据分析中心WHU、GFZ和CODE的轨道产品互比对结果（3D RMS）显示：目前,国防科技大学北斗精密轨道产品中,GEO卫星的定轨精度为1~4 m,IGSO卫星的定轨精度为25~30 cm,MEO卫星的定轨精度为10~20 cm。     

核电磁脉冲模拟器的电场特性及等离子体阵列的防护性能

强电磁脉冲通过电子设备表面耦合进入内部将产生显著的破坏作用,而等离子体作为一种特殊的电磁介质,具有屏蔽强电磁脉冲的能力,因此基于等离子体的强电磁脉冲防护研究具有重要意义。利用CST软件仿真分析了核电磁脉冲模拟器工作空间的电场分布。进行了核电磁脉冲对单片机的干扰和破坏效应辐照研究,得到了其对MF-51-1型单片机的干扰和破坏阈值分别在10 kV/m和18 kV/m左右。实验研究了单层等离子体阵列对核电磁脉冲的防护性能,能量衰减均在10 dB以上。实验结果表明,等离子体具有强电磁脉冲防护的能力。     

(Un)justified expectations on nuclear deterrence of non-nuclear NATO members: the case of Estonia and Latvia?

ABSTRACT

Nuclear assets are one of the cornerstones of credible collective deterrence of the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation. Paradoxically, the most endangered member states are the ones without nuclear capabilities, left with the hope and expectation that the owners of nuclear assets will defend them and that their potential enemies are deterred by these capabilities. However, the expectations from one side, practical commitment of allies from other side may not go in harmony and synchronisation. Is there a capability gap which needs to be fulfilled? If yes then, is the gap in the side of nuclear powers or is it on the side of those endangered states who need to understand what can or cannot realistically be expected? The current article focuses on the question of how the political and military elite of the Baltic states describes their expectations in terms of using Alliance's nuclear capabilities to deter Russia's regional ambitions.     

导弹静电放电效应及其防护装置应用研究

静电防护是导弹研制的刚性要求.简述了导弹发生静电荷沉积的主要途径,介绍了导弹静电放电的3种典型形式,基于相关典型试验和实测数据,分析了静电放电电流效应和静电放电电磁脉冲效应对导弹可感测辐射信号和系统信噪比的不同作用效能,研究了导弹安装静电放电器前后对安全性和功能性能的影响,介绍了静电放电器的典型应用方式,综合论证了导弹...     

外军紫外告警技术的研究现状

介绍了各国对紫外告警技术的研究情况,详细列出了美国人Hall的测量数据和美国空军使用Plexus软件计算的数据,并由此得出不同作战距离的太阳光子数,供紫外告警设备设计参考。